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icastorm

@icastorm.bsky.social

Meteorologist | TTU PhD Candidate | Predictability and Sensitivity | Moody Storm Pictures | Prog Rock

455 Followers  |  299 Following  |  574 Posts  |  Joined: 24.10.2024
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Posts by icastorm (@icastorm.bsky.social)

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4 Guys Near White House Bragging in Bar About Iran Bombing Hours Before It Started A group at a Washington D.C. restaurant was talking openly in the bar area Friday afternoon about a national secret that was about to literally explode hours later -- the bombing of Iran.

β€œA group at a Washington D.C. restaurant was talking openly in the bar area Friday afternoon about a national secret that was about to literally explode hours later -- the bombing of Iran.”
www.tmz.com/2026/02/28/m...

28.02.2026 22:25 β€” πŸ‘ 623    πŸ” 303    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 64

The best part of this is the high-speed rail to Alaska/Hawaii that almost lands its joke except A) it's labeled and B) it's only labeled on the one to Hawaii

27.02.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They lied and here's the video proof. I cannot believe we're just gonna keep on like this and absolutely nothing happens

27.02.2026 04:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2146    πŸ” 642    πŸ’¬ 26    πŸ“Œ 18

It's up to you to decide whether or not Platner himself is personally bigoted but there's a lot more evidence of a problem with him than there's ever been with Rashida Tlaib and yet who gets talked about more?

24.02.2026 20:40 β€” πŸ‘ 630    πŸ” 65    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 0

The President singled out racial minorities as the source of fraud in the United States and the first line in recaps is β€œhe stayed focused on the economyβ€œ lol

25.02.2026 13:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3312    πŸ” 645    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 39

Some people find it very comforting to hear they are better than others in immutable and timeless ways and anything less than full recognition of that is an injustice

25.02.2026 14:33 β€” πŸ‘ 139    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

You don't even need to do that to make social security solvent (although we should still do that). You just need to remove the laughably low cap on individual contributions and the problem mostly solves itself!

25.02.2026 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

hello! I’m the median American voter. the two most important things to me are means-tested tax subsidies for a subset of logistics companies based in critical port infrastructure areas, and the creeping infestation of Freemasonry

24.02.2026 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 803    πŸ” 84    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Justice Department withheld and removed some Epstein files related to Trump An NPR investigation finds the public database of Epstein files is missing dozens of pages related to sexual abuse accusations against President Trump.

An NPR investigation finds the public database of Epstein files is missing dozens of pages related to sexual abuse accusations against President Trump. n.pr/4qTItsU

24.02.2026 10:11 β€” πŸ‘ 10173    πŸ” 5123    πŸ’¬ 334    πŸ“Œ 630

Alright listen

23.02.2026 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Investigating Trump's claims that White South African farmers are victims of genocide
YouTube video by 60 Minutes Investigating Trump's claims that White South African farmers are victims of genocide

Here’s the 60 Minutes report on β€œwhite genocide” in South Africa. It demonstrates it’s a lie, shows what’s really happening, debunks the specific claims made by Trump and ends with an Afrikaner saying it’s racist for the US to welcome his people rather than genuine refugees from around the world.

23.02.2026 13:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1995    πŸ” 627    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 22

You should listen to him interact with people off script and unedited, he's not a smart guy

23.02.2026 12:49 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

very funny to me to see folks who have no social media presence outside of twitter say you have to be on twitter to be influential

23.02.2026 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 11006    πŸ” 841    πŸ’¬ 113    πŸ“Œ 83

I'm quite serious here; presumably she was not aware that she was retweeting a racist, but if you stay on X you are almost inevitably going to end up promoting literal Nazis, even by accident, because they have become so dominant in the discourse.

22.02.2026 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2305    πŸ” 63    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 4

The faithful have earned this, please

22.02.2026 20:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It seems to me that the 15-18 contour is missing

22.02.2026 20:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think the colors are good! I am just trying to figure out where the gray-ish color comes in, it seems to be a combination of two missing colors from what I can tell

22.02.2026 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Is there some weirdness going on near the upper end of the colorbar, or am I just blind?

22.02.2026 20:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I was encouraged by how strongly the sentiment was shared that the right must be defeated. There are real and justified grievances, not to be brushed aside. But the shared sentiment was real. I did not get the same punitive vibe that some have in the US about wanting the right to win out of spite

22.02.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 720    πŸ” 47    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 0

The title of this article does a huge disservice to what is relatively encouraging and well done research. It lends it an air of popsci nonsense that people have been trained to sniff out from a mile away, even though the study design seems thorough and the conclusions reasonable.

22.02.2026 17:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The study design showing the number of participants in each group. 698 were assigned to the control and received no training. Only those who completed their initial assigned training were used in the analytical sample, separated by those who received a booster and those who didn't.

The study design showing the number of participants in each group. 698 were assigned to the control and received no training. Only those who completed their initial assigned training were used in the analytical sample, separated by those who received a booster and those who didn't.

For anyone seeing this, I was blocked before I could reply but this person is simply wrong about the control group. People who did not complete their assigned training were not put into the control group, there was no movement from group to group of subjects. That would be awful study design.

22.02.2026 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Of course, that's why the larger study should be illuminating. This study and the article written about it don't claim that speed training is definitely a way to reduce risk, the correct interpretation is that there is good reason for optimism.

22.02.2026 16:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This would've affected all of the groups, including the control.

22.02.2026 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This doesn't cast doubt on any of the findings, it simply looks forward to the new questions raised.

22.02.2026 16:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, however the other booster groups would've likely shown the same self-selection bias and they didn't show the same improvements.

22.02.2026 16:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That's just not what correlation means, the 25% describes an effect, not how strongly correlated two variables are. There was a correlation, yes, but that number wouldn't be 25%

22.02.2026 16:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

and the speed +no booster group, suggesting a specific effect. Very few participants seemed to drop out as well, and the covariates were balanced well across the groups. As you say there could be something they didn't catch, but there is good reason to be optimistic that the effect is real.

22.02.2026 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There may still be more at play, but it is super encouraging. As far as I can tell this is a quality study with quality data. No study like this has ever shown statistically significant reduction in Alzheimer's, and the speed +booster group showed significant reduction in risk vs both the control

22.02.2026 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You motivated me to read the actual paper the article was about! That 25% isn't a correlation, it's how much the rate of Alzheimer's was reduced vs the control group, who got no training. They controlled for dozens of independent variables, including age, health, and socioeconomic background.

22.02.2026 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

I think in cases like this it might be useful to get a box plot or histogram over the named locations, something to indicate the skew. This specific case seems like a long tail and that isn't communicated very well here

22.02.2026 13:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0