Burgess Everett

House just made next week a recess. So unless the Senate passes the House CR (or the House changes its mind and comes back), the shutdown could stretch to October 14 at this rate

Shaheen: "We're talking about how to move that forward in a way that gets agreement”

Rounds: "we're just talking to one another about the right path forward, but nothing is going to happen until we get the shutdown behind us"

Really no urgency at all to end the shutdown. Senate left for weekend, unclear when House is going to come back next week and just a smattering of bipartisan convos on the Senate floor today (no big gaggle like Wednesday). Shaheen and Rounds still buttonholing members though

Senators are now heading home for the weekend after a predictable collapse of the dueling CRs again. The House's CR is going down and no one has changed their votes (including Peters, Hassan,)

Cortez-Masto, Fetterman King are the only Dem yeses

Thune on potentially meeting with Schumer

"If he’s got something to say. I don’t think there’s at this point a lot to negotiate and I think at this point a lot of the more productive conversations are happening outside of the leader office at the moment”

Republicans seem to think they can split off some Senate Dems who voted for the March CR but are opposing this one.

One big problem: Durbin, Gillibrand and Schatz are all on Schumer’s leadership team. Really hard to see them breaking with him, and you’d need some to get to 60

Shutdown could run into next week as Senate bolts Democrats are likely to once again reject the House’s seven-week stopgap bill.

Shutdown schedule -- ? Will Schumer meet with Thune
- Dem Caucus lunch
- Senate votes at 1:30 for the 4th time on previously rejected CRs. No one currently expects a different result this time
✈️
- Back on Monday

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

WH told Congress "the President determined that the United States is in a non-international armed conflict with these designated terrorist organizations. The President directed the Department of War to conduct operations against them pursuant to the law of armed conflict"

Confirming NYT

Democrats: It’s more of a health care fight than a shutdown Holding the line to keep the government closed is painful for them, but most of them saw it as the only way to start their comeback.

Dem shutdown strategy:

Hick: "It’s my choice of last resort … this seems like the only way we can get our voice heard.”

Bernie: “I’m not happy about a shutdown. But I am truly not happy about the possibility of tens of thousands of Americans dying unnecessarily"

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Democrats: It’s more of a health care fight than a shutdown Holding the line to keep the government closed is painful for them, but most of them saw it as the only way to start their comeback.

New: Democrats are betting you're going to remember the health care fight, not the shutdown

Sen. Welch: "People hate shutdowns. And I hate shutdowns. So why are we doing it? ... the whole Obamacare healthcare success we have is being unraveled"

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Sen. Mike Rounds, who is talking to Dems about ACA subsidies, says "We’re not going to do anything until we get government open”

Says if tomorrow's vote fails and "we wait until the following Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday to do anything, there’s that much less time to do the things [Dems] want to do”

Thune does not support the 3-4 week CR being floated by Democrats to align deadline with ACA marketplace open enrollment

“And what? The House going to come back and vote on a one month as opposed to seven weeks"

and "there's no way that you can do a straight up extension” of enhanced ACA credits

News: Thune says it's "unlikely" the Senate votes this weekend.

"They'll have a fourth chance tomorrow to open up the government. If that fails, we'll give them the weekend to think about it. We'll come back vote again Monday"

Shutdown very likely now to go at least 6 days

Talks start in US Senate as shutdown drags into Friday After three Democratic defections on the House’s spending bill, it appears no one else is budging.

Looking like a good bet shutdown will go into next week. Yes, there are some talks, but not much urgency with the House out. Most Dems who supported March CR are not budging

“I’m not sure what’s going to open this up,” said Sen. John Fetterman, D-Pa.

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Carr to testify before Cruz’s committee in wake of Kimmel flap The Texas GOP chair compared the FCC chair’s pressure on Disney and ABC to a mob boss.

News: FCC Carr to testify before Cruz’s Commerce Committee in wake of Kimmel flap

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

Latest sign of a stalemate: It's possible the Senate doesn't vote over the weekend after the scheduled Friday votes. Nothing set in stone but absent a breakthrough it's now looking possible the shutdown goes into Monday

House doesn't come back til next week anyway

Trump causes bipartisan alarm by turning shutdown into DOGE 2.0 Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are pushing back on administration plans to lay off more workers and shut down more projects during a funding lapse.

News: Rs leery of OMB doing broad shutdown budget cuts

Cramer: Republicans "have never had so much moral high ground on a government funding bill in our lives. … I just don’t see why we would squander it"

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...

@eleanormueller.bsky.social and Shelby

Senate is gone until noon tomorrow, but no votes are expected. Could be some good speeches though

Jeffries and Schumer respond to Trump admin pausing NY projects

"Trump isn’t hurting Democrats—he’s hurting the nurses, teachers, first responders and everyday commuters from New York and New Jersey who rely on safe, reliable transit to get to work, school, to shop and home to their families.

Senate not expected to vote again until Friday due to the holiday, meaning government shutdown will run at least another couple days

One thing the shutdown will not slow down is confirmation of Trump's nominees: Senate voting now to advance another big batch of them

Rs don't want to only concentrate on ACA subsidies during this period, because they want to pass appropriations bills and think Democrats should want to as well to limit executive power by passing appropriations bills. Some also think the Finance Committee should be leading the way on ACA subsidies

Shutdown update --

It's very early in the "way out" shutdown talks, but there's been some discussions about a 3-4 week CR, which Democrats want to align with the ACA marketplace period starting Nov. 1. Some think a shorter CR and a commitment to address the expiring subsidies could be workable

Senate revoting on the House CR. No changes so far: King, Cortez Masto and Fetterman vote yes. Hassan and Peters just voted no

There's a big bipartisan gaggle of senators on the floor though, which I did not see yesterday

Schumer on Trump's threats to cut Dem priorities during shutdown

"He is using the American people as pawns, threatening pain on the country as blackmail. Well, that's not going to work"

"He says he is going to close down all these things"

Shutdown now guaranteed: Next Senate vote won't be until 11 a.m. tomorrow

Both parties prepare for a lengthy US shutdown Neither Republicans nor Democrats have taken the exit paths they had. All signs are pointing to a chaotic, long affair.

Congress is about to experience a painful reality ... Getting into shutdowns are easy. Getting out of them is a lot harder.

Each party has the same plan; they’re waiting until the other guys cave. might take a while.

@eleanormueller.bsky.social and Shelby

www.semafor.com/article/09/3...

Thune says he’s talking to Dems about the path forward and is optimistic more Democrats will break with their party on future votes

“There are Democrats who are very unhappy with the situation that they're in,” he says.

House's CR is going to fail, just waiting on Rand Paul now (who opposes it)

Vote is 55-44 now and shutdown is now 99.9999 percent going to happen

Three D Caucus members voted for it: Cortez Masto, Fetterman and King (I)

Shaheen and Hassan voted no. Shaheen is now talking to Thune