Mark Weiss

The Politics of Predicting the Future Session: New Methods in Congressional Studies Fri, April 4, 4:05 pm CDT (5:05 ET) Chicago | Hybrid Conference April 3-6, 2025 #MPSA2025 | Follow @umisrcps.bsky.social Mark Alexander Weiss, University of Michigan Kenneth Lowande, University of Michigan

Presenting on "The Politics of Predicting the Future," @markweiss.bsky.social and @lowande.bsky.social describe their work on a new Congressional dataset. They use Chat GPT-4o to separate inferential and non-inferential statements about the past and future. #MPSA2025 buff.ly/rUErD5x

25.03.2025 14:45 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Misunderstanding Democratic Backsliding | Journal of Democracy If democracies did a better job “delivering” for their citizens, so the thinking goes, people would not be so ready to embrace antidemocratic alternatives. Not so. This conventional wisdom about…

To stop democratic backsliding, we must strengthen the "guardrails against antidemocratic encroachments by political figures determined to steamroll countervailing institutions and gain unchecked power."

www.journalofdemocra...

19.11.2024 16:58 — 👍 9    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

A lot of <0.1-point races this year across both federal and state offices. Don’t let anybody ever tell you your vote doesn’t matter!

19.11.2024 14:20 — 👍 143    🔁 41    💬 2    📌 2

Surveys from the 1980s were wild because after a series of (mostly) normal questions, the interviewer is supposed to rate the "apparent intelligence" of the respondent

01.09.2023 17:24 — 👍 10    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

NEW: State supreme courts are so powerful but so much about them is very under radar.

Today Bolts is publishing its biggest project to date: a guide to all you might want to know about each state supreme court, **state-by-state.**

So thrilled to share this: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...

22.08.2023 14:59 — 👍 113    🔁 50    💬 8    📌 5