It's been 8 years since China published its White Paper on the Arctic but Chinese aspirations have not been easily fulfilled. Why not? See my latest post on the backstory of China's involvement in Greenland and beyond.
chinasresourcerisks.substack.com/p/are-chines...
An opportunity or a headache? Please join us online as we unpack how Russia and China respond to US zigs and zags.
04.02.2026 19:18 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What do recent events in Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela tell us about the "axis of authoritarians"?
Here's my latest Substack post:
chinasresourcerisks.substack.com/p/an-unravel...
My latest piece on North Korea's role in Russia's war on Ukraine argues that North Korea’s involvement in Ukraine creates new impediments to ending the war and has a far-reaching impact on European and Asian security.
www.ponarseurasia.org/security-imp...
A PRC observer speculated that Putin's recent proposal for an SCO Development bank might have been geared to Gazprom's woes, not those of developing countries!
See my Substack debunking the pipeline deal of the century
chinasresourcerisks.substack.com/p/power-of-s...
Financing seems to be a big obstacle to the putative Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline from China to Russia as yesterday the PRC's bond rating agency gave Gazprom a AAA rating, perhaps as a consolation prize (no PRC financing promised). Risky for PRC lenders as Gazprom's rating was lower pre-2022.
09.09.2025 18:27 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Before we conclude there's a new world order for gas after Russia's Gazprom signed a memo of intent last week with China's CNPC to build the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline via Mongolia let's look at the details. See my latest Substack post:
chinasresourcerisks.substack.com/p/power-of-s...
Thanks to @joeyans.bsky.social for getting past the standard headlines. @keirgiles.bsky.social and I examine the role of India in relations with Russia and China. Despite all the loose talk about a new China-Russia-India axis, there are a lot of complex issues that will prevent this.
06.09.2025 19:07 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Terrific new article by Mariya Omelicheva @warontherocks.bsky.social on the role of a huge number of semi-state forces in Russia’s war against Ukraine: warontherocks.com/2025/08/insi...
23.08.2025 12:50 — 👍 27 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 1
I have a GMF piece up on the backstory behind this week's low-content EU-China summit. A "success" that won't feel like one: www.gmfus.org/news/just-sh...
21.07.2025 17:07 — 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Some intriguing articles in @nytimes.com lately about PRC hacking in Russia and Kremlin distrust of China. For my take on the limits of the partnership see my interview on the Decoding Geopolics podcast with @dompresl.bsky.social youtu.be/-CSNX3bCiU4?...
20.06.2025 16:15 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What do China, Russia, and North Korea think about South Korea's new president? See my laest artcle with @cna Carita Reid thediplomat.com/2025/06/what...
10.06.2025 21:09 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0What does this mean for the Wilson Center? Does anyone know?
24.05.2025 15:09 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
🇷🇺New Episode🇨🇳
Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin’s relationship is growing stronger and it could change global power as we know it. Today in The Bunker, @lizwish.bsky.social joins @chrisjonesprod.bsky.social to unpack what their growing alliance means for the rest of the world ➡️ linktr.ee/bunker_pod
And here it is in plain English
www.wired.com/story/usip-d...
Last week Xi and Putin dropped the "no alliance" formulation. It's also missing from the PRC White Paper on National Security For all the details from the Russian and Chinese documents, see my latest article @thediplomat.com
thediplomat.com/2025/05/the-...
A huge loss for research and educational exchanges, not to mention US soft power.
12.05.2025 15:40 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Worth scrolling through as his approval rating is in low 50s or below 50 in some red states.
www.yahoo.com/news/preside...
In this article for @thediplomat.com I discuss the 150 or so Chinese mercenaries fighting for Russia in Ukraine--how they were recruited, why they go, and what this mean's for China's role in conflict zones. thediplomat.com/2025/05/the-...
04.05.2025 14:36 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0A fascinating story!
29.04.2025 20:22 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Update on USIP
11.04.2025 22:02 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
The U.S. House of Representatives voted Thursday to pass the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, a major voter suppression measure that, if it became law, could disenfranchise millions of eligible voters and badly undermine U.S. democracy. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...
10.04.2025 15:45 — 👍 10871 🔁 5701 💬 1196 📌 729Hopefully this extends to their antics at the Wilson Center & other agencies they had no business ransacking. Still waiting for their "fraud" highlights from the Wilson Center. Along with discovering that only 30% of funding was federal, they must have learned that money only paid program staffs.
09.04.2025 21:08 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
War hero schools a chickenhawk.
09.04.2025 01:58 — 👍 60073 🔁 14595 💬 1325 📌 632Wired has really stepped up with its DOGE coverage! They’ve earned my subscription many times over.
05.04.2025 17:23 — 👍 102 🔁 28 💬 3 📌 1
