Raphael Cunha

📢 Call for papers!

We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London!

Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU)

No fee, travel grants might become available!

Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026

So over the past week you are seeing what you would expect to see if AI is, in fact, both rapidly gaining capabilities & proving to be very useful:
- Rolling market disruption in response to growing awareness of AI capacity
-Government versus AI lab struggles for control

…& it is still quite early

Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently
chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19...

Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)

2026 PPE Society London Meeting - The Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Society We are pleased to share that, in addition to the PPE Society’s Annual Meetings held each year in New Orleans, the international PPE Society will…

⏰ Call for proposals!⏰

Organisers are calling for full panel proposals, author-meets-critics sessions, or individual papers from those who would like to attend the next annual PPE conference at King's

The deadline for submissions is February 20👇

ppesociety.org/ppe-society-...

🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):

We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.

Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.

w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Guido Tabellini on "Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?"

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Ignacio Jurado (@jurado.bsky.social) on "Losing Elections: Democratic Consent and Illiberal Attitudes in Polarized Contexts".

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

Many people think crypto is a scam. Why is it not more heavily regulated? We look at attitudes after the FTX scandal, showing that scandal coverage differed between left and right media. Conservatives who got their news from the left (eg NYT), and vice versa, wound up more moderate. Media matters. 👇

Yet another data point supporting the view that there is change afoot in the global financial system.

I know it's trite, but this is all "how to dismantle a reserve currency."

The dollar as the go-to haven in times of crisis, well, that appears (again) to be shaky.

1/

The British Academy CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE Global (Dis)Order international policy programme The US dollar system as a source of international disorder Daniel Davies, Frontline Analysts and Henry Farrell, John Hopkins University

The second paper is by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social. It shows how dollar centrality was weaponised by the US to help maintain order but is now plausibly undermining it. Great topical read on some of the underlying faultlines
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60...

We're hard at work on new AI tools for RStudio that will support EDA and we hope generally accelerate data science. If you're interested in trying them out, join the private beta waitlist for a sneak peek: posit.co/products/ai/ #rstats

This is required reading – like everything else that @danielmcdowell.bsky.social writes on the topic.

The Old World Order is Dead Unipolarity was given, not taken

It is even worse than it looks

‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart Sting and his former bandmates go to the high court over a royalties dispute this week – the latest chapter in the song’s remarkably fractious story

‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart

The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us what happens when AI automates "normal science"?

I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts.
open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...

This graph is shocking.

Ótimo texto do Marcos Lisboa sobre o Master:
www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/marc...

This is an interesting paper.

I continue to sense that we as a field have concluded, either you have an identification strategy as defined here, or you don’t have a valid causal claim. And that is really not true.

"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science"

osf.io/preprints/so...

🤦🏻‍♂️

The Making of International Status Abstract. With great power rivalry on the rise again, many worry that struggles for status among states could lead to war. As a growing consensus indicates

Ever wondered why some countries get recognition while others struggle to be seen?

My book 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘴 is finally out in the world!

📘 academic.oup.com/book/61560

This is wild!

Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.

🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨

We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social

Any questions, please reach out to me

📣 Please share! 📣

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.

This is a wonderful book! So happy to see this out! Congrats @mduque.bsky.social

AI-powered nimbyism could grind UK planning system to a halt, experts warn Tools that help people scan applications and find grounds for objection have potential to hit government’s housebuilding plans

Is this what hell is like?

AI-powered nimbyism could grind UK planning system to a halt, experts warn Tools that help people scan applications and find grounds for objection have potential to hit government’s housebuilding plans

Is this what hell is like?

📣Call for papers now open for our annual Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration. Rome🔥, May 28-29, 2026.

More details below👇

A win for economics (who predicted this), a loss for Britain

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Sandra Sequeira (LSE) on "Financial Security, Climate Shocks, and Social Cohesion".

Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.