Jacob Edenhofer

Seminar today: Laurenz Guenther exploring the role of political representation gaps in fuelling the rise of anti-immigration far-right populism in Europe.

Distribution matters: Why record inequality is a big macroeconomic problem Podcast Episode · Economics for Inclusive Prosperity · January 28 · 48m

Well worth listening to this conversation with @atifrmian.bsky.social! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/d...

Ayatollah Khamenei’s Deadly Legacy Pegah Banihashemi thinks Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death will bring meaningful change only if his governing framework is dismantled.

Good analysis of the institutional conundrum facing the Iranian leadership after Khamenei’s death: www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/k...

Peep this from @anthlittle.bsky.social & @tompepinsky.com. We CAN learn even from biased estimates if we do exactly what @stablemarkets.bsky.social is saying.

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

This new paper by @claudiazwar.bsky.social is an absolute must read!
osf.io/preprints/so...

Evidence from Brazil shows that drought-driven rural-urban migration reduced urban informality over a decade, contradicting conventional wisdom.

Read today's article to learn more:

🧺 Paper Picnic 2.0 is here! More journals. New features. An easier way to keep up with the latest research in political science and adjacent fields. 🧵👇

Super interesting!

"AI, Human Cognition and Knowledge Collapse" by Daron Acemoglu, Dingwen Kong, Asuman Ozdaglar.

"We study how generative AI, and in particular agentic AI, shapes human learning incentives and the long-run evolution of society’s information ecosystem."

www.nber.org/papers/w34910

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library Politician characteristic regression discontinuity (PCRD) designs leveraging close elections are widely used to isolate effects of an elected politician characteristic on downstream outcomes. Unlike ....

I am once again asking you to read Marshall (2022) before running a close-election RDD

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Midterms The question we face in the US today is whether a party in office which is supported by 40 percent of survey respondents can win an election.

Very thoughtful from @adamprz.bsky.social. At once somehow optimistic and sobering.

"We live in an unprecedented time and I have learned that history is a poor guide to predict what will happen."

Screenshot of claude just writing a design no trouble

Writing simulations in DeclareDesign just went from "I should do that, but it's kind of a lot of work" to extremely easy

bsky.app/profile/grat...

Leaving beautiful Sydney — what a lovely and fun week it was! Many thanks to @grattonecon.bsky.social for the invitation! I look forward to seeing the Resilient Democracy Lab flourish.

UNSW Resilient Democracy Lab The UNSW Resilient Democracy Lab promotes and supports quantitative and qualitative research on democratic institutions.

New site live!
resilientdemocracylab.org

EVENTS | Resilient Democracy Lab Events and Workshops at the Resilient Democracy Lab

Less than two weeks to the 3rd UNSW Resilient Democracy Lab workshop. Register here 👇
www.resilientdemocracylab.org/events

Highly relevant!

"Global Labor Mobility between Shrinking and Growing Labor Forces" by Lant Pritchett.

pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...

Food for thought!

"Why Sweden has so many unicorns: Europe’s problem is not the lack of venture capital" by Luis Garicano.

www.siliconcontinent.com/p/why-sweden...

Just another day when I am awed by my ability to come up with half-baked, ultimately obvious or confused, theoretical ideas that are impossible to test credibly.

Great work starting to open up the black box of Australian elite-level climate politics

Painful to read this and think about the 2021 coup attempt, which was as blatant as it gets. An utter failure of US elites to seize the moment when everybody saw the threat right in front of their eyes.

If we have history books in the future, they will be unkind.

This seems neat. An interesting application of the law of 1/n.

Super interesting!

"Europe Falling Behind: Structural Transformation and Labor Productivity Growth Differences Between Europe and the U.S." by Cesare Buiatti, Joao B. Duarte, and Luis Felipe Saenz.

jbduarte.com/files/BDS202...

muse.jhu.edu/verify?url=%...

What did ‘Nudge’ get wrong? With Nick Chater Podcast-Folge · The Economics Show · 20. Februar · 30 Min.

See also this podcast episode podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/t...

Worth reading this in combination with the new book by Chater and Loewenstein.
www.penguin.co.uk/books/476169...

We are especially grateful to @fgenovese.bsky.social, @pculpepper.bsky.social, and @dustintingley.bsky.social!

Very happy to share this thoroughly revised version of our climate institutions working paper -- always a joy to work with @claudiazwar.bsky.social and @chflachsland.bsky.social. Thank you to everyone who provided feedback on the previous version!
osf.io/preprints/so...

What has been the main effect of the rise of 3G internet / social media on politics in industrialised, wealthy democracies?

1. Misinformation / disinformation
2. Radicalisation
3. Party entry
4. Other (pls specify)

Check out our @nber.org working paper on how exposure to energy stock can increase support for climate action!

This thread somehow got buried in my bookmarked items. I have worked in the field of policy support for more than 20 years, both as external contractor and as civil servant , and I think it raises a lot of interesting points.