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Robert Patman

@robertgpatman.bsky.social

Distinguished Professor of International Relations, University of Otago, New Zealand.

225 Followers  |  8 Following  |  102 Posts  |  Joined: 24.11.2024
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Posts by Robert Patman (@robertgpatman.bsky.social)

NZ's muted response to US/Israel attacks on Iran could backfire.
YouTube video by Robert Patman NZ's muted response to US/Israel attacks on Iran could backfire.

Is NZ's response to US/Israel attacks on Iran consistent with its support for a rules-based international order:
youtu.be/ibzu/NQS0hkU...

07.03.2026 04:03 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Global significance of Carney's Davos speech
YouTube video by Robert Patman Global significance of Carney's Davos speech

Global significance of Mark Carney's Davos speech at a time of "rupture"
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EugM...

30.01.2026 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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'Old order is over' - and why NZ should take heed Canadian PM Mark Carney says middle and small powers mustn't cave in to bullying by great powers, and they should join forces to protect values and...

Time to stop 'babying' Trump. Mark Carney is right. The old global order is over and New Zealand should heed this advice:
www.odt.co.nz/news/world/o...

22.01.2026 02:48 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Russia issues STUNNING response to Trump’s Greenland threats
YouTube video by Brian Tyler Cohen Russia issues STUNNING response to Trump’s Greenland threats

An article called β€œGreenland - NATO’s Cemetery?” in the Russian govt newspaper, Rossiyskaya Gazeta (19 Jan. 2026) fully backed Trump's β€œrapid annexation” of Greenland but warned it would be β€œdangerous for the American president to β€˜back down’ over Greenland":
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ffF...

20.01.2026 04:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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If the rules-based system is really crumbling, what could that mean for New Zealand? Everybody's talking about World War Three, but we're as safe as safe can be… right? We asked some experts.

If the rules-based system is really crumbling, what could that mean for New Zealand? thespinoff.co.nz/politics/20-...

19.01.2026 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
G News Podcast - Prof Robert Patman - 15 Jan 25
YouTube video by G News G News Podcast - Prof Robert Patman - 15 Jan 25

Gerard Otto and I discussed Trump's intervention in Venezuela, the erosion of international law and the implications for New Zealand:
youtu.be/cqc69Cg1188

19.01.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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As Trump rewrites the rules in Venezuela, NZ faces a foreign policy reckoning The US intervention in Venezuela makes it clear NZ’s β€˜softly softly’ foreign policy isn’t a feasible long-term response to a shifting world order.

As Trump rewrites the rules in Venezuela, NZ faces a foreign policy reckoning
theconversation.com/as-trump-rew...

05.01.2026 00:15 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald Trump moving away from international β€˜rules-based order’ University of Otago Department of Politics Professor Robert Patman claims US President Donald Trump is moving away from an international β€œrules-based order”. β€œThat’s been a pattern of Trump’s second term in the White House,” Mr Patman told Sky News Australia. β€œMr Trump made it quite clear he has little time for international law or international institutions unless they work in the interest of America first.”

Jack Nyhof and I discuss Trump's opposition to an international rules-based order and the implications for Australia and New Zealand:
www.skynews.com.au/world-news/u...

02.01.2026 04:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜Game breaker’: Territorial β€˜sticking point’ threatens Ukraine peace deal University of Otago Department of Politics Professor Robert Patman claims the territorial β€œsticking point” in the Ukraine peace deal is a β€œgame breaker”. β€œPresident Trump, when he said 95 per cent deal has nearly been done,” Mr Patman told Sky News Australia. β€œThe five per cent, given it’s based on a territorial sticking point, looks like it could be more than a thorny sticking point, but actually a game breaker.”

Jack Nyhof and I discuss the territorial sticking point in Trump's Ukraine peace plan:
www.skynews.com.au/world-news/g...

02.01.2026 04:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 18th December 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Lee Feinstein, Peter Bale, Bernard Hickey and I discuss Trump's National Security Strategy document and whether the intern. rules-based order is finished. Discussion begins 20 mins into show.
www.youtube.com/live/VrI_o6e...

20.12.2025 03:50 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Global Insight: 'Soft power counts' in troubled times The last episode of Global Insight for 2025 reviews the biggest stories of the year.

Reflecting on 2025, it is evident that New Zealand's foreign policy lacked robustness in upholding a system of rules-based trade and diplomacy:
www.odt.co.nz/news/world/g...

20.12.2025 02:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s new security strategy exposes the limits of NZ’s β€˜softly-softly’ diplomacy The new US National Security Strategy marks a historic break – and a problem for the NZ government’s policy of closer strategic alignment with Washington.

Trump’s National Security Strategy document now leaves the National-led coalition government with little room to avoid reassessing its stated goal of closer strategic alignment with the US.
theconversation.com/trumps-new-s...

19.12.2025 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Ukraine takes the war to Putin's Russia
YouTube video by Robert Patman Ukraine takes the war to Putin's Russia

Bruce Munro and I discuss the changing dynamics of the Ukraine conflict and how Zelenskyy is now taking the war into Russia's homeland on a consistent basis.
youtu.be/_39HmMIfmKE?...

02.11.2025 07:32 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 30th October 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Bernard Hickey, Peter Bale and I analyse the Xi Jinping - Trump APEC meeting and Christopher Luxon's brief encounter with the US president. Discussion begins at 5.25 mark.
www.youtube.com/live/ji3mlnf...

