Jacob Edenhofer

I was interviewed with Claudia Goldin, Ron Lee & others by The Financial Times on how population may transform the economy.

I pointed to the potential, not inevitability, of it leading to more #gerontonomic economies & more #gerontocratic policy models
www.ft.com/content/1527...

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

Your regular reminder to exercise some caution when proclaiming the US electorate to be hopelessly polarised based on answers to cheap-talk survey questions. direct.mit.edu/rest/article...

If you missed the excitement of my Constituency App over the weekend - here it is for your delectation. Two versions:

Less pretty but more stable and faster loading:
benwansell.github.io/constituency...

Prettier but prey to server hiccups:
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/Constituency...

Have fun!

undoing more than half of the EV adoption stimulus coming from pure buyer subsidies."

Europe. Theoretically, local assembly requirements can push down delivered marginal costs relative to unconditional subsidies. Empirically, local content requirements quadruple the expansion of cell factories in America, but they drive up costs and reduce subsidy uptake,

"Counterfactual simulations reveal a tension between boosting EV adoption and promoting domestic supply chains. Due to increasing returns, even unconditional subsidies raise the number of factories in the subsidizing region—by about 16% for EVs and 7% for cells in North America, and even more in

This paper illustrates nicely why political scientists interested in climate policy should talk & listen to climate economists, even though they don't always make it easy. They are v.good at carefully thinking through the trade-offs associated with policy instruments.
www.nber.org/papers/w34884

Using an R language server with Claude Code – Christopher T. Kenny Giving Claude access to an R LSP to improve its interaction with your codebase.

Here's a quick guide to setting up an R LSP for Claude Code in #rstats: christophertkenny.com/posts/2026-0...

Note that it uses the `languageserver` package at the moment, since I don't believe ark is exposed for a standalone mode yet.

Neoclassical economics emphasizes that international trade acts like an improvement in technology that is mutually beneficial. Tariffs are a tax on this trading technology, from Ralph Ossa and @reddingecon.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34915

Lucas Kritik nicht vergessen

Good interview. 👇🏼

@andreasloeschel.bsky.social points out that the current discussion of solar panel subsidies in 🇩🇪 is far less problematic than the weakening of support for CO2 prices (including emmission trading). And he, too, pushes for reducing fossile fuel imports.

Despite the extensive discourse about the supposed end of manufacturing in Germany’s industrial heartland, the shift toward the AfD among workers remains rather moderate. The vote share in this occupational segment is roughly at the level of 2016.

Incredible episode imo

Building on my General Election Prediction App, I thought it might be fun to build an app that allows you to look at UK constituencies in a bunch of cool ways. So this app doesn't turn polls into seats. It looks at seats as they are.

livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/Constituency...

Quick thread 1/n

Rechtzeitig zur #Landtagswahl: eine neue Version von „Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run“
(mit schneiderst.de/)

-> Die historischen Erfahrungen mit Einwanderung wirken sich dort bis heute auf die Wahlergebnisse der #AfD aus. <-

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Highly recommended!

"Navigating inflation and employment in an era of supply shocks and AI", speech by Isabel Schnabel at the 2026 US Monetary Policy Forum.

www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/da...

This looks like a must-read!

"Expectations Matter: The New Causal Macroeconomics of Surveys and Experiments" by Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko.

amzn.to/3PlSfqn

Not quite what you are looking for, but might still be of interest www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Why are we observing a 'green backlash' when serious efforts to decarbonise have scarcely begun? I'm happy to share my working paper, 'The Political Consequences of Climate Ambition: Evidence from Australia', which analyses how voters respond prospectively to proposed climate policies. Brief 🧵:

Technology diffusion: The role of venture capital, universities and China Josh Lerner discusses why there is a gap between innovation and impact, and how policymakers can speed up technological diffusion.

🆕 How does technology diffuse?

This week on Ideas in Development, Josh Lerner joined @deenamousa.com & I to discuss why is there a gap between innovation & impact, + the role of venture capital, universities & China in diffusion: voxdev.org/topic/techno...

Seminar today: Laurenz Guenther exploring the role of political representation gaps in fuelling the rise of anti-immigration far-right populism in Europe.

Distribution matters: Why record inequality is a big macroeconomic problem Podcast Episode · Economics for Inclusive Prosperity · January 28 · 48m

Well worth listening to this conversation with @atifrmian.bsky.social! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/d...

Ayatollah Khamenei’s Deadly Legacy Pegah Banihashemi thinks Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death will bring meaningful change only if his governing framework is dismantled.

Good analysis of the institutional conundrum facing the Iranian leadership after Khamenei’s death: www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/k...

Peep this from @anthlittle.bsky.social & @tompepinsky.com. We CAN learn even from biased estimates if we do exactly what @stablemarkets.bsky.social is saying.

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

This new paper by @claudiazwar.bsky.social is an absolute must read!
osf.io/preprints/so...

Evidence from Brazil shows that drought-driven rural-urban migration reduced urban informality over a decade, contradicting conventional wisdom.

Read today's article to learn more:

🧺 Paper Picnic 2.0 is here! More journals. New features. An easier way to keep up with the latest research in political science and adjacent fields. 🧵👇

Super interesting!

"AI, Human Cognition and Knowledge Collapse" by Daron Acemoglu, Dingwen Kong, Asuman Ozdaglar.

"We study how generative AI, and in particular agentic AI, shapes human learning incentives and the long-run evolution of society’s information ecosystem."

www.nber.org/papers/w34910

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library Politician characteristic regression discontinuity (PCRD) designs leveraging close elections are widely used to isolate effects of an elected politician characteristic on downstream outcomes. Unlike ....

I am once again asking you to read Marshall (2022) before running a close-election RDD

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...