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City Observatory

@cityobservatory.bsky.social

Original research and commentary on what matters for city success.

6,384 Followers  |  2,319 Following  |  3,016 Posts  |  Joined: 09.10.2024
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Posts by City Observatory (@cityobservatory.bsky.social)

Why things need to change in the conversation about urban change. Dramatically. #UrbanTruth

02.03.2026 22:46 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Image of busy walking street with shops on the ground floor and other uses (offices, apartments) above. The text line says β€œWait, we’re afraid of walkable distances now?”

Tag line of the Urban Truth Collective at the bottom.

Image of busy walking street with shops on the ground floor and other uses (offices, apartments) above. The text line says β€œWait, we’re afraid of walkable distances now?” Tag line of the Urban Truth Collective at the bottom.

Conspiracy lovers and opportunistic politicians, with some wealthy folks working behind the scenes, have been trying REALLY hard to make us scared of the simple idea of having more things nearby, and more choices in how to get them.

Weird, right? #UrbanTruth

01.03.2026 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 242    πŸ” 67    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1
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Cities: "We're going to say we want zero traffic deaths, but we want achieve that without actually changing the way we do anything."

01.03.2026 05:32 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The dearth and death of small format retail is a direct result of car dependence.

27.02.2026 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

YOU CANNOT PAVE YOUR WAY OUT OF CONGESTION πŸ€¦β€β™‚οΈ

25.02.2026 06:12 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek is trying to expand the state’s already massive tax breaks for data centers.

Data center companies are already saving nearly $500,000,000 in local property taxes this year in Oregon.

Now the Governor wants to double key tax breaks from 5 years to 10.

24.02.2026 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 327    πŸ” 113    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 16

A classic example of the benefits of "I" as opposed to "AI." Our collective hive-mind, embodied it networks of smart people are repositories of intelligence. Know-who and know-how and trust all matter, and are poorly imitated by large language models.

24.02.2026 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Former ICE agent: My first day training new cadets, I received secretive orders to teach them to violate the Constitution by entering homes without a warrant. I watched ICE cut classes that teach our legal system, firearms training, use of force, lawful arrests, and the limits of officers' authority

23.02.2026 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 4505    πŸ” 2194    πŸ’¬ 103    πŸ“Œ 244
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β€˜No one deserves this’: Beaverton father dies after deportation to Mexico A Beaverton family is grieving after the father, who was detained and deported by ICE, has now died.

This 53 year old man who lived in my neighborhood w/no criminal record & who had been in the US for 30 years, was detained and thrown into a cold cell for days, caught pneumonia and COVID there and deported.

He finally died.

I am so angry.
www.kptv.com/2026/02/21/n...

21.02.2026 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 13144    πŸ” 6654    πŸ’¬ 400    πŸ“Œ 368
IBR contradicts region’s climate commitments – City Observatory

Same in Oregon. State DOT planning for big increases in VMT even though state laws call for less travel to achieve climate goals.IBR contradicts region’s climate commitments – share.google/pEyZ6lxCqmRj...

21.02.2026 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Figure 1: income (in CHF) by migration round

Figure 1: income (in CHF) by migration round

Figure A7: Change in housing consumption per person, disaggregated into those initiated by construction of small units and those by large units.

Figure A7: Change in housing consumption per person, disaggregated into those initiated by construction of small units and those by large units.

Yet the findings are consistent with those from other contexts. New homes are occupied by those on relatively high incomes, but initiate moving chains that involve households with progressively lower incomes & homes at lower rents. Households generally move to larger homes.

20.02.2026 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 51    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3
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Portland is facing a $169 million budget deficit due to shelter and public safety costs The projected financial shortfall in the coming fiscal year reflects the city’s reliance on temporary cash.

Portland doesn't have enough to pay for homelessness or cops but does have millions to give to a billionaire NBA team owner. www.opb.org/article/2026...

19.02.2026 17:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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This hasn’t aged well has it

18.02.2026 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Economic impact of NBA teams: Nearly nil. – City Observatory

The economic impact of NBA teams is wildly exaggerated. 130 academic studies show stadiums have essentially no impact on economic growth. Seattle and Vancouver both "lost" their NBA teams with no long term effect on growth. cityobservatory.org/economic-imp...

