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@realliv04.bsky.social

Professional stats nerd - Shockingly dyslexic - Former President of the French Republic - MP for Toronto North East since 1996 Twitter: @RealLiv04 (She/They), 21 πŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈ

180 Followers  |  540 Following  |  80 Posts  |  Joined: 28.07.2023  |  2.283

Latest posts by realliv04.bsky.social on Bluesky

Many such cases, trains systems just a total swizz atm

21.05.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Holy fuck that's diabolical 😭😭😭

Bit of a treck down there as well

21.05.2025 16:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Doesn't surprise me that what do ever, idk what station you want from but Victoria particularly is a bloody nightmare for delays

21.05.2025 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Shocked, shocked i say

21.05.2025 16:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a suit and tie is making a funny face ALT: a man in a suit and tie is making a funny face

Train from Manchester delayed????

21.05.2025 16:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close

15.05.2025 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Conservative party polling average 1943-2025

Conservative party polling average 1943-2025

Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election

15.05.2025 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now.

First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.

13.05.2025 13:07 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Could get some photo from little women, clothing's simular enough

12.05.2025 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

and I think it's strength could be in attracting those who are not currently participating in the political process but maybe it'd pick up some of those anti-system reform voters but being more idolocally obvious then like say the greens, they might struggle

12.05.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

you'd get that youth vote which I think still sees him as the standard bearer for progressive politics in this country, how much of the reform vote it'd pick up idk I suspect considering how little youth support they have I suspect crossover support would be minimal

12.05.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Groups and people in Preston and Tyneside. I'd guess most of the support nationally would come from dissolutioned Labour voters, leftists currently finding a home in the greens but also left wing voters who stayed at home last time and obviously with Corbyn possibly leading it

12.05.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

with a number of the left independents/smalled left parties such as the community independents in Liverpool to bring together these groupings into one national organisation so I'd guess initially it'd play off its local strengths with groupings in London obviously but also with

12.05.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Tbh I don't think it'd entirally be draw from the ind alliance, I've a feeling over the next year somethings going to be established with or by Corbyn nationally. Just keeping an eye on his speeches and movements over the past couple of weeks he seems to be engaging

12.05.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So true and many people are saying this

12.05.2025 20:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one

12.05.2025 19:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Forgot to add this

12.05.2025 13:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And even then he's losing to Sunak and Johnson who were Prime Ministers and savvy social media operators in their own rights

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Though I do think it's interesting how Corbyn is still one of the most followed accounts on most other platforms even now, like he's the 2nd or 3rd most followed politician on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram and beats Farage in terms of followers on all of them even now

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Also Reichinneks tiktoks are so well produced in a way that I don't really kinda any British politician had matched

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Tbh I think the issue with Corbyn and Sultana is that their content is mostly just clips of their speeches to parliament which don't really have the same theatrical visuals which even the German parliament has

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just thought I'd have a look at this after reading that guardian article, tbh the Left in this country should really be doing better on there

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.

12.05.2025 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Ngl i haven't seen that interview though I don't really watch newsnight that much these days but ill try and seek it out, do wonder how much of a divide there is in the scg there is these days and how much contact Corbyn still had with them

11.05.2025 12:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And tbf from interviews I've seen of him over the past year he doesn't seem too bad and alsp he wouldn't necessarily have to lead the party into an election just give it the initial publicity for setting up the party and establishing it

10.05.2025 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tbh i could see him doing one last national campaign and if he doesn't know there's people around him that will be aware of the fact he's the only person who could seriously set up a Left Populist party

10.05.2025 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Like how am I, in the year of our lord 2025, honestly and sincerely hoping that he sets up a new party outside Labour

10.05.2025 22:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I know I need to move on, but like this government is so shit right now it's sincerely got me back to my 2017-2020 mindset

10.05.2025 22:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Really concerned by how much I've returned to being a total Corbyn dead ender, like I've gone from the "oh well I kinda liked him but yeah his leadership had issues and maybe it's time to move on" to nostalgically watching that fucking Glastonbury video

10.05.2025 22:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

But yeah its only happened 4 times before

10.05.2025 16:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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