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Riccardo Fabiani

@ricfabiani.bsky.social

Project Director, North Africa at the International Crisis Group.

152 Followers  |  497 Following  |  8 Posts  |  Joined: 29.11.2024  |  1.3622

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Once Western Sahara is removed from the UN list of non-self-governing territories, the legal and diplomatic scaffolding around it collapses.

While this move would not end the conflict per se, it would remove a major thorn in the side for Morocco and "normalise" the status quo.

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

By acknowledging the autonomy plan as "the only basis" for resolution and recognising Moroccan sovereignty, foreign governments implicitly recognise Western Sahara as Moroccan and, therefore, not a non-self-governing territory.

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

These elements of language matter for the future of this conflict.

By precluding other options, Morocco is hoping to 1) force Algeria and the Polisario to change position while 2) paving the way for removing Western Sahara from the UN list of non-self-governing territories.

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Morocco clearly prefers the latter option, but will settle for the former as long as it indicates an evolution from previous positions.

Algeria and the Polisario despise both options, but can live with the former.

But this is not just a battle over semantics.

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

- Calling the autonomy plan "the only basis" for conflict resolution

- Language adopted by France and the US

- Indicates only autonomy is possible and precludes other options

- Usually comes with recognition of Moroccan sovereignty

- Antagonises Algeria and the Polisario

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

- Calling the autonomy plan "the most serious and credible solution"

- Language adopted by the UK, Spain, Portugal

- Indicates strong support for the autonomy plan, without precluding other options

- Doesn't recognise Moroccan sovereignty

- Doesn't antagonise Algeria and FP

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

After yesterday's shift on Western Sahara by Portugal, a helpful reminder to all diplomats and non-diplomats of what the various elements of language on this issue mean and their implications:

(A thread)

23.07.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

๐”๐Š ๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐–๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐’๐š๐ก๐š๐ซ๐š ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก โ€œ๐›๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฆโ€ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ

@ricfabiani.bsky.socialโ€ฌ talks to us in an exclusive interview on the UK's new deal with Morocco

Read in our FREE magazine: maghrebi.org?sdm_process_...

@martinrjay.bsky.social

09.06.2025 15:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
The 18th century way of war At a time of increasing autocratic tendencies and heightened great-power competition, the 18th century provides important lessons from age when it was normal for states to annex territories for the gr...

Another fascinating historical parallel by my great friend and historian Adam Storring

engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...

25.02.2025 18:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Managing Tensions between Algeria and Morocco | Crisis Group Since 2021, when Algeria cut ties with Morocco, the two neighbours have been at odds. Thus far, their quarrels have largely remained in the diplomatic realm. Western countries should help keep a lid on the disputes until the time is ripe for a rapprochement.

NEW REPORT | Managing Tensions between Algeria and Morocco

Since 2021, Algeria and Morocco have been embroiled in a diplomatic crisis, with incidents in Western Sahara and Rabatโ€™s relations with Israel heightening the risk of confrontation.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

29.11.2024 08:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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