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Joshua Deutschmann

@joshdeutschmann.bsky.social

Economist UChicago @devinnovationlab.bsky.social. Opinions mine, etc. | Virginia Tech fan | Website: jwdeutschmann.com

1,330 Followers  |  934 Following  |  83 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023
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Posts by Joshua Deutschmann (@joshdeutschmann.bsky.social)

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How Big Should a Pull Incentive Be? A New Pull Incentive Sizing Tool to Foster Innovation Pull mechanisms, like advance market commitments (AMCs) and prizes, that pay for results are having a moment. After the landmark pneumococcal AMC helped accelerate access to lifesaving vaccines, the m...

Pull incentives can unlock innovation, but poorly sized incentives risk missing the mark.

A new Pull Incentive Sizing Tool from @uchi-msa.bsky.social offers a practical framework for getting the scale right:
https://go.cgdev.org/4bjRl6L

20.02.2026 18:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Very happy to share that my work with Tanguy Bernard and Ouambi Yameogo on contracting and quality upgrading is now forthcoming at JDE!

#EconSky #EconPapers

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

16.02.2026 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I have to say, it is a particular relief to publish my job market paper, which was mostly written while stuck at home during the pandemic. This paper occupied a huge amount of my time and attention during a very weird and stressful time.

16.02.2026 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Very happy to share that my work with Tanguy Bernard and Ouambi Yameogo on contracting and quality upgrading is now forthcoming at JDE!

#EconSky #EconPapers

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

16.02.2026 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡³

18.01.2026 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Should I wait or should I sell? The impact of market information and commercialization advice on farmers’ sales decisions. Guest post by Guilio Schinaia

The last in our JMP blog series has Guilio Schinaia with a 2-stage clustered RCT to see how market advisory information affects decisions of cashew farmers in Guinea-Bissau. Information increases farmer revenue, as they make more transactions & get better prices
blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...?

19.12.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Evaluating a soft-skills course implemented in Ugandan and Kenyan primary schools that replaced academic review time with lessons on goal-setting and related skills as students prepared for primary school-leaving exams, from Dam, Gray-Lobe, Kremer, de Laat, and Morsink www.nber.org/papers/w34562

18.12.2025 20:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Do uncoordinated flood loss mitigation investments produce spillovers? Guest post by Molly Doruska

In today's JMP, Molly Doruska looks at how to protect firms in Dakar from flooding. Individual subsidies had negative spillovers on other firms as water diverted, but combining subsidies with community meeting reduced flood losses without negative spillovers blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...?

04.12.2025 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Priced for Development? How Price Controls Spread Technology but Stall Innovation: Guest post by Matteo Ruzzante

In today's job market post, @matteo-ruzzante.bsky.social uses DiD to show how price controls on GM cotton in India spurred adoption by farmers, but reduced subsequent location-specific seed development. Despite innovation reduction, farmers were still better off. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...

11.11.2025 14:46 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What is happening at Goddard is absolutely devastating. We are losing history. We are losing an incredible amount of human talent, skill, and knowledge. Rebuilding it will be impossible same for same. Industry can not absorb the people or the equipment. This is undoing space science in the US.

06.11.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 627    πŸ” 362    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026

Hiring Alert ⏰

We are looking for postdocs in development econ!

This is an exciting opportunity to collaborate closely with Nobel Laureate and DIL Faculty Director Michael Kremer. The position is expected be one year in duration.

Apply by 12/1: www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

30.10.2025 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Artificial intelligence could dramatically improve weather forecasting An AI-based model outperformed every other in forecasting the Indian monsoon this year. This helped millions of farmers.

One area where AI has a lot of potential is in weather forecasting and climate modelling.

Fairly accurate weather forecasting, in particular, is something that many of us now take for granted.

From my latest Substack: www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/artificial...

28.10.2025 10:34 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 2
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026

We are recruiting postdocs at DIL this year. Please apply!

www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

#EconJobMarket #EconSky

25.10.2025 19:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Illinois Gov. Pritzker ahead of Trump National Guard deployment:

"To Chicagoans... Look out for your communities and your neighbours. Know your rights. Film things that you see happening... Authoritarians thrive on your silence. Be loud for America."

02.09.2025 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 9807    πŸ” 3180    πŸ’¬ 126    πŸ“Œ 368

Just received this statement from Lisa Cook:
"President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."

26.08.2025 03:02 β€” πŸ‘ 4682    πŸ” 1362    πŸ’¬ 75    πŸ“Œ 122
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'We are watching and taking names': Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker responds to Trump's threats to Chicago Illinois Governor JB Pritzker holds press conference in response to recent threats made by President Donald Trump to send the national guard to Chicago, in a similar manner that he has done so in Los ...

The full 12 minutes of @govpritzker.illinois.gov speech today, which was superb.

(Via Nicole Wallace / @msnbc.com segment.)

www.msnbc.com/deadline-whi...

25.08.2025 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1647    πŸ” 559    πŸ’¬ 47    πŸ“Œ 68
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Everyone is misunderstanding what happened to USAID I read 18 pieces reckoning with the end of USAID. Here's what they get wrong.

