Tommy Blair

There's always a new viewpoint to find

We're making new metrics (and taking requests): discord.gg/kFemGBEu

there was a lot left in me i never got a chance to show with a car in the background ALT: there was a lot left in me i never got a chance to show with a car in the background

Derek:

This feels like the story where management decided to us AI to direct the company using metrics, and then they realized two years later that the AI had been simply making up numbers that it deemed desirable…

june

March

I haven't dug in, just made this for a listener in the discord. Positive is good. Data range is March to June of a given year.

2021 was a disaster from a value standpoint

How do rookie picks fare in Startup ADP between March and June? For context. March 2014-June 2014 the 1.01 climbed 6 spots (earlier) in ADP

The best food in the world is found at every taco truck parked next to a hardware store during lunch.

As soon as you hear an analyst say “you can scheme things up” for a wide receiver or they use the term “gadget guy”… that should be an immediate red flag for dynasty managers…

Those are players to avoid, even if there is a lot of positive noise surrounding the player up to and beyond the draft…

The value gap between Willis and Richardson feels like a decent arbitrage opportunity.

272. Dynasty Dummies 272 - 2026 Rookie Hootenanny RBs Part 1 : Love That For You Podcast Episode · Dynasty Dummies Fantasy Football Podcast · February 27 · 1h 20m

It’s a #Hootenanny in here!

@jmiccheck.bsky.social and I ran through the first six running backs in the 2026 class, kicking off the @dynastydummies.bsky.social Rookie Hootenanny in earnest.

Join us:

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/d...

so stupid

Glad my home state can be a meat shield for the fascist war effort.

Now that we're settled into the offseason, if any podcast would like a guest I'd love to join. I'm decent with numbers and strategy and will take the time to listen to your show several episodes deep before joining to make sure I'm contributing to the type of content you want to create. DMs open

Aww thanks man! I know this is your busy season but I’m so looking forward to hosting you and Jmic to elevate your work post Hootenany

Glad to have you as a Superfriend!

Now that we're settled into the offseason, if any podcast would like a guest I'd love to join. I'm decent with numbers and strategy and will take the time to listen to your show several episodes deep before joining to make sure I'm contributing to the type of content you want to create. DMs open

It's probably not very exciting, but I think dynasty fantasy football has evolved to the point where being ruthlessly good at the fundamentals beats almost every popular strategy or freely available tool right now. We've self-created way too many pitfalls.

do yo know what goes into the pff grades?

I appreciate the data-based context, thank you!

Those who are bullish on Malik Willis can you please make the case? Bonus points for data/metrics.

The old trope about the backup QB being the most popular guy was created for moments like these lol

Maybe he's got the nicest house on the block? Don't love his neighbors though...

For dynasty start ups the biggest change I've seen by far is QBs being pushed down.

A few years ago it was common for the first 10/12 picks to be QBs

Yes! Them and WR3s took a huge dip this NPSS great shout

What is evergreen in your rookie evaluation process and what varies year to year?

So far in his career Malik Willis ranks 139th amongst QBs in % of games played resulting in a top 24 finish. (2013-2025)