02.11.2025 03:50 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 23rd October 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

Bernard Hickey, Peter Bale and I discuss how the economic squeeze is beginning to impact Putin's invasion of Ukraine and how China is managing the Trump challenge. Discussion begins at around 5.20' mark. The Hoon for Thursday 23rd October 2025 youtube.com/live/zLVNuOS... via @YouTube

28.10.2025 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
NZ has no interest in Ukraine deal that rewards Putin's invasion
YouTube video by Robert Patman NZ has no interest in Ukraine deal that rewards Putin's invasion

New Zealand has no national interest in any settlement in Ukraine that compromises the country's sovereignty and territorial integrity:
youtu.be/lE-87nzxyGU?...

28.10.2025 21:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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This is a timely and excellent documentary on New Zealand government's response to the two-year catastrophic conflict in Gaza: www.thearts.co.nz/boosted/proj...

28.10.2025 21:13 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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It will pay for NZ to be sceptical about Trump's peace plan Opinion from Otago University: NZ’s approach to recognising Palestine as a state has been puzzling. How might that change if Trump’s peace plan succeeds?

It will pay for NZ to be sceptical about Trump's peace plan newsroom.co.nz/2025/10/03/i...

02.10.2025 21:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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By not recognising a Palestinian state, NZ puts its own hard-won reputation on the line By not joining its close allies over the question of Palestinian statehood, NZ risks being β€˜on the wrong side of history’.

By not recognising a Palestinian state, NZ puts its own hard-won reputation on the line
theconversation.com/by-not-recog...

29.09.2025 00:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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International relations professor on President Trump's controversial UN General Assembly address International relations Professor Robert Patman gives his take on Donald Trump's UN General Assembly address. Video / NZ Herald

President Trump's self-congratulatory and bizarre UN General Assembly address seems to confirm US relative decline and increasing marginalisation:
www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/internati...

24.09.2025 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Former NZ Prime Ministers attend China's Victory Parade
YouTube video by Robert Patman Former NZ Prime Ministers attend China's Victory Parade

Visit of former NZ Prime Ministers, Helen Clark and John Key, reflects both a difficult geopolitical environment and a concern to safeguard what is a vital trade relationship for NZ:
youtu.be/cEweBiY8Jx4?...

03.09.2025 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Gaza catastrophe underlines utter failure of UNSC
YouTube video by Robert Patman Gaza catastrophe underlines utter failure of UNSC

Bruce Munro and I discuss the latest ceasefire proposal to end Gaza conflict and consider some of the major lessons of this appalling crisis: youtu.be/-OwAGCNtkx4?...

30.08.2025 05:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
NZ cannot remain silent about Gaza catastrophe
YouTube video by Robert Patman NZ cannot remain silent about Gaza catastrophe

If New Zealand really believes in an rules-based international order, it cannot remain silent on a catastrophe in Gaza which is undermining that vision: youtu.be/mZewY_OE8Yg?...

27.08.2025 03:53 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Netanyahu declares intention to take full control of Gaza International Relations Professor Robert Patman speaks about Benjamin Netanyahu's intention to take full control of Gaza. Video / Herald NOW

Netanyahu's pledge to take full control of Gaza will not improve Israel's security. Interview, Ryan Bridge, NZ Herald Now, 8 Aug. 2025:
www.nzherald.co.nz/video/herald...

07.08.2025 22:40 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why NZ must resist the trashing of international law Opinion from Otago University: Confronted with the steady decline of the international rules-based order, smaller powers like NZ can’t rely on UN veto-wielding states. They have to take their own acti...

Why NZ must resist the trashing of international lawΒ  newsroom.co.nz/2025/07/27/w...

26.07.2025 21:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Deal: Professor Robert Patman Unpacks Peace Talks
YouTube video by Rhema Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Deal: Professor Robert Patman Unpacks Peace Talks

Andrew Urquhart and I discuss the prospects of a peace deal between Israel and Hamas. The absence of any recognition of the Palestinian right to political self-determination may mean any peace deal reached will likely be precarious and short-term in nature: youtu.be/q83XCbQ0iNs?...

11.07.2025 05:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Appeasing Trump in the Middle East is not cost-free for New Zealand The government’s responses to recent events in the Middle East indicate that its desire not to offend the Trump administration has compromised New Zealand’s commitment to uphold an international rules...

The New Zealand government's desire not to offend the
Trump administration in the Middle East has diluted the country's commitment to the international rules-based order:
thespinoff.co.nz/politics/07-...

07.07.2025 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The Hoon for Thursday 26th June 2025
YouTube video by The Hoon The Hoon for Thursday 26th June 2025

Peter Bale, Treasa Dunworth, Jonathan Lyons and I discuss the geopolitics of Israel's preemptive attack on Iran and the fallout from Trump's willingness to join the Israeli attacks on The Hoon, 26 June 2025:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=yN1Z...

29.06.2025 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Wreaths in Ypres, Missiles in Iran: A week with the prime minister β€œNew Zealand can do exceptionally well, in spite of all the volatility that's there,” the PM tells the Sunday Star-Times in an exclusive interview, as he returns from a major trip to China and Europe.

Luxon's trips to China and NATO summit were generally positive but NZ should not agree with the claim of Rutte, NATO's chief, that Trump's bombing of Iran was consistent with international law. It clear was not:
www.thepost.co.nz/politics/360...

29.06.2025 22:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Hoon for Thursday 19th June 2025 YouTube video by The Hoon

It was a pleasure to participate in a fascinating discussion with Antony Loewenstein, Jonathan Lyons, Peter Bale and Bernard Hickey on Israel, Gaza, Iran and the Trump administration:
www.youtube.com/live/cIRBCX4...

25.06.2025 23:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0