There are a lot of USAID post-mortems out there. I read 18 of them and wrote about what they get wrong.

In short, the problem is that the development sector’s reckoning with the destruction of USAID has been largely unmoored from what actually happened
timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/everyone-i...

21.08.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 5

What Danielle said.

According to the Yale Budget Lab, the average effective tariff rate in this economy right now is 18.2%

Let me put that another way.

President Trump has raised taxes on American businesses and consumers by -- on average -- 18.2%

21.08.2025 18:15 β€” πŸ‘ 3774    πŸ” 1525    πŸ’¬ 118    πŸ“Œ 52
Photo of DOGE staffer Nate Cavanagh, a 28-year-old white man in a blue pullover, carrying a black backpack.

Photo of DOGE staffer Nate Cavanagh, a 28-year-old white man in a blue pullover, carrying a black backpack.

Photo of 53-year-old Afghan scholar Mohammad Halimi. He is sitting, wearing white pants and shirt with a brown vest.

Photo of 53-year-old Afghan scholar Mohammad Halimi. He is sitting, wearing white pants and shirt with a brown vest.

On the left: Nate Cavanagh, a 28-year-old DOGE staffer and college dropout.

On the right: Mohammad Halimi, a 53-year-old exiled Afghan scholar.

This is the story of how DOGE targeted Halimi on social media.

Then the Taliban took his family. 🧡

22.08.2025 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5862    πŸ” 3258    πŸ’¬ 154    πŸ“Œ 511

NEWβ€”Earlier this evening agents from ICE/other fed agencies were outside Rhode Island Ave metro in DC asking people exiting the station for their IDs, per someone who experienced it. When the person presented their Real ID license, an agent said that wasn't sufficient. Luckily they had secondary ID.

21.08.2025 02:00 β€” πŸ‘ 4785    πŸ” 1936    πŸ’¬ 352    πŸ“Œ 548
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A $45 Treatment Can Save a Starving Child. US Aid Cuts Have Frozen the Supply

USAID funded roughly half the world’s supply of ready-to-use therapeutic food. The dismantling of the agency has disrupted the global supply chain that provides the packets, leaving thousands of malnourished children at risk of dying.

17.08.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 4128    πŸ” 1945    πŸ’¬ 356    πŸ“Œ 223
The Political Economy of Maize in East Africa, 1900-2020: How cheap food turned expensive – African Economic History Network

New working paper from me & some colleagues on East Africa's maize markets from c. 1900 to today, based on a major data collection effort to fill in the long-run history of food prices in one of the world's poorest regions: www.aehnetwork.org/working-pape...

01.08.2025 10:29 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
After more than three decades in the U.S., Sharon Lee said her son's current predicament has saddened and surprised her.
"I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally," she said.
She still believes the U.S. is a country of opportunity and second chances. But she said vulnerable immigrants must learn about immigration law to protect themselves. In her son's case, that was the hotline at the National Korean American Service and Education Consortium, an advocacy group for Koreans and Korean Americans.

After more than three decades in the U.S., Sharon Lee said her son's current predicament has saddened and surprised her. "I immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally," she said. She still believes the U.S. is a country of opportunity and second chances. But she said vulnerable immigrants must learn about immigration law to protect themselves. In her son's case, that was the hotline at the National Korean American Service and Education Consortium, an advocacy group for Koreans and Korean Americans.

Kim’s mother:

β€œI immigrated here to the States - I thought I understood it was a country of equal rights where the Constitution applies equally.”

29.07.2025 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 215    πŸ” 42    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5
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My practical tips for designing and analyzing powerful experiments

My practical tips for designing, implementing, and analyzing powerful experiments. In today's blog I summarize a new paper I've written for a special issue on power calculations. A key message is that it does not make sense to talk of β€œthe” power of an experiment. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...

28.07.2025 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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@rglenner.bsky.social advocates for radically simplifying how we do aid (and how we communicate it).

www.youtube.com/live/uvyFva0... (starts at 10m30s) #ABCDE2025

22.07.2025 15:42 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

The Supreme Court's disdain for Congress, the statutory design of agencies, and the public services they provide to millions truly astounds.

Destroying a 50-year-old Cabinet-level department may be the biggest violation of the Take Care Clause in U.S. historyβ€”and six justices simply ... don't care.

14.07.2025 20:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2121    πŸ” 725    πŸ’¬ 55    πŸ“Œ 33

Can a small pilot project still be effective when scaled up to reach millions? New evidence shows digital advisory can help farmers who experience weather shocks to obtain higher yields.

Read today's article to learn more:

02.07.2025 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Case for Prioritizing Neonatal Sepsis Diagnostics This blog post is the first in a series introducing a new working group convened by CGD and the Market Shaping Accelerator (MSA) on developing an advance market commitment (AMC) for a rapid diagnostic...

Developing a rapid diagnostic could save thousands of newborn lives and slow AMR.

Read the full series to learn more: www.cgdev.org/blog/case-pr...
@siddhharia.bsky.social @cgdev.org @rrolapp.bsky.social

25.06.2025 13:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0