Did you know that most of the equity risk premium is realized on macro announcement days? I discuss the latest research on this topic and test a simple strategy around nonfarm payrolls.
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
@quantseeker.bsky.social
Quant investing and trading. Research and trading strategies. For information and education only, not investment advice. Weekly Newsletter: https://www.quantseeker.com/
Did you know that most of the equity risk premium is realized on macro announcement days? I discuss the latest research on this topic and test a simple strategy around nonfarm payrolls.
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A fresh roundup of the latest investing research is out.
β’ Predicting Crypto Using Sentiment
β’ A Strategy Based on FX Mispricings
β’ Option-Based Return Predictors
β’ A Regime-Switching Model
β’ ...and much more.
π Join 5,000+ investors and quants:
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This just arrived. Looks like a great read.
25.05.2025 19:57 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A fresh roundup of the latest investing research is out.
β’ Macro Announcement Risk Premia
β’ A Mean-Reversion Strategy
β’ Complex or Simple Models?
β’ Diversifying with Listed Real Estate
β’ Great Blogs, Repositories, and Podcasts
β’ ...and much more.
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
New article by Antti Ilmanen on understanding expected returns. Always a must-read.
www.aqr.com/Insights/Res...
A new article is out where I explore which assets and strategies tend to perform well during bear markets.
www.quantseeker.com/p/what-works...
A fresh roundup of the latest investing research is out.
Some of the topics covered:
β’ Bond Return Predictability
β’ Timing Momentum
β’ Stock Return Predictability
β’ Disagreement in Option Markets
β’ Great blogs, repositories, and podcasts
β’ ...and much more
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A new roundup of the latest investing research is out.
β’ Sector Exposure in Commodity Signals
β’ Earnings and Price Momentum
β’ Sector Allocation with LLMs
β’ Macro News Attention
β’ ...
Read more here:
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A new roundup of the latest research on investing is out.
β’ Currency Anomalies
β’ Improving Momentum Strategies
β’ Finance Applications of LLMs
β’ Volatility Forecasting
β’ Great blogs, repositories, and podcasts
β’ ...
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
In my new post, I discuss research on:
- Economic Uncertainty and Expected Returns
- Emerging Market Debt
- Predicting Overnight Returns
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A new roundup of the latest investing research is out.
Topics:
β’ X-Asset Momentum
β’ Political Risk and Return Predictability
β’ LLMs and News Sentiment Trading
β’ Great blogs and podcasts
β’ ...
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
New blog post: I explore how the slope of the VIX term structure can be used to time volatility exposure, reviewing key research and testing some trading signals.
www.quantseeker.com/p/timing-vol...
In my new blog post, I discuss research on:
- Properties of Drawdowns
- News-Driven Commodity Trading
- Extracting Alpha from Crowding
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A new roundup of the latest research on investing is out.
Topics:
β’ Overnight Stock Returns
β’ Factor Exposures and Quantile Regressions
β’ Asset Allocation and Macro Regimes
β’ Great blogs, repos, podcasts
β’ ...
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
Three great books.
14.03.2025 09:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A new blog post is out where I explore short-term mean reversion signals.
www.quantseeker.com/p/short-term...
In my new post, I discuss research on:
Generating Alpha from Analysts
Protecting Against Inflation
Profiting from Macro Announcements
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-res...
A new roundup of the latest research on investing is out.
Topics Covered:
β’ Predicting Commodity Returns
β’ Restoring the Value Premium
β’ ETF Momentum
β’ Great blogs, repositories, and podcasts
β’ ...
Join fellow investors:
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-rec...
New Article: The pre-FOMC announcement drift isnβt dead, itβs alive and well. I review the research and test the strategy using data through 2024.
www.quantseeker.com/p/trading-th...
A new blog post is out: I discuss and test a short-term mean reversion signal between stocks and bonds.
www.quantseeker.com/p/exploiting...
A new roundup of the latest research on investing is out.
Topics:
β’ Tail risk in oil markets
β’ Extracting sentiment with FinGPT
β’ The impact of gamma on volatility
β’ Portfolio construction
β’ Great blogs, repositories, and podcasts
β’ ...
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-rec...
New blog post: Turn-of-the-Month Strategies: Do They Still Work?
I explore key academic findings and test strategies across a range of ETFs. Are the returns still there?
www.quantseeker.com/p/turn-of-th...
A new recap of the latest research on investing is out.
Topics Covered:
β’ Alpha in Premier League Betting
β’ Crypto
β’ Value Investing
β’ Seasonalities in Option Returns
β’ Large Language Models
β’ ...and much more
Read and join the community:
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The stock-bond correlation plays a crucial role in portfolio construction, risk management, and asset allocation. In my latest article, I explore its significant time variation, the economic forces that drive it, and the practical implications for investors.
www.quantseeker.com/p/exploring-...
A new recap of the latest research on investing is out!
Read and join the community:
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-rec...
A new edition of my weekly roundup of the latest research on investing is out!
Read and join the community:
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-rec...
New blog post: While trend and breakout signals are popular in crypto markets, recent research suggests alternative signals beyond momentum. I test two such signals and their combination with momentum.
www.quantseeker.com/p/beyond-mom...
A fresh recap of the latest research on investing is out!
www.quantseeker.com/p/weekly-rec...
This new paper studies portfolio protection strategies, highlighting the need for diversification. It proposes a mix: 40% SPX rolling puts, 20% Trend, 20% Long Rates Vol, and 20% Quality, to manage the diverse intensity and length of equity drawdowns.
Read paper here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Can industry momentum strategies be enhanced with news sentiment and dispersion? I explore how these factors can improve traditional momentum strategies, finding significant performance gains, especially at more granular industry levels.
www.quantseeker.com/p/improving-...