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Johnny Felt

@jfeltphd.bsky.social

Quantitative methodologist interested in Bayesian and frequentist approaches to longitudinal data analysis, causal inference, and measurement. Assistant Research Professor in the Center for Healthy Aging at Penn State. UC Merced Quant Psych Alum.

904 Followers  |  469 Following  |  78 Posts  |  Joined: 22.09.2023  |  1.935

Latest posts by jfeltphd.bsky.social on Bluesky


Iโ€™ve found it particularly enlightening, and maybe disheartening, that you can specify a CFA to give you the sample mea and provide fit indices for itโ€ฆ

20.02.2026 23:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I recently spent some time explaining INUS conditions to social and medical scientists to try to dispel this.

11.02.2026 17:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Great write up of a really cool loneliness study from @kvanbogart.bsky.social

04.12.2025 03:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Heโ€™s sleepinโ€™ on my couch

02.12.2025 01:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Some recent shots of me presenting work on how bidirectional associations between loneliness and cognitive performance change over time using Bayesian estimation at the @geronsociety.bsky.social for the Center for Healthy Aging @pennstateuniv.bsky.social

26.11.2025 04:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Super cool new study by @kvanbogart.bsky.social looking into differences between chronic and acute loneliness!

07.11.2025 01:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think the issue is that we canโ€™t know if itโ€™ll give the same results, in our specific use case, until after doing all that work, which also sucks.

09.10.2025 02:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I remember the tabachnick and fidell book โ€œexperimental designs using ANOVAโ€ that I used in my MA program being super helpful, but itโ€™s been a while since I looked at it.

01.10.2025 17:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I learned in grad school to not rely on p-curve analyses from Will shadish and Jack Vevea. I was surprised to see them used so frequently after I graduated, but I could never find a paper backing up what I was taught until now!

08.08.2025 20:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Oh I see! Then I also agree lol

31.07.2025 00:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Which is why the causal inference we work with is probabilistic and not deterministic

31.07.2025 00:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m with @solomonkurz.bsky.social . Is this how the field is looking at causal inference? The causal inference class I took in grad school and the ones I teach focus on how we typically only have INUS conditions.

30.07.2025 23:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Take a look at our new pre print for different approach on how to calculate the dynamic range of diurnal cortisol, led by the talented @kvanbogart.bsky.social

26.07.2025 17:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

All this! I just did a causal inference workshop at Penn State and I started off with โ€œstats canโ€™t save you here. Causal inference is a qualitative inference given the data collected and the design of your study.โ€ It was very Shadish, Cook, and Campbell heavy with a dash of DAGs

23.07.2025 18:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This book was so good! Have you read jonathan strange and mr norrell yet?

19.07.2025 14:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The tabachnick and Fidell book, analyzing experiments using ANOVA. has a nice section on a priori contrast for one way and factorial ANOVAs. They even include a table at the end for different contrast based on the number of groups you have. Linda collins MOST book is a good one too

02.07.2025 13:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If MCAR, Iโ€™ll just randomly impute 1s and 0s so I donโ€™t lose power

23.06.2025 18:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I will be damned if I allow a bunch of Confederate-waving January 6th apologists give the American people a lecture on flag waving.

There is ZERO reason to enter an argument about patriotism with people who still worship traitors to America 150+ years later.

They. Are. Breaking. The. Law.

11.06.2025 01:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 103446    ๐Ÿ” 22151    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1385    ๐Ÿ“Œ 650

Oh absolutely. Unfortunately it means youโ€™ll have to double check these errors in lme4 before determining if they are erroneous though

19.05.2025 14:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Another thing to request, particularly when using lme4 or nlme in R, is the confidence intervals. If you just do a summary on the model object, you wonโ€™t actually know if your model has converged, particularly in the random effects. Asking for confint (in lme4) or intervals(in nlme) will check this

17.05.2025 23:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As a Sacramento kings fan, I am a fan of anyone that is a thorn in the Lakers side. Go Celtics!

20.04.2025 17:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ“… Save the date โ€“ May 14 @ 1:30 p.m.! Join us for our BERD Workshop Webinar: โ€œCausal Inferences for Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designsโ€ |โœ… Reserve your spot: bit.ly/4jB2EIU

18.04.2025 19:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

You can follow along with members of our Early Career Editorial Board through this starter pack: go.bsky.app/7wdxZUn

09.01.2025 20:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Have you been telling participants to โ€œgit gudโ€ in your studies?

08.04.2025 22:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Wow, this is an impressive three to have in one talk!

08.04.2025 22:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I once heard someone say that โ€œthey didnโ€™t need to randomize because the data were all collected so close in time to each otherโ€

24.03.2025 11:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Rates of Population-Level Child Sexual Abuse After a Community-Wide Preventive Intervention This study tests whether a coordinated, community-wide preventive intervention could significantly reduce population-level incidence rates of child sexual abuse.

Check out this new one from JAMA Pediatrics that I did the analyses for

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

We used Synthetic Control Method to evaluate the effectiveness of a coordinated county-level child sexual abuse prevention intervention program

03.03.2025 23:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Definitely this paper. It is written so clearly without a lot (or any equations). It helped me also see that the whole DAGs framework also fits with the threats to validity and the Rubinโ€™s causal framework

28.02.2025 15:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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