Evan Rosenman's Avatar

Evan Rosenman

@evanrosenman.bsky.social

Assistant Professor of Statistics @ Claremont McKenna

130 Followers  |  269 Following  |  96 Posts  |  Joined: 08.11.2024
Posts Following

Posts by Evan Rosenman (@evanrosenman.bsky.social)

Or perhaps American liberals -- living in a democracy that elected someone with whom they disagree vehemently, who is taking actions they oppose -- could extend the same basic understanding to voters in other democracies?

bsky.app/profile/dana...

09.03.2026 05:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Combining this approach with the jungle primary and its inherent lockout risk is a recipe for disaster.

07.03.2026 16:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Here’s the thing with Platner: what is his actual deal? We have a lot of information about this guy. He hasn’t been a longtime fighter for his community or progressivism or populist causes. He just woke up one day and decided to start saying the right words. Well, okay, a lot of people can do that.

05.03.2026 15:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1021    πŸ” 118    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 16

Color me skeptical that Platner's entirely-performative schtick as rugged anti-oligarchy progressive will attract crossover voters while his entirely-real sexism, racism, and antisemitism won't ultimately repel base voters.

bsky.app/profile/poll...

04.03.2026 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
@NRSC
"Someone who tells you exactly what he thinks"

What Graham Platner thinks:

- Got a Nazi tattoo
- Called himself a communist
- Said Black people don't tip
- Called all police "bastards"
- Said rape victims should "not get so f**ked up"

@NRSC "Someone who tells you exactly what he thinks" What Graham Platner thinks: - Got a Nazi tattoo - Called himself a communist - Said Black people don't tip - Called all police "bastards" - Said rape victims should "not get so f**ked up"

The Two Towers: "This is but a taste of what awaits you" meme

The Two Towers: "This is but a taste of what awaits you" meme

Bravo, leftists. Pure genius move.

And unlike most of the GOP's bullshit, all of these claims are both accurate and in context.

This is but a taste of what awaits EVERY Democratic candidate this fall.

02.03.2026 19:42 β€” πŸ‘ 452    πŸ” 156    πŸ’¬ 46    πŸ“Œ 36

Their adoration of him completely gives away the game. All they care about are a few aesthetic markers of masculinity and a few populist buzzwords. Grow a killer beard, learn to shoot, and say "oligarchy" a bunch and they think you're literally qualified to be a United States senator.

01.03.2026 23:33 β€” πŸ‘ 329    πŸ” 43    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 3

Does this dude need to get a Nazi tattoo for people to believe that maybe he's got an antisemitism problem?
Oh, wait...

bsky.app/profile/epic...

01.03.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I don't think folks have internalized how much state-level power Dems could win in 2026.
If it's a great night for Ds, they could win trifectas in all Biden-won states except NH, VT, & GA. That's 53% of the U.S. population.
If they also win GA-gov, Rs would have least state-level power since 2010.

27.02.2026 23:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

NC-03 was uncontested in 2018, so that may have made the difference.

27.02.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Polling results from PPIC of the CA GOV race

Polling results from PPIC of the CA GOV race

In California, the top two vote getters regardless of party advance to the general. Hilton and Blanco are Republicans. We are in mortal danger of a Rep-Rep runoff unless some Dems drop out to consolidate the Dem vote. Villaraigosa, Becerra, Thurmond and Yee must leave the race immediately.

26.02.2026 05:55 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 7

TX does not have partisan registration. It’s the primary ballot the voter requests.

26.02.2026 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How does this one guy manage to have so many bad takes in so many different venues simultaneously?

25.02.2026 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins is great -- but there are at least three jokes from the first two episodes that are nearly verbatim copies from 30 Rock!

25.02.2026 06:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Swalwell leads delegate vote but California Democrats divided in crowded primary Nine Democrats seeking to be governor wooed California Democrats at their weekend convention as some worry about a GOP lockout in June.

Everyone not named Swalwell or Porter needs to get out now.

calmatters.org/politics/202...

22.02.2026 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Oust him.
bsky.app/profile/vote...

20.02.2026 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

57% of Americans currently live in states with a D governor vs. 43% with an R governor...

18.02.2026 20:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

The leftist criticism of Raman’s LA mayor candidacy is mindblowingly unserious.
The same folks who were clamoring for a Mamdani of LA weeks ago are tying themselves into pretzels to avoid supporting a credible progressive challenger.

17.02.2026 06:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Bass helped Raman win reelection. Now Raman wants to unseat her. Some call it 'a betrayal' Raman’s last-minute run for mayor has shocked the city’s political elite and infuriated Bass' supporters. Some observers called it a betrayal of Shakespearean proportions.

As someone who believes in a high bar for primary challenges -- and who is well to the right of Raman -- this still seems insane. One cannot possibly look at LA City governance right now and conclude that decorousness is the top issue.

www.latimes.com/california/s...

15.02.2026 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Every millennial in America is currently giving a melancholy listen to "I Don't Want to Wait."

11.02.2026 20:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wow, they are definitely about to kill Harrison Ford on Shrinking, huh?

11.02.2026 05:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Just remarkable that so many mainstream outlets ran stories claiming this film ($40MM acquisition cost, at least $35MM in marketing) was an unexpected financial success.

08.02.2026 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

MejΓ­a is a terrible fit for the district. She’ll win, but it will require investment. And gives Kean an easy bogeywoman to run against in neighboring NJ-7.

06.02.2026 03:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

cc Bill Ferguson.

04.02.2026 20:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I suppose it's neither here nor there, and it's probably pointless and counterproductive to get involved, but nonetheless, I feel compelled to say: shouting down Ezra Klein at a public event is an absolutely childish, pathetic, self-indulgent way to cosplay activism. An absolute gift to fascists.

02.02.2026 19:05 β€” πŸ‘ 95    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1

Holy shit Taylor Rehmet…

01.02.2026 05:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Biden won Tarrant County.

01.02.2026 02:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Greg Bovino and Brianna Joy Gray providing this Saturday’s reminder that antisemitism and the political horseshoe are very much intertwined.

01.02.2026 00:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tulsi has to be a close second, though, no?

31.01.2026 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A Democratic Critic of Newsom Will Run to Succeed Him

Getting close to Democratic lockout panic time!

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/u...

29.01.2026 19:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The problem likely isn’t 2026, it’s 2028.
bsky.app/profile/jake...

25.01.2026 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0