17.02.2026 00:09 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

it's worth asking why swiss coops can afford 20 elevators and 3 and 4-bedroom homes in 4 story buildings, when all we seem to afford are single aspect 280sf microstudios with 1 or 2 elevators for a hundred units

15.02.2026 03:41 β€” πŸ‘ 84    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
To paraphrase Derek Zoolander: is this a city for ants? We need to think at least three times bigger

To paraphrase Derek Zoolander: is this a city for ants? We need to think at least three times bigger

So @binnig.bsky.social wins this round of public testimony www.portlandmaps.com/bps/testimon...

14.02.2026 05:27 β€” πŸ‘ 76    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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State lawmakers ponder $27 million cut from Safe Routes to School, mass layoffs, and more We are at the precipice ODOT has warned us about for many years.

Look at all the beloved programs that are on the chopping block while the Oregon Legislature continues to barrel forward with a plan to execute further bonding to pay for another $160 million towards the proposed Rose Quarter Freeway Expansion.
#orleg #orpol
bikeportland.org/2026/02/12/s...

13.02.2026 22:59 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3

Yes, bad.

As is also suggested in the piece,
my suggestion would be to impose pricing, but it should be GPS-based congestion pricing (per km or minute) plus geofencing to ensure β€˜pauking’ and pickup/dropoff doesn’t take place in bike lanes, bus lanes, etc.

13.02.2026 06:55 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Want to improve affordability and lower rents? Build more housing, especially more apartments. Case in point: Austin, Texas--a building boom produced a precipitous decline in rents. www.apartmentlist.com/research/nat...

13.02.2026 18:58 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Parking garage safety is a huge preoccupation in building codes – but only when it comes to fire. I’ve never heard any concern for getting hit by cars, which I’m sure is a far higher risk.

13.02.2026 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
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A Tunnel to Transform Los Angeles The ambitious Sepulveda Transit Corridor project β€” an automated subway line underneath Bel Air β€” aims to do something rare in LA: Get people out of their cars.

β€œA year after the $1.1 billion overhaul,” which added a new lane each direction, β€œthe 405’s rush hour drive times were a minute slower than they were before the workers broke ground. Five years later, traffic was worse at all times of day.”

www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

13.02.2026 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 335    πŸ” 119    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 0

Having spent most of my working life in transport policy, this is the essential truth that so many people - including politicians with responsibility for transport decisions - don’t or won’t get.

To reduce congestion, you reduce capacity and reduce speed. The empirical evidence is overwhelming.

10.02.2026 08:11 β€” πŸ‘ 161    πŸ” 59    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 4

bsky.app/profile/jcbr...

07.02.2026 15:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Patriots, Seahawks Face California Tax Bill in Super Bowl Pursuit California has the highest state income taxes. Here's an estimate of what Drake Maye and Sam Darnold will have to pay after playing in the Super Bowl.

There is surprisingly little research on the public finance implications of "jock taxes." This is fertile ground for a project that could produce several studies.

10.02.2026 13:02 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Same idea, but with income. Not a lot of movement metro-wide, which is probably not great for a 23-year span.

In the city, the upper ~40% of tracts have seen meaningful income growth. The bottom ~60% were hit hard 2000-2010, and had ~recovered in real terms by 2023.

11.02.2026 04:07 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Question: Will any more or fewer fans attend Blazer games if the Moda Center looks like this, or continues to look the way it does now? People go to the Blazer games because of the basketball, not the facade and amenities. This is a gift to the owners and a subsidy to attendees.

09.02.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Actually, no economist will make such a statement. The strong consensus of economic opinion is it will make zero difference to the long term economic health of the region. Here is a summary of 130 studies by three of the leading scholars on the subject: scholar.google.com/citations?vi...

09.02.2026 21:36 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Kotek bill would allow Oregon cities another growth boundary expansion for housing House Bill 4082 is aimed at spurring the production of senior housing and manufactured homes, the governor says.

Dubious land use policy suggestion: What we need to do is put more seniors and low income people on the urban periphery, where they'll have to own a car to get anywhere, where transit doesn't work, and where they can't walk anywhere.
www.oregonlive.com/politics/202...

09.02.2026 18:48 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Would help to know that "HBE" is "hard braking event". Very, very interesting study.

09.02.2026 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@oregondot.bsky.social you know what you must do

08.02.2026 00:02 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0