Drew Engelhardt

I know finding reviewers is the biggest part of the delay in getting things through peer review, but also not decisioning a manuscript that has at least 3 reviews in with all the same disposition/concerns for over 6 weeks is not great either. Feel for the papers I review that then linger.

The craft beer boom is over. These new breweries find hope in staying small. A new crop of craft brewery owners believe that quality beer is a must, but it’s everything else — hospitality, food, trivia nights — that will decide their fate.

Roughly 200 breweries are expected to open across the US this year. Who opens a brewery in 2026?

I talked to a few of the entrepreneurs behind them: wapo.st/4l336RS

If interested I have some survey data from folks in Our Revolution that speak to demand in the left column that divides in part by the row, and this has shifted some since 2021. Not candidates, but more indirect concern with the row "types."

End of page 19 and on: www.uakron.edu/bliss/docs/2...

Includes panel analysis that links within person changes in Fox viewership to changes in GRT belief.

My kingdom for figures/tables appearing in the body of the manuscript.

With very large numbers of n’s you don’t need randomization, and with LLM’s we can generate very large numbers of n’s, so I think all of science is solved by now. I don’t see any problems with this.

I've found myself using Arizona and New Mexico regularly to talk about context since reading this. Recommend!

Dear ANES community, the link below introduces our new Board of Advisors, led by Jamie Druckman. Jamie follows John Aldrich, who deftly chaired the Board for nearly 2 decades. This new group will guide us through the 2028 election cycle. Our deepest thanks to outgoing and incoming Board members!

My take on the partisan expressive responding literature is now in print. Open access: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Nice Matt. Looking forward to reading.

Calling all Bayes #stats people, I had a student who wants to do exploratory factor analysis in a Bayesian framework. They are working with indigenous people and developing a scale, and want to incorporate prior knowledge about the factor structure & factor loadings. 1/2

That's wild. I've been hopeful this would help with document management but for every positive I see there seems to be some negative that looks rather basic.

If it is a PDF problem, then this raises interesting questions about the full quality of the training data if unstructured PDFs are included.

I wonder how much of this is also PDFs are apparently not great for machines to read. I've learned a lot about tech accessibility with upcoming university WCAG compliance needs and apparently PDFs present lots of problems to machine readers. But maybe that's a separate issue to this.

Mentions of immigration in some capacity to Gallup's open-ended "most important problem" question, by party.

Mentions of government/parties/Congress in some capacity to Gallup's open-ended "most important problem" question, by party.

Immigration, including ICE enforcement: only recently a top-of-mind issue for many Democrats.

Could be potentially bound up in concerns with "government" if it is part of general dissatisfaction with the administration, but that trend doesn't seem to follow events.

news.gallup.com/poll/702719/...

Thank you!

Thanks!

The Right Way Why supporting big government, trade barriers, and unchecked executive power is still conservative—and why MAGA’s worldview is far more coherent than its critics think

I guess since it's on the publisher's website, it's real. Wrote something with Marc Hetherington and Jonathan Weiler. Still awhile until out, but this is fun to see.

press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library Politician characteristic regression discontinuity (PCRD) designs leveraging close elections are widely used to isolate effects of an elected politician characteristic on downstream outcomes. Unlike ....

I am once again asking you to read Marshall (2022) before running a close-election RDD

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Ignoring the confound of method would have meaningfully altered the results.

Was rereading Bartels's Ethnic antagonism article & found a good example of what not accounting for method can do. He estimates an acquiescence factor to control for method effects b/c outcomes and many predictors share response scales. These are hearty method effects.

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Football is a simple game. Twenty-two players chase a ball for 90 minutes and whoever forms a more impenetrable meat wall on corner kicks wins.

Quite the trio.

If you're a DC area bartender or related service industry worker and you hear govt./military people talking about the strikes on Iran, let me know what they're saying. I'm on signal at nslayton.12

Solid tifo

My favorite example of what you're discussing given my own work is Divided by Color.

How do you measure a threat in the air? Testing the universal, dynamic, and multifaceted nature of social identity threat Using the SITC Inventory, social identity threat is shown to be dynamic, multifaceted, and nearly universal.

New paper out in Science Advances! I'm really (really) proud of this one. Let's get into it. doi.org/10.1126/scia...

youre making a mockery of the fifa peace prize