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Sam Shirazi

@samshirazi.bsky.social

Host of Federal Fallout Podcast. Follow for Virginia Elections and Politics πŸ—³οΈ (Views expressed are mine personally) contact: federalfalloutpod@gmail.com

3,909 Followers  |  681 Following  |  2,865 Posts  |  Joined: 12.09.2023
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Posts by Sam Shirazi (@samshirazi.bsky.social)

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The regime fought a brutal 8 year war against Saddam

He bombed Iranian cities, sent his armies, and even used chemical weapons

That war is part of the regime’s core ideology

Difficult to imagine they would just give up

As much as I’d like to see them go

06.03.2026 01:10 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Tomorrow is start of early voting for VA redistricting referendum

Don’t think will reach 2025 levels of early voting which had 33K first day

Probably get more than 2023 state elections first day of 12K

Expect lots of over analysis, but will give a sense of potential turnout

05.03.2026 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Imagine the conversation will go something like this

05.03.2026 22:14 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Don’t recall these members having concerns when their Democratic colleagues in other states were gerrymandered

05.03.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 10

πŸ˜‚

05.03.2026 14:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Basically the Virginia Supreme Court

05.03.2026 14:03 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Referendum Moves Forward: But Legal ?s Linger Podcast Episode Β· Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections Β· March 5 Β· 19m

New Federal Fallout pod on Virginia Supreme Court decision

Kicking the can down the road one again

But need a final ruling if the referendum passes

Plus early voting starts tomorrow

But will voters be paying attention with everything going on in the world

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

05.03.2026 13:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Governor Spanberger with her strongest statement in support of Redistricting amendment

This comes as former President Obama also releases a video in support

Dems doing a full court press before start of early voting tomorrow

We’ll see if national GOP figures get involved

05.03.2026 12:28 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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With early voting starting TOMORROW, Former President @barackobama.bsky.social endorses the YES campaign for the Virginia redistricting amendment bluevirginia.us/2026/03/thur... h/t @meidastouch.com

05.03.2026 12:18 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It worked
bsky.app/profile/sams...

04.03.2026 22:06 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Wish Virginia Supreme Court would have cited Doja Cat’s Paint the Town Red

The GOP’s β€œillness don’t come with no remedy”

(At least for now)

04.03.2026 22:04 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Virginia Supreme Court explicitly says if referendum is voted down, case is moot

If it passes, then will make the final judgment

Opinion seems like court was thorn about whether to rule now or later

But Dems will take it and live to fight another day

04.03.2026 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
4321012488147272302.pdf

Link to full opinion: drive.google.com/file/d/1zZ_I...

04.03.2026 21:44 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Democrats are celebrating this ruling

But it is very procedural in nature

Virginia Supreme Court says β€œthese issues are of grave concern to the Court”

Just won’t stop vote

Could just mean they will take their time to decide final issue

But the case is far from over…

04.03.2026 21:43 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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We finally got a Virginia Supreme Court ruling!

Confirmation redistricting referendum is happening

Early voting starts this Friday

Essentially a shadow docket ruling and not on final merits

But highest court in Virginia will let voters go to the polls

04.03.2026 21:31 β€” πŸ‘ 125    πŸ” 48    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 10
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Bedford County supervisor files suit challenging reproductive rights constitutional amendment β€’ Virginia Mercury Lawsuit claims abortion ballot initiative is invalid because Virginia’s House of Delegates did not distribute it to all circuit court clerks and post it for public inspection three months prior to the...

A lawsuit has been filed to try to stop Virginia's proposed reproductive rights constitutional amendment from making it to statewide ballots later this year.
virginiamercury.com/2026/03/04/b...

04.03.2026 20:30 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

All indications are early voting will start as expected on Friday for redistricting referendum

Only thing that could stop it is explicit order from Virginia Supreme Court not to do so

Complicated in Tazewell county due to local judge’s order

Hearing going on today there

04.03.2026 17:36 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Tom Bonier: "Here are 4 districts the TX GOP gerrymandered to gain seats in November, with the Dem and GOP primary vote. Dems outvoted GOPs in every one of them." (CD9, CD28, CD34, CD35)

Tom Bonier: "Here are 4 districts the TX GOP gerrymandered to gain seats in November, with the Dem and GOP primary vote. Dems outvoted GOPs in every one of them." (CD9, CD28, CD34, CD35)

Wow, that's wild: "4 districts the TX GOP gerrymandered to gain seats in November, with the Dem and GOP primary vote. Dems outvoted GOPs in every one of them." bluevirginia.us/2026/03/wedn... h/t @tbonier.bsky.social

04.03.2026 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 72    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
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Finally called at nearly 2am

04.03.2026 07:48 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I'll post the final numbers when I can get them, but for now...

THE DEMOCRATS HAVE FLIPPED ARKANSAS'S #HD70 (Harris+2)

Looks like a pretty good-sized overperformance from 2024 too

04.03.2026 02:43 β€” πŸ‘ 349    πŸ” 62    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 9

Yeah GOP Rep Dan Crenshaw looks finished in his primary

04.03.2026 02:27 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3
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Meanwhile GOP Rep. Dan Crenshaw looks in trouble in his primary

04.03.2026 02:00 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 42
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James Talarico looks on his way to winning the Dem nomination for Texas Senate without a runoff

The GOP race likely going to runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Ken Paxton

Boosts Dems as they try to overcome long odds to take back Senate

04.03.2026 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3

Interesting

03.03.2026 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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New Poll: VA07 Dem Primary Voters Oppose Fairfax Casino Project by a 66%-28% Margin; Want Candidate Who Shares Their Views - Blue Virginia With legislation moving ahead in the Virginia General Assembly to allow for a referendum in Fairfax County on a potential new casino, this morning we got new polling, by BlueLabs for Freedom Virginia,...

New Poll: VA07 Dem Primary Voters Oppose Fairfax Casino Project by a 66%-28% Margin; Want Candidate Who Shares Their Views (Also, see video of Sen. @ssurovell.bsky.social making the case FOR the casino...) bluevirginia.us/2026/03/new-... h/t @teamfreedomva.bsky.social

03.03.2026 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Also should have noted there is a hearing tomorrow morning in Tazewell with the judge

The County wants to get more clarity on what it can and can’t do

03.03.2026 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No idea either way

03.03.2026 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What if the Virginia Supreme Court never rules?

03.03.2026 21:02 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Good article about state of early voting in Tazewell

It is supposed to start Friday and absentee ballots usually would be mailed

But local court issued an injunction to prevent the Redistricting referendum

And the Virginia Supreme Court has not given any updates

03.03.2026 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Regime strikes in Persian Gulf having desired effect of hitting where it hurts

Rise in oil prices and drop in stock market will get Trump’s attention

Regime willing to sacrifice long-term relationship with Gulf states for short term survival

03.03.2026 16:10 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0