Ian Richardson

Huge test for Bluesky tonight with the #LateLateToyShow. Can it step up?

Isn't there still major issues with the accuracy of the electoral register, meaning that we can't really make any assessment of the real turnout levels? Not much has changed with how the register is managed since Kavanagh's 2002 paper on the matter

www.maynoothuniversity.ie/research/spo...

I think, despite strong delivery, the focus on the big picture/leadership positioning was lost, and too often the Greens allowed themselves to be defined by others, and were strategically reactive - for eg. courting rural votes vs shoring up suburban and urban votes.

Lots of chat about the Greens, who delivered policy is spades, being punished in #GE24 is missing a key point: the majority of Green voters are values/principles voters. It's not just about what you do, it's about how you do it, how you communicate it, and how you frame it.

Constituency Tally Index General Election 2024

A link to a sheet with all available tallies

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Wicklow GE Tally 2024

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Wicklow tallies

GE 2024 Dublin Central

I have one so far Dublin Central

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

The tallies will be on today.

If anyone has live Google sheet links to any constituency tallies share below.

They will be added to the map over the next few months if shared.

Please add them in the comments

@gavreilly.com

An unsung hero of Irish election data is www.irelandelection.com

I don't know who maintains it but it is a great resource and it looks like they're all set to go to update the site with this years GE. All candidates information is already available for view

ianrichardson.shinyapps.io/GE2020_Resul...

I have 2016 results here. I have data going back to 2007 but have not mapped it yet.

Not only are the tallies a fun resource when viewed in this way. It is also a valuable dataset for research.

Jonathan Pratschke and I used this data to investigate the mechanisms behind the Sinn Féin surge in the 2020 Irish general election.

Read more here 👇👇👇

www.iris.unina.it/retrieve/21d...

They're areas (called electoral districts) defined by ordinance survey Ireland and the CSO. They normally contain 1000-3000 households. The CSO publish statistics for each electoral district. The electoral commission uses them to construct constituencies.

Map of dun Laoghaire broken down to electoral district level with areas colored based on the strength of Fine Gael 1st preference votes in that area

The 2024 Irish general election is only days away.

But how did your area vote in 2020? And how does that look with the new constituency boundaries?

Find out more here ianrichardson.shinyapps.io/GE2020_Resul... with this interactive map of 1st preference votes.

A meme of different kinds of generic network science papers

types of network science papers

I feel like a big change will happen when politicians and political parties start taking this app seriously, then journalists will have to take it more seriously, then everyone who wants to influence the news cycle follows.

This week’s #GE24 article focuses on transfers, examining Exit Polls and all candidates since 1948.

– Voters typically express 3–4 preferences
– 30% of votes transferred at least once
– Inter-coalition transfers are common
– 10% of TDs decisively elected through transfers
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...

BlueSky Starter Pack on Irish Politics and Political Science

I have compiled an initial list of researchers and journalists working on Irish politics, as well as Irish political scientists abroad and political scientists based in Ireland.
Who’s missing? 👋
➡️ bsky.app/starter-pack...

Absolute hero!