Here is my prediction for 2026:
Another CMB experiment will find isotropic cosmic birefringence at 3+sigma, and the world will start taking cosmic birefringence very seriously
@johanres.bsky.social
Cosmologist - University of Oslo. Trying my best to figure out if cosmic birefringence is real or not.
Here is my prediction for 2026:
Another CMB experiment will find isotropic cosmic birefringence at 3+sigma, and the world will start taking cosmic birefringence very seriously
2) You can't blame dust! LFI and WMAP has negligible amount of dust. And ACT measurements do not use the foreground to calibrate. Hence, dust EB will again have a small impact on the measured birefringence angle.
17.10.2025 16:58 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 01) It is not just Planck HFI that favors a non-zero birefringence angle. Planck LFI, WMAP and ACT also increase the significance (all towards a positive value).
17.10.2025 16:56 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I've spent three days now making a plot that would summarize the past 10 years of cosmic birefringence research
Different datasets with widely different systematics (astrophysical + instrumental) favor a positive and non-zero cosmic birefringence angle! Excited to fill in more colors in the future!
He already gave a talk on the results! youtu.be/vvxSsnZivTQ?...
20.09.2025 13:11 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Currently at 4.6sigma, so we are not far from crossing it!
bsky.app/profile/joha...
Combining these results, we get 4.6 sigma. Getting close to 5 sigma!
Graph credit: E. Komatsu
In 2022, we were very excited to see 3.6sigma evidence of Cosmic Birefringence in Planck+WMAP. We've been waiting for confirmation from other experiments since, and now we are slowly getting it!
New paper is finding 2.9sigma evidence in ACT DR6. This is getting serious!
arxiv.org/abs/2509.13654
ACT's 2.5sigma cosmic birefringence measurement should not be viewed in isolation. Combining their measurement with previous WMAP+Planck result increases the significance to 4+ sigma (assuming Gaussian dist+independent measurements).
Graph credit: E. Komatsu
With Planck+WMAP, we reached 3.6 sigma. If another CMB experiment with different systematics and people doing the analysis reaches the same significance, I won't just be excited, I'll actually believe cosmic birefringence is real. But I might just be young and naive π
18.03.2025 20:01 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I would expect you to be more excited about their 2.5 sigma birefringence results! It's a bit hidden, but they find a birefringence angle of 0.20 \pm 0.08 deg (Eq 14 in act.princeton.edu/sites/g/file...). Very consistent with our Planck+WMAP results! arxiv.org/abs/2205.13962
18.03.2025 19:14 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Although #ACT DR6s headline is that LCDM is still king, they do find a 2.5 sigma of an unexplained polarization angle (aka cosmic birefringence)! I am amazed that people are not more excited by this! Their beta = 0.20 \pm 0.08 is very consistent with our Planck+WMAP results! arxiv.org/abs/2205.13962
18.03.2025 19:09 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 1 π 1