Patrick Leblond (he/il)

This Carney statement is puzzling. If, as he says, we must accept "the world as it is" – including the purported failure of previous diplomatic efforts and of the international order – then why call for a diplomatic solution, de-escalation, and respect for international law?

China slashes anti-dumping tariff on Canadian canola in final ruling | The Western Producer China on Saturday sharply reduced its tariff rate on Canadian canola seed in the final ruling of a 17-month anti-dumping investigation, following a thaw in relations between Beijing and Ottawa.

China's tariff on Canada's canola seed exports lowered from 75.8% to 14.9%.

Earlier reports indicated this was where the levy was going after the Canada-China deal in January.

#cdnpoli #cdnecon

www.producer.com/daily/china-...

China no longer buys US exports. Drawing the right lessons for the next Trump-Xi deal

MY LATEST [1/6]

👉 www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

Good addition: Canada continues "to urge a diplomatic resolution to the situation in the interests of civilian lives." This didn't appear in yesterday's statement.

Still missing: any reference to international law.

All violations of the UN Charter must be called out. Not some of them. All of them.

“.. “100+ oil per barrel soon,” Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev gloated on X Saturday evening.

@politico.com
www.politico.eu/article/russ...

Screenshot add announcing trade diversification to protect Ontario

Screenshot cover Ontario's Building Fortress Am-Can plan

Ontario provincial government's attempt to square the trade policy circle.

Federal judges who've ruled against Trump administration denounce threats against themselves, their families Federal judges say criticism from President Trump can put their safety at risk. The White House says the president "understands the dangers of political violence."

"The president has frequently railed against judges when they rule against him. What often happens next is a barrage of violent threats from his followers against those judges. We spoke with 26 federal judges– 9 Democratic appointees, 17 Republican, both sitting and retired."

@60minutes.bsky.social

My basic advice to you, when speaking to Iranians right now, is to recognize the stress that they are under and not assume you know how they feel about all of this.

The war on Iran likely brings a new oil price shock and windfall profits.

So, who stands to win?

Our research shows: Last time around (2022), the US reaped the largest fossil fuel profits of any country ($377bn). 50% went to the top 1%, only 1% to the bottom 50%. A🧵

U.S. Races to Accomplish Iran Mission Before Munitions Run Out President Trump says the Iran campaign might last a week or longer, but dwindling stockpiles could limit his options.

i'm no fancy military strategist but "we didn't really plan so we're going to run out of munitions soon" seems not great

But it’s sunny!

The Axis of Illicit Finance: Iran’s Crypto Strategy Explained Part 1 of a new 8-part series on Iran's use of cryptocurrency for sanctions evasion

Iran's ability to evade sanctions helped sustain the regime, fund Iran's proxies, and facilitate trade. Part of the reason even the toughest sanctions were ineffective -- Iran developed a hybrid threat financing system using crypto. Read here:

newsletter.insightthreatintel.com/p/the-axis-o...

Putinism Haș Come To America The early years of Putin are the most relevant history now

Important read from Dan Gardner. dgardner.substack.com/p/putinism-h...

Indeed!

Very confusing and frustrating! The point to his pragmatism is that the “exception” (i.e., pragmatism) is the rule: principled when it’s worth it to Canada (in his eyes) and pragmatic when it’s not. That’s Carney’s “principled pragmatism”. He’s not there to save the world but to save Canada.

People should focus on the “pragmatic” part of the speech... For Carney, I presume, Iran and Venezuela are not part of the liberal order and they have nothing to offer Canada, so might as well keep Trump happy (and avoid further tariffs) by not invoking international law.

Leaving aside moral issues and gaming/securities law dodgery, it's telling that this also isn't being investigated as a national security risk. Want to know when the US is gonna launch air raids against _____? Just watch for new accounts to place big bets on prediction markets. Cheap Intel!

If you spend time in the bad place, you’re hearing this claim a lot:

Alberta sends $23B more to Ottawa than it gets back. If we separated, we’d erase the $9B deficit and have a $14B surplus.

It sounds simple. It’s wrong. Here's why. 🧵

It’s insane this is legal. People around Trump are profiting off war and death. I’m introducing legislation ASAP to ban this.

the bombings will continue until peace improves

When white citizens vote the same way, that’s just normal

When Muslim citizens vote the same way, that’s sectarianism, a conspiracy and breaks election rules

👇🎯

Visiting Professor, International Relations Please refer to the How to Apply for a Job (for External Candidates) job aid for instructions on how to apply. If you are an active McGill employee (ie: currently in an active contract or position at ...

IR faculty with sabbaticals next year - McGill has a one-semester (Fall 2026 or Winter 2027) visiting professorship. It pays $21,000 CAD and entails teaching a small graduate course and hanging out with us. DEADLINE IS MARCH 27.
mcgill.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/McGill_Caree....

"Geopolitical risk and supply chain diversification" via @voxeu cepr.org/voxeu/column...
"firms respond to rising geopolitical risk by diversifying production from China to ASEAN economies, rather than engaging in full decoupling or reshoring."

this White House offers a constant master class in how to alienate Canadians

Ms. McQuade Made This Insightful
Statement on Lawrence O'Donnell's Show,In 2020........

One of the biggest changes in 🇺🇸 politics since 2000 is that state Republican parties in purple northern states - from the Fidesz-on-Mendota party in WI to the Alternative for New Hampshire 👇 - have gone full far right authoritarian & embraced a deeply vindictive & ugly form of
Herrenvolk democracy

OpenAI has a lot of explaining to do, and might want to start by revealing to authorities what responses ChatGPT gave during interactions with Van Rootselaar.

Imposing a Temporary Import Surcharge to Address Fundamental International Payments Problems BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION The United States plays a pivotal role in shaping the global economy. At the same time, Every child deserves a safe and nurturing home w...

EO imposing global tariff via section 122 of 1974 trade act maintains many most of the key exemptions- energy, critical minerals, fertilizer, most electronics, several food products, and autos (so not stackable on top the 232s)

www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

In 2024, Danielle Smith wrote a letter to Justin Trudeau to complain that they didn't get *more* immigrants than their planned allotment. (She also wanted more Ukrainians specifically, and we all know why).
Receipts: