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Jeremy Cliffe

@jeremycliffe.bsky.social

Editorial Director and Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations (@ecfr.eu) https://ecfr.eu/

7,564 Followers  |  933 Following  |  491 Posts  |  Joined: 24.11.2024  |  1.8668

Latest posts by jeremycliffe.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The trouble with FCAS: Why Europe’s fighter jet project is not taking off The disagreement over the Franco-German-Spanish fighter aircraft system, FCAS, shows that when it comes to building a European defence industry, political will is not enough…

The disagreement over the Franco-German-Spanish fighter aircraft system, FCAS, shows that when it comes to building a European defence industry, political will is not enough, writes @rikefranke.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/article/the-...

01.12.2025 11:07 — 👍 26    🔁 8    💬 3    📌 0
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Opinion: The EU must make itself minimally vulnerable to inevitable US pressure, writes Martin Sandbu on.ft.com/4itV7fz

30.11.2025 18:31 — 👍 113    🔁 27    💬 4    📌 7
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German president honours victims of Nazi bombing atrocity on Guernica visit Frank-Walter Steinmeier travels to Basque town for remembrance ceremony marking ‘terrible crimes’ of 1937

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...

30.11.2025 08:42 — 👍 12    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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ECFR at 18: Has European foreign policy come of age? Mark Leonard brings together Carl Bildt, Lykke Friis, and Norbert Röttgen to to unpack how Europe has changed since 2007, when ECFR was founded, and what challenges lie ahead…

🎧New week, new podcast!

Mark Leonard brings together Carl Bildt, @lykkefriis.bsky.social and @nroettgen.bsky.social to unpack how Europe has changed since 2007, when ECFR was founded & what challenges lie ahead.

https://ecfr.eu/podcasts/episode/ecfr-at-18-has-european-foreign-policy-come-of-age/

28.11.2025 10:00 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

Grim news for Ukraine and terrible timing. But also the sign of a pluralistic system with functional checks and balances.

28.11.2025 17:59 — 👍 58    🔁 6    💬 3    📌 0
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How China could crash Europe’s energy grid and what the EU can do about it Europe’s solar boom has quietly handed Beijing remote access to hundreds of gigawatts of its power capacity. Without a 5G-type toolbox banning untrustworthy suppliers of inverters and other grid…

How China could crash Europe’s energy grid and what the EU can do about it

In my latest, I look at how Europe’s solar boom has quietly given Beijing potential access points inside the EU energy grid through Chinese-made inverters.

🧵

ecfr.eu/article/how-...

21.11.2025 14:41 — 👍 14    🔁 13    💬 1    📌 1
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Party membership in Europe The decline of mass parties and its significance for the future of representative democracy

I wrote a short essay on the state of party membership in Europe for the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung
www.kas.de/en/web/wisse...

26.11.2025 18:12 — 👍 27    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 0
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Economic giant*, political dwarf-struggle still going strong in German society:
Germans welcoming doubling of military spending in @koerber-ip.bsky.social #BerlinPulse, whilst not wanting Germany to assume military leadership in EU.

* though sadly this might also be up for debate, anyways

25.11.2025 09:37 — 👍 10    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0
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Middle power dreaming: The geopolitics of Angola’s emergence | ECFR Angola is increasingly active in the world. Here is how Europeans can cooperate with this rising middle power.

‼️📢 New @ecfr.eu brief
Our programme director, Alex Vines wrote a piece on #Angola, host of the current AU-EU Summit. The country is pursuing a strategy of purposeful non-alignment and is becoming an increasingly important “middle power” in the world.
📑🌍👇

24.11.2025 15:04 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

Imagine doing this not *even* because you're terrified of the autocrat in your own country, but because you're terrified of the autocrat an ocean away.

25.11.2025 18:55 — 👍 99    🔁 25    💬 3    📌 1
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Trump’s AI thaw: How Europe and the Gulf can protect against American and Chinese tech pressure | ECFR Recent changes in US policy have brought the US and Gulf states together again on AI—creating new openings for European decision-makers

✍️ The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, argue @cinziabianco.bsky.social & Herman Quarles for @ECFRPower ecfr.eu/article/trum...

24.11.2025 10:27 — 👍 2    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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MAGA goes south: Trump’s plan for Venezuela Speculation is swirling that the US could use military force to pursue regime change in Venezuela. The country’s fate may depend on which faction in the Trump administration convinces the president…

Speculation is swirling that the US could use military force to pursue regime change in Venezuela. The country’s fate may depend on which faction in the Trump administration convinces the president, writes Majda Ruge.
https://bit.ly/43Q4K24

25.11.2025 14:40 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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The U.S.-Russia Plan Gives Trump a $300 Billion Signing Bonus If Europe moves fast to seize Russian assets, it may be able to sink this bad deal.

The US-Russia plan includes a $300bn signing bonus for the US in the form of Russia's central bank frozen assets - for @foreignpolicy.com I outline how the EU could curb Trump’s interest in the deal if the bloc rushes to seize these assets before America grabs them
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/24/t...

