Alex Von Hagen-Jamar

Sort of an obvious point but one drawback to firing all your attorneys and bombing random boats in a way all experts say is illegal is that partners will no longer trust you to follow the law.

Now on @socarxiv.bsky.social !

osf.io/preprints/so...

🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about...

🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples?

We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...

Survey Associate, Methodology Pew Research Center Organization Overview Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It conducts publi...

Exciting news! We just posted an opening for a Survey Associate on @pewresearch.org's Methods team! This is an amazing opportunity for someone relatively early in their career to join what is, IMO, the most fun methods team in the business. Full description at the link below.

Minnesota Proud 😎

DCU is winning something???

STOP THE COUNT

D.C. United season preview via depth chart In-depth coverage of the Washington Spirit and D.C. United

Green Line Soccer is the kind of site that will write 4,400+ words about the team that finished in dead last in MLS in 2025, before they've played a single real game in 2026.

It's a season preview, it's a depth chart, and it's a monster.

Analysis | ‘You cannot let there be a vacuum’: On trans rights, Dems prepare for 2026 The Washington Post’s essential guide to power and influence in D.C. Democrats were hit hard by anti-trans ads in 2024. Now, the party hopes to avoid a repeat.

The @washingtonpost.com spotlighted @hrc.org’s midterm messaging playbook — shaped by GSG research — as Democrats look to 2026.

This is a critical issue affecting people’s real lives, and we’re honored to support this work.

Read more: www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Go work with Joy!

Careers - BlueLabs We’re always looking to add new talent to our growing team of strategists, data scientists, and software engineers who operate at the forefront of data

Love surveys? We're hiring!

We're looking for new members of the polling team at @bluelabs.bsky.social. Two roles are focused on execution of day-to-day polling operations (Polling Manager, Lead Polling Manager) while the Survey Scientist is an R&D role!

Share & apply!
bluelabs.com/careers/

There's also the fun additional confound of "both the candidate's appeal and the sentiments are in reaction to an independent set of political events/circumstances.

And all of this may vary for different groups of voters.

6 facts about national pride in the U.S. Republicans and Democrats tend to highlight different sources of pride – a partisan divide that is not as pronounced in most other countries.

NEW: "In a 2025 survey, we asked people in 25 nations to say – in their own words – what makes them proud of their country. In several ways, Americans’ answers stand out from those of people in other countries."

would read this novel tbh

Back to the hockey!

US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.

Democratic pollster Impact Research is hiring a Survey Scientist: impactresearch.com/jobs-interns...

(Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)

an unrellable number. Finally, these maps also show an aspect of data analysis that introductions like this might be tempted to airily gloss over. Why is all the data for Connecticut missing? In the first edition of this book, we had to construct our maps in a slightly laborious fashion because the sf package was not yet fully up and running. Now we use an sf object whose geometries are from U.S. Census Bureau resources current at the time of writing (early 2026). But the data shown in Figure 7.14 is still from 2014. In between, Connecticut reorganized its administrative boundaries and replaced its older counties with new planning areas. These have new PIPS codes. This means that earlier county-level data for Connecticut can't be directly joined to current U.S. county geometries. I could have silently corrected this by updating the gun-suicide data, or included a separate st object with 2014-era county geometry in the socviz package. But I have chosen to leave it as-is, because this sort of thing happens all the time. Units of observation (like states and counties) can change their meaning and extent over time, or be observed at inconsistent or incompatible scales and resolutions. Identifying and harmonizing the right data for the units of interest can be a frustrating experience.

Revising the dataviz book is an opportunity to remind enthusiastic beginners of the bitter realities that lie ahead of them.

The real reason I'm leaving The Great British Baking Show Trump is threatening bombing the likes of which Tehran has never seen Prue Leith

the Spectator accidentally recycled a subhed from a previous day’s article about Tehran

When are Explicit Racial Appeals Accepted? Examining the Role of Racial Status Threat - Political Behavior Evidence has emerged demonstrating that whites no longer reject negative, explicit racial appeals as they had in the past. This seeming reversal of the traditional logic of the powerlessness of explic...

Today seems like a nice day to re-up @leahchristiani.bsky.social 's excellent research on when white people approve of blatantly racist political messages. Not sure what made me think of it today, but anyway.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Virginia’s New Governor Ends ICE Program. Local Contracts Remain, For Now. - Bolts Abigail Spanberger left the 287(g) program, which empowered state law enforcement to detain immigrants. Will Democrats also bar local police and sheriffs from the program?

NEW: Abigail Spanberger this afternoon ordered that all state agencies leave ICE's 287(g) program.

This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE.

Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.

I remember my father bringing this edition of the Post home with #DCU players holding the MLS Cup in front of supporters on the front page. I still have the MLS Cup gamer & photos cut up in a binder somewhere.

It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost

Crestfallen and f$&@ furious about the closure as we know it of @postsports.bsky.social by an indifferent, compromised owner and a failing publisher — a dept of Povich and Boswell, Wilbon and Kornheiser, Gildea and Sheinin, of poets, authors, Hall of Famers and Pulitzer finalists. A terrible day.

I grew up reading the Washington Post and have continued to subscribe as an adult, in part because of the great sports, books, and international sections that are being wrecked today. It was one of the world’s great newspapers. This is a terrible choice they’re making.

"I don't want to do this but I will get the job done if I must" is so perfectly Minnesotan

People who give prescriptive advice on how to win elections should at least be descriptively accurate about what people who are doing the actual work of trying to win elections are already doing.

🚨Navigator’s new website is live!

Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use.

Take a peek 👇

Always has been meme. “Wait, domain knowledge is the most valuable thing a data scientist can have?”

The better LLMs get, the more data scientists are going to find out the truth.

*Normal Democrat who has won multiple local races goes on to another big win as a normal Democrat* This just goes to show, normal Democrats suck