Andy マーク レナード's Avatar

Andy マーク レナード

@themagicbakery.bsky.social

https://themagicbakery.substack.com/

103 Followers  |  85 Following  |  359 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  2.0289

Latest posts by themagicbakery.bsky.social on Bluesky

for?

i know this guy but i cant put my finger on what specific phrase youre alluding to

01.05.2025 22:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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cant manana become no mas?

no battle seems to be getting fought here anymore (SI/DTC), very clear competition in China, demand destruction in Europe (who also seem more inclined to import Chinese EVs, some already made in Spain/Hungary)

23.04.2025 20:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

here today gone tomorrow?

23.04.2025 18:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

alive but exhausted by channeling the mind(s) of lesser men to even grasp at understanding wtf could happen

18.04.2025 18:39 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
1. How Buildings Learn - Stewart Brand - 1 of 6 - “Flow”
YouTube video by Stewart Brand 1. How Buildings Learn - Stewart Brand - 1 of 6 - “Flow”

Stewart Brand How Buildings Learn in BBC tv format

excellent on many levels - many timeless insights, art of observation, many ppl make entire careers out of a single of six episodes

www.youtube.com/watch?v=AvEq...

14.04.2025 19:12 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

still think montreal is the top place to live (iirc)?

12.04.2025 16:41 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

artificial intelligence, heavy emphasis on artificial

11.04.2025 19:07 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

if you rly want to zig when others zag - try moving to China...

has also crossed my mind fleetingly...

second order - Japan is where Chinese people are looking for second options, so maybe some wisdom of crowd there...

10.04.2025 17:45 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

entrepots need flows to do well - if the world has less trade, that is less flow to clip a fee off of

(i spent 5 minutes wondering if I should move to Singapore yesterday)

08.04.2025 18:47 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

bc its a hard asset? USD angle?

04.04.2025 18:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

long or short?

04.04.2025 18:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

just tossing it out - toying with the idea that the event driven elliott activism angle isnt fully priced into options (wishful). have never bought LEAPS for the record...

04.04.2025 16:54 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Post image Post image

$PSX LEAPS? Jan 2027 $120 is $19 vs $200+ elliott target

Long PSX Short $VLO?

cheap assets, clear catalyst now

streamline66.com/wp-content/u...

29.03.2025 20:49 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

its the law

of the conservation of mass

27.03.2025 19:45 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Post image 24.03.2025 17:20 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

the older IT firms /could/ nail the DX transition - ITFOR 4743 is one of them, seemingly - but i think cultural shifts in any individual company is hard to understand let alone accomplish. will look, but hesitation/bias that they could lose biz to newer SaaS pure play companies

22.03.2025 15:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

no - ill take a closer look when i have a sec, but while i have bought very cheap japanese companies in the past, i think the better results will come from surfing the wave of DX combined with governance reforms.

22.03.2025 15:55 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

the underlying assumption on my part is that SES is a heuristic for long term orientation to build a durable and competitively advantaged business

19.03.2025 20:28 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

im less trying to distinguish it myself than to show where someone who did make that distinction failed to appreciate certain aspects that may have been more apparent with a better model of what a long term orientation that will cement a competitive position looks like.

19.03.2025 20:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

airlines are a good example

19.03.2025 20:25 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

streaming is interesting b/c in the early stages, netflix did something SES-esque, but once their competition position became unassailable looking they took pricing and dont seem so friendly in that regard anymore

19.03.2025 20:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

good example - TKWY thought they had a "protected base" of profits in netherlands but it didnt rly give them any LT advantage at the biz level and it certainly led to some miscalculations by mgmt.

19.03.2025 20:22 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

the parallel being poker is great for decision making with incomplete information+using people's actions to create information at the investment level. in this instance, Go may prove useful for thinking about multistage territory games where relative advantage compounds

19.03.2025 20:21 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

i am elaborating on Go/weichi as a useful model/measuring stick for long term orientation. the idea being that as an abstraction it may prove less prone to false positives that the scale economies shared pattern match has, albeit nothing is perfect

19.03.2025 20:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

do any duds come to mind when people overly focused on the sleep zakaria nomad partnership concept of scale economics shared?

19.03.2025 17:33 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 4    📌 0

the other comment is that if there is inflation in japan, chains have economies or scale, single location owner operators probably also skew quite old.

15.03.2025 17:24 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Expeditors? who else?

15.03.2025 17:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

knowing fuckall, i will say that ramen can appear quite customizable without having complex operations. maybe no quite pizza economics, but is similarly not protein dominant so better than burgers

15.03.2025 17:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Ramen consolidation in Japan?

Gift already growing topline and EPS 20%+ for the last 10 years...

20x EBIT, have never been cheap

$9279

15.03.2025 17:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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interesting IR concept - website listing the answers to every earnings call question w/date, category. a few other companies use besides serverworks, so not alone in doing it. dont need to rly read into it but low signal that they care about shareholders?

www.qastation.jp/serverworks

15.03.2025 02:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

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