Drew Engelhardt

Bring back guano mines

The Violent Take It by Force: The Christian Movement That Is Threatening Our Democracy When charismatic believers wage spiritual battles, ideas can take tangible form. With scholarly precision and narrative force, religion scholar Matthew D. Taylor makes intelligible the language, leade...

This might be of interest

www.broadleafbooks.com/store/produc...

As fun is the randomness in what's returned in summaries.

Example case here on within and between LLM comparisons on sources cited when querying them about political candidates: caucusai.substack.com/p/the-source...

I'll never understand a "grace period" on traffic enforcement.

Maybe I'll save the email I was going to send you for a little in the future... 😂

White Americans Say They’re Less Prejudiced But those who already have racist views may be emboldened.

Realized this corroborates cross-sectionally the "rise of Trump, fall of prejudice" conclusion from @dhopkins1776.bsky.social & Washington (doi.org/10.1093/poq/...)

Old 538 summary
fivethirtyeight.com/features/pre...

Shifts across survey years appear for Dems and Reps.

The meaning of precision in geographical degrees.

±100°: You don't know where it is.
±10°: You know it's on a specific continent.
±1°: You know it's within about an hour's drive.
±0.1°: You could bike to it.
±0.01°: You could walk to it.
±0.001°: You could probably see it.

Love this question.

Drugs — Recreational and Illegal Overall, how would you describe the problem of drugs [ROTATED: in the United States/in the area where you live] -- is it extremely serious, very serious, moderately serious, not too serious, or not se...

Gallup's MIP series has coded for this but I am not sure how regularly.

PDF here has more trends, including a "progress on illegal drugs" Q starting in the 1970s: news.gallup.com/file/poll/69...

And a a little bit more here maybe
news.gallup.com/poll/1657/il...

One approach to the age-period-cohort problem: Just don’t. Just to cause yourself more problems, you seek for something. But there is no need for you to seek anything. You have plenty, and you have just enough problems. Shunryū Suzuki in a 1971 talk A ...

Fully inspired by the just plot things recommendation to the APC problem.

www.the100.ci/2026/02/13/o...

Last few weeks teaching has had me thinking a fair bit about age, period, and cohort effects on attitudes so cooked up these two figures out of interest. Sharing if interesting to folks.

For those interested in measuring political violence, check out Lily and Nathan's new review paper below. See also my forthcoming paper at POQ (w/ @llopez.bsky.social and Lucas Lothamer) introducing our own measure scottaclifford.com/wp-content/u...

How to Measure Public Support for Political Violence Abstract. With low but rising levels of violent political threats and violent acts by civilians in the United States, researchers increasingly want to meas

After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

When your operationalization doesn't match your conceptualization

Send Noem Back Home old fashioned marketing post.

Bless DC

We can't even treat the country level variation as informative (left) because acquiescence bias various across cultural contexts too (example evidence right from the link).

bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

That aggregate result is suspicious for multiple reasons now.

bsky.app/profile/stat...

A line chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Net approval of Donald Trump's handling of the economy in his first term and second term." The chart has the sub-headline: "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling these specific issues? [Jobs and the economy / the economy] (% of U.S. adult citizens who strongly or somewhat approve minus the % who strongly or somewhat disapprove)." The chart has the note: "Note: Responses of "not sure" are not shown. Respondents have sometimes been asked about "the economy" and sometimes about "jobs and the economy.""

Economist/YouGov
Net approval for Trump's handling of the economy at this stage of...
• Trump's current term -21 (low -23; start +12)
• Trump's first term +3
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

Just going to assume this is Buddy

Data Visualization A Practical Introduction

Here’s a full draft of the upcoming second edition of my “Data Visualization: A Practical Introduction”: socviz.co

Only if scored by Howard Shore

Nixon v Kennedy polling trend 1957 to final election, with key events indicated. Voter preference is accurately described as “seesawing” Public Opinion Index for Industry report using Gallup data

I do love a nice trendline with event markers

Did Dobbs have a chilling effect on survey responses?

In POQ, Kam & Marcellin find that women were less willing to disclose their pregnancy status in the nation's premier health survey (BRFSS), on the heels of the Dobbs decision.

Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Oh no

New AJPS Correspondence and Corrections Policies From: Dan Reiter and Adam Berinsky, editors-in-chief This post describes new policies at AJPS regarding Correspondence and Corrections. Maintaining an accurate scholarly record is one of the most i…

The AJPS announces new policies on correspondence and corrections. Read the Editor's Blog here: ajps.org/2026/03/05/n...

psychologists and ingroup/identity folks: any work you can point me to on research that looks at cases where an ingroup lacks a clear outgroup? I'm thinking this may be an intriguing idea for thinking about state identities in the US.

I know finding reviewers is the biggest part of the delay in getting things through peer review, but also not decisioning a manuscript that has at least 3 reviews in with all the same disposition/concerns for over 6 weeks is not great either. Feel for the papers I review that then linger.

The craft beer boom is over. These new breweries find hope in staying small. A new crop of craft brewery owners believe that quality beer is a must, but it’s everything else — hospitality, food, trivia nights — that will decide their fate.

Roughly 200 breweries are expected to open across the US this year. Who opens a brewery in 2026?

I talked to a few of the entrepreneurs behind them: wapo.st/4l336RS

If interested I have some survey data from folks in Our Revolution that speak to demand in the left column that divides in part by the row, and this has shifted some since 2021. Not candidates, but more indirect concern with the row "types."

End of page 19 and on: www.uakron.edu/bliss/docs/2...

Includes panel analysis that links within person changes in Fox viewership to changes in GRT belief.