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Brad LeVeck

@bradleveck.bsky.social

political scientist at UC Merced Likes: πŸŒ„πŸ“Έ, πŸ§ πŸ”„πŸ§ , πŸ“ŠπŸ§ͺ faculty.ucmerced.edu/bleveck

579 Followers  |  727 Following  |  1,154 Posts  |  Joined: 22.06.2023
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Posts by Brad LeVeck (@bradleveck.bsky.social)

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Trump’s gotta incorporate AI into his workflow next time

08.03.2026 01:42 β€” πŸ‘ 85    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1

And, as Joe points out, this would be a non-issue if ASR had even the mildest of replication policies.

07.03.2026 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Reading the post, they seem to think that if ChatGPT can guess regression results that are close to true regression results, then researchers will somehow become more likely to fake results. I think your (and my) confusion stems from the fact that this conclusion doesn't make a lot of sense.

07.03.2026 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Analyst: β€œI think we’re weeks away from maybe flight cancellations or delays due to lack of jet fuel, rather than months”

07.03.2026 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 87    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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"SHIT"
"FUCK"
"NO"
"FUCK"
"SHIT"
"FUCK"

06.03.2026 11:30 β€” πŸ‘ 5473    πŸ” 1884    πŸ’¬ 53    πŸ“Œ 90

I feel almost the opposite. Google became terrible years ago. Stuff that is more than a few years old became especially hard to find. LLMs are the only things that seem to remember stuff that was on the web from more than a decade ago, probably due to training on the Wayback machine.

07.03.2026 18:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting. I switched to MacOS over a decade ago. because it was a good desktop experience, but the BSD / *nix / Darwin underpinnings meant I had access to most of the cli tools I use on Linux, especially with homebrew.

What’s missing from your perspective?

07.03.2026 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I feel almost the opposite. Google became terrible years ago. Stuff that is more than a few years old became especially hard to find. LLMs are the only things that seem to remember stuff that was on the web from more than a decade ago, probably due to training on the Wayback machine.

07.03.2026 18:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We have to go back.

07.03.2026 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

One of the few Luddite things I have done is never connecting my tv to the internet.

07.03.2026 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œDART was the first hypervelocity impact experiment on an asteroid at size and velocity scales relevant to planetary defence, intended to validate kinetic impact as a means of asteroid deflection. DART kinetic impact was highly effective in deflecting the asteroid Dimorphos.”

06.03.2026 03:46 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Like many methodologists, I often find myself arguing with someone that their method/epistemology makes no sense. That someone thinks I am arguing against their *conclusions*. But I am arguing they have no justification for their conclusions. Is there a philosophical term for this problem/confusion?

06.03.2026 08:36 β€” πŸ‘ 88    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 1

Great story, but 0% of this sounds fake.

05.03.2026 06:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So I agree with all of this, but the provocative claim was that it’s better than most professors now.

Every professor in my department, and most of the professors I know, are very aware of how fast the capabilities are changing.

Whether we’ll figure out how to deal with that well, Idk.

04.03.2026 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot of the "Does that use a lot of energy?" online app

Screenshot of the "Does that use a lot of energy?" online app

Hannah Ritchie has built a fun little tool where you can compare energy usage of various products and activities.

This is super helpful imho, because it's so hard to develop intuitions even just about the scales involved here.

hannahritchie.substack.com/p/does-that-...

03.03.2026 09:27 β€” πŸ‘ 152    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5

I agree

04.03.2026 05:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Itai Sher @itaisher β€’ Mar 2
I don't believe it is true that Al now can do social science better than most professors.
112Kεͺ企
S...
Alexander Kustov *
@akoustov
Perhaps not most of your colleagues, but globally? Having some familiarity with social science in developing countries and the former soviet bloc, much of what gets published in MDPI-type journals isn't meaningfully advancing knowledge. Al can already do better than that.
4:40 PM β€’ Mar 2, 2026 β€’ 6,029 Views

Itai Sher @itaisher β€’ Mar 2 I don't believe it is true that Al now can do social science better than most professors. 112Kεͺ企 S... Alexander Kustov * @akoustov Perhaps not most of your colleagues, but globally? Having some familiarity with social science in developing countries and the former soviet bloc, much of what gets published in MDPI-type journals isn't meaningfully advancing knowledge. Al can already do better than that. 4:40 PM β€’ Mar 2, 2026 β€’ 6,029 Views

I think this exchange on X provides important context for the headline claim. I like Claude Code a lot, but I don’t think it could get tenure at most R1 universities in the US (even if you think the research coming out of those institutions is terrible too).

04.03.2026 05:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Stocks, Bonds Face New Pressure as Attacks Widen Markets took big hits Tuesday as the Middle East conflict showed signs of escalating. Stocks sold off, with the Dow industrials dropping more than 1,000 points. The index is on track for its biggest o...

The thing with Liberation Day tariffs, Minneapolis, and all the other crises Trump has started, is that they were in his control to ratchet down when they became unpopular or the bond market got a little too spooked.

I am afraid that this is different.
www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

03.03.2026 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

This is the product I want most from Anthropic.

03.03.2026 17:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think posts like this trade on a kind of ambiguity in the phrase "take seriously." You can take a wrong position seriously in one sense, as one that you should engage with and disprove.

03.03.2026 16:04 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Makes sense. I went straight from Intel to M3 Max on my work laptop and it’s been amazing. Should have switched sooner like you.

03.03.2026 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Not sure if a parameter like this is in the model (will read carefully later), but I suspect this problem is worse for the executive when a large swath of the public has a strong prior belief that they’re a bunch of of lying-McLiarsons.

03.03.2026 16:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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One of the Trump admin’s explanations for striking Iranβ€”preemption of an imminent attackβ€”put me in mind of my article w/@yujimasumura.bsky.social at @ajpseditor.bsky.social, which examines when govts use the preemption casus belli and how publics react. (1/x)

doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

03.03.2026 16:30 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What upgrades here are most exciting to you? I’ve been thinking I should upgrade my m3 max before some grant money runs out, but haven’t really been paying attention to what’s happening with mbps.

03.03.2026 16:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What do you think is the most likely path for this to happen? I’m very worried about the war spiraling out of control, but my knowledge of the region is poor, which makes it really hard for me to distinguish which scenarios are more or less plausible.

03.03.2026 16:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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He can’t taco his way out of this one, and they might be starting to realize it

03.03.2026 15:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

5 min apart. Read my mind.

bsky.app/profile/brad...

03.03.2026 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Stocks, Bonds Face New Pressure as Attacks Widen Markets took big hits Tuesday as the Middle East conflict showed signs of escalating. Stocks sold off, with the Dow industrials dropping more than 1,000 points. The index is on track for its biggest o...

The thing with Liberation Day tariffs, Minneapolis, and all the other crises Trump has started, is that they were in his control to ratchet down when they became unpopular or the bond market got a little too spooked.

I am afraid that this is different.
www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

03.03.2026 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
An experimental investigation of evolutionary dynamics in the Rock-Paper-Scissors game - Scientific Reports Scientific Reports - An experimental investigation of evolutionary dynamics in the Rock-Paper-Scissors game

From www.nature.com/articles/sre...

01.03.2026 04:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 01.03.2026 04:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0