24.11.2025 17:39 — 👍 110    🔁 68    💬 6    📌 11
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What Europe should do about a bad Ukraine deal Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare.

Donald Trump’s 28-point plan to end the fighting in Ukraine would be a dream outcome for the Kremlin. Here is how Europeans can ensure it does not become their continent’s nightmare (by @jkobzova.bsky.social)
ecfr.eu/article/what...

23.11.2025 20:53 — 👍 20    🔁 16    💬 2    📌 2

The Moscow Times: „The very emergence of such a U.S. initiative signals, in Putin’s view, that Washington is capitulating. And capitulating not because it has suffered losses — it has lost neither tanks nor aircraft nor soldiers — but because it is tired,frightened and eager to avoid involvement.“

22.11.2025 05:28 — 👍 209    🔁 103    💬 16    📌 11
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Trump’s AI thaw: How Europe and the Gulf can protect against American and Chinese tech pressure Recent changes in US policy have brought the US and Gulf states together again on AI—creating new openings for European decision-makers…

The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social and Herman Quarles @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3MdxkEk

20.11.2025 15:07 — 👍 7    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate…

Big & important new @ecfr.eu read: Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics - by @hlovatt.bsky.social & @tahanimustafa.bsky.social ecfr.eu/publication/... @ecfrmena.bsky.social

20.11.2025 15:07 — 👍 7    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0

The radical right *is* rising across much of Europe. But the narrative that young people are leading the charge is overblown.

Gen Z is turning away from mainstream parties, but often the beneficiaries are left-insurgents like England's Greens, France's LFI, or Germany's Linke.

20.11.2025 18:49 — 👍 71    🔁 18    💬 1    📌 3
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Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate…

A fascinating, urgent new paper from @ecfr.eu: the West Bank is at risk of collapse, its government is sclerotic, and technocratic solutions are no answer.

@hlovatt.bsky.social and @tahanimustafa.bsky.social argue that the answer is a bold revival of Palestinian politics.

ecfr.eu/publication/...

20.11.2025 17:56 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Shield the fields: How Europe can support Ukraine through a dark winter Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence…

Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ

19.11.2025 10:09 — 👍 17    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0

This is just such a stunning chart

17.11.2025 23:58 — 👍 44    🔁 14    💬 1    📌 0

This was clearly my favourite read of the week.

@ilketoygur.bsky.social and @catherinedevries.bsky.social paint a gloomy picture without being alarmist, and suggest clear yet bold steps without being too idealistic.

14.11.2025 08:14 — 👍 16    🔁 8    💬 2    📌 0
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Pacific drift: Why Europe needs a Japan strategy for the Takaichi-Trump era Donald Trump has already met Japan’s new prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, in Tokyo. As the two move closer on defence and economic security, the EU must reflect on the credibility of its own alliance…

As Trump and Takaichi move closer on defence and economic security, the EU must reflect on the credibility of its own alliance, writes @ellipohlkamp.bsky.social @ecfrasia.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3XcrJk1

11.11.2025 11:09 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Empires will come and go, mountains will become dust, great cities will rise from ruins… but British voters will always want Scandinavian public services for American tax rates.

11.11.2025 20:16 — 👍 81    🔁 16    💬 4    📌 0

Special relationship latest

11.11.2025 19:27 — 👍 27    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

An irony of our time is that Enoch Powell basically thought this too. Today's Britain seems to be gleefully disinterring every ghastly artefact of Powellism apart from the one significant thing he got right: that it would be folly to leave Britain craven to American power.

11.11.2025 18:05 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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Rachel Reeves signals she will break manifesto pledge with Budget tax rises Chancellor hopes to win support from Labour MPs by lifting two-child benefit cap

"Research released this month by economists at the Bank of England, the Bundesbank, King’s College London and the universities of Stanford and Nottingham underscored the economic hit from leaving the EU. Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6-8%"

on.ft.com/4p1NoHv

11.11.2025 07:08 — 👍 154    🔁 81    💬 7    📌 19
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From climate to defence, inertia could be the EU’s undoing Europe’s strategic reports are filled with urgent calls for speed and agility. But amid fierce global competition, Europe is still lecturing while other major players deliver results…

Lethargy has become Europe’s strategic flaw, writes Nicu Popescu @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4p6XIhI

10.11.2025 16:13 — 👍 13    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

I’m with you there. But I don’t see European governments using that time well at all. Where is the EU-wide ambition? The joint initiatives? The defence answer to Airbus? Instead it’s the same old fragmentation, soothed by the belief that lip-service to 5% will keep the old American protector sweet.

10.11.2025 21:21 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

This was Merkel’s defence of NordStream 2! Buying time to disengage from an unreliable partner, but too busy humouring said partner to actually actually use the time gained. (An analogy which, if I’m
not mistaken, makes Sanchez a latter-day Habeck).

10.11.2025 21:07 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

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