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Tae

@taewfo.bsky.social

Buckthorn murderer. Prosecute ICE.

249 Followers  |  395 Following  |  763 Posts  |  Joined: 22.07.2023
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Posts by Tae (@taewfo.bsky.social)


Does "soup" include "stew"?

27.02.2026 18:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Me: "Survivor has been on air for 50 years? But I remember the first Survivor. How old am I?"

25.02.2026 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah but the way she revs that little car waiting for the water to clear out of the channel. Mmm.

21.02.2026 05:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

One of the best moms, truly.

21.02.2026 05:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So glad I’m not the only one with Ponyo’s mom on my phone.

21.02.2026 05:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Have you been introduced to Ponyo’s mother?

21.02.2026 05:08 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Neon Genesis Evangelion is better than Anne of Green Gables.

21.02.2026 03:56 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

legos are for children and cowards who are afraid to make models

21.02.2026 03:32 β€” πŸ‘ 440    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 47    πŸ“Œ 15

Can't accept this ticket - acceptance criteria is not clear.

20.02.2026 18:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So about that β€œNNN” joke - NNN also stands for β€œNew Nordic Normal” which is the type of XC ski binding that’s currently in vogue.

15.02.2026 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fucking Pitt can make me cry on demand.

13.02.2026 03:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is that a Cyberpunk 2077 replica gun?

12.02.2026 14:03 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

11.02.2026 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 638    πŸ” 223    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 51

I’ve tried to use AI for code translation, TSQL to SparkSQL, and even when it does do it well it usually takes a lot of hoop-jumping because it rarely manages to consume more than 50 lines of code without getting lost.

I finally got off my ass and just learned SparkSQL.

11.02.2026 18:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"Fight against being ass" is a message that more people need to receive, tbh

11.02.2026 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 4971    πŸ” 1744    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 88

I xc ski recreationally and watching Klaebo do this makes me want to vomit.

It's not even that normal people couldn't keep that pace it's the mutant-level balance required to not immediately slip and fuck up your face.

10.02.2026 21:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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09.02.2026 03:58 β€” πŸ‘ 264    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 3
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It’s time to post this. Confirmed.

Sam Darnold is a Super Bowl Champion.

ilovecitr.us/darnold/

09.02.2026 03:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1898    πŸ” 396    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 38

Gene Simmons
@genesimmons
Β·
5 Feb
My personal philosophy re Bitcoin is to hold (HODL). I firmly believe in the future. You need to do your own research and make your own decisions.
MidnightRider
@pilky0001
Man you’re 80 years old fuck you hodling anything for? I wouldn’t buy green bananas if I were you

Gene Simmons @genesimmons Β· 5 Feb My personal philosophy re Bitcoin is to hold (HODL). I firmly believe in the future. You need to do your own research and make your own decisions. MidnightRider @pilky0001 Man you’re 80 years old fuck you hodling anything for? I wouldn’t buy green bananas if I were you

😐

08.02.2026 16:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3984    πŸ” 548    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 19
Preview
Instagram Create an account or log in to Instagram - Share what you're into with the people who get you.

Read this post then was immediately served this reel: www.instagram.com/reel/DS_EIdf...

08.02.2026 16:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Donate to Support for Washington Post international employees, organized by Michelle Lee Among the hundreds of journalists laid off by The Washington Post on … Michelle Lee needs your support for Support for Washington Post international employees

Former Washington Post journalists have launched a GoFundMe to help repatriate fired staff members who are effectively stranded in foreign countries.

One of the richest men in the world fired them from the paper and didn’t even pay to ensure they got home.

Abolish the billionaire class:

08.02.2026 04:37 β€” πŸ‘ 7173    πŸ” 3747    πŸ’¬ 166    πŸ“Œ 466

In cycling there is a balance you have to find between the improved aerodynamics and the negative impact an aero-position has on your pedaling and breathing mechanics. I have to imagine such a balance is harder to find in running.

07.02.2026 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ehh, it’d flap in the wind. I think you’d want something like Zubaz?

07.02.2026 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Watching the Women’s Skiathlon replay and you can HEAR how shitty the conditions are. I can’t imagine trying to maintain a race pace in snow like that.

07.02.2026 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Every morning I’m faced with the same impossible choice:

What do I need more? Coffee of nicotine gum?

07.02.2026 13:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Women’s Cross-Country Skiing Marred By Catcalling Italian Men On Sidelines

Women’s Cross-Country Skiing Marred By Catcalling Italian Men On Sidelines

Women’s Cross-Country Skiing Marred By Catcalling Italian Men On Sidelines https://theonion.com/womens-cross-country-skiing-marred-by-catcalling-italian-men-on-sidelines/

07.02.2026 12:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1211    πŸ” 75    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 3

Just flashed back to playing Day of Defeat and trolling dudes with a PIAT.

07.02.2026 03:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why don't you "AI Generate" a shut the fuck up

06.02.2026 18:05 β€” πŸ‘ 69    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

we just had a mayoral election 3 months ago, and minneapolis rejected omar fateh. low information β€œvoters” should stop making signs like this and start looking in the mirror

06.02.2026 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 227    πŸ” 54    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 0

I did learn how to XC ski and enjoy pickled herring?

06.02.2026 15:24 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0