Conflicting sovereignty, religious antagonism, relics of Empire, Srinagar or Muzaffarabad, could be the Sarajevo of our century

More than Taiwan, that might be place where the dam breaks

A new day, a new war #India-Pakistan

See @ebehi.org

This is the paper to read right now: 👇
"Exports in Disguise? Trade Rerouting During the U.S.-China Trade War" Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, Jaya Wen and Sung-Ju Wu
www.hbs.edu/faculty/Page...
With the trade war in full swing, rerouting of Chinese export can be massive

Hi Chad, do you think the US custom has the manpower to control the RoO at the US borders ?

Trump’s Deportation Agenda Expands to Legal Immigrants and Tourists U.S. border officials are using more aggressive tactics at ports of entry as the administration scrutinizes green card and visa holders who have expressed opposition to its policies.

First they came for foreigners…https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/21/us/politics/trump-immigration-visa-crackdown.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share

With Trump back in the White House, the age of free trade could be coming to an end The US and China look set to go head-to-head with trade tariffs and a more protectionist outlook.

Fifteen days in the Trump presidency and we can already change our title for: "The age of free trade IS coming to an end" theconversation.com/with-trump-b...

With Trump back in the White House, the age of free trade could be coming to an end The US and China look set to go head-to-head with trade tariffs and a more protectionist outlook.

New short piece in The Conversation. With my colleague A. Delis we argue that we are definitely leaving the shore of free trade and entering an era of unfettered mercantilism.
👇
With Trump back in the White House, the age of free trade could be coming to an end theconversation.com/with-trump-b...

The world according to Trump — five scenarios by @gideonrachman.bsky.social in the FT. Which will be realized? Choose one, or a combination of two. I think, 2-3

Three possible futures for the global economy if Trump brings in new trade tariffs If the incoming US president makes good on his tariffs threat, the rest of the world will have to decide how to respond.

A short piece in the conversation with my colleague Agelos Delis on the future of trade and tariffs.
theconversation.com/three-possib...

Hi Matt,
Thank you very much. Yes, indeed we use the first MER published after the publications of the 2012 recommendations. It is not perfect, but it shows the willingness of the countries involved to collaborate and to adopt the standards.

This is an interesting piece in the FT, particularly the insights about how it isn't just big tech that is overvalued but all of the US markets.
www.ft.com/content/49cc...

We would like to thank the SOC ACE Evidence Research Programme without which this research wouldn’t have been possible. @soc-ace.bsky.social , @hamarquette.bsky.social

What do we find ?
The adoption of the FATF recommendations is correlated with a 15.3% reduction in trade-related fraud.

What do we do?

We evaluate the efficacy of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) Recommendations 2012, which set the global standard on combating money laundering and terrorist financing, by exploiting its staggered adoption in 16 East and South African countries.

Combating trade‐related fraud: do the Financial Action Task Force recommendations bite? We evaluate the efficacy of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) Recommendations 2012, which set the global standard on combating money laundering and terrorist financing, by exploiting its stagger....

Check out our new research paper 👇

Combating trade-related fraud: do the Financial Action Task Force recommendations bite?

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....