🇸🇮 Slovenia | Legislative Election polling averages — January 22, 2026
🟨 SDS: 29.0% (+5.5)
🟦 GS: 23.2% (-11.3)
➡️ NSi+: 8.1% (+1.2)
🟥 SD: 8.0% (+1.3)
⬛ Dem: 7.2% (NEW)
🟥 Lev+: 5.7% (+1.2)
🟪 Res: 4.9% (+2.0)
—
🟫 SNS: 3.1% (+1.6)
⬛ PIR: 2.9% (+1.3)
...
+/- vs. 2022
🇩🇪 Germany | Legislative Election polling averages — January 21, 2026
➡️ AfD: 25.8% (+5.0)
⬛ Union: 24.8% (-3.8)
🟥 SPD: 14.4% (-2.0)
🟩 GRN: 12.3% (+0.7)
🟪 Linke: 10.4% (+1.6)
+/- vs. Feb 2025
Projection at the constituency level
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Germany/
🇵🇱 Poland | Legislative Election Nowcast update — January 17, 2026
🟧 KO: 33% | 184 (+27)
🟦 PiS: 28% | 160 (-34)
⬛ Kon: 12% | 54 (+38)
🟫 KKP: 9% | 36 (+34)
🟥 Lew: 7% | 26 (+7)
—
🟪 Raz: 4% | 0 (-7)
🟩 PSL: 3% | 0 (-28)
🟨 PL50: 2% | 0 (-33)
+/- vs. 2023
🇹🇷 Turkey | Legislative Election polling averages — January 16, 2026
🟥 CHP: 32.4% (+7.1)
🟧 AKP: 30.8% (-4.8)
🟪 DEM: 8.8% (-0.1)
🟫 MHP: 6.3% (-3.8)
—
ℹ️ IYI: 5.8% (-3.9)
...
+/- vs. 2023
🇬🇧 Nowcast UK | House of Commons projection — January 15, 2026
➡️ RFM: 28% | 325 (+320)
🟦 CON: 18% | 57 (-64)
🟥 LAB: 18% | 76 (-330)
🟩 GRN: 13% | 26 (+22)
🟧 LDM: 12% | 80 (+8)
🟨 SNP: 3% | 45 (+36)
🔲 PLC: 1% | 9 (+5)
+/- vs. GE2024
🔗 www.nowcast.uk/home/house-o...
🇮🇹 | Probabilistic breakdown of the latest polling / projections for Italy
🟦 CDX majority: 54%
🟥 CSX majority: 18%
Odds of neither coalition reaching a majority of seats is ~28%
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Italy/
🇨🇿 Czechia | Parliament projection, based on STEM polling — January, 2025
🟦 ANO: 35% | 84 (+4)
🟩 Spolu: 22% | 51 (-1)
🟪 STAN: 13% | 27 (+5)
⬛ Piráti: 10% | 21 (+3)
🟫 SPD+: 8% | 17 (+2)
—
#️⃣ AUTO: 4.9% | 0 (-13)
🟥 Stačilo: 4% | 0 (=)
+/- vs. Oct 2025
🏴 Wales | Senedd projection based on @yougov.co.uk polling — January, 2026
🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1
Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party
🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026
🇭🇺 Hungary | Legislative Election Nowcast update — January 13, 2026
➡️ Tisza: 47% | 113 (NEW)
🟧 Fidesz: 39% | 81 (-54)
🟩 MHM: 5% | 5 (-1)
—
🟦 DK: 3% | 0 (-15)
🔲 MKKP: 3% | 0 (=)
+/- vs. 2022
🇳🇴 Norway | Legislative Election Nowcast update — January 12, 2026
🟦 FrP: 28% | 50 (+3)
🟥 Ap: 24% | 44 (-9)
➡️ Hø: 17% | 31 (+7)
🟥 Rø: 7% | 12 (+3)
🟩 Sp: 5% | 9 (=)
🟪 SV: 5% | 9 (=)
🟩 MG: 4% | 8 (=)
—
🔲 V: 3.7% | 3 (=)
🟨 KrF: 3.4% | 3 (-4)
+/- vs. Sep 2025
🇮🇹 Italy | Legislative Election polling averages — January 12, 2026
⬛ FdI: 29.6% (+3.6)
🟥 PD: 22.2% (+3.1)
🟨 M5S: 12.7% (-2.7)
➡️ Forza: 8.5% (+0.4)
🟩 Lega: 8.4% (-0.4)
🟪 AVS: 6.5% (+2.9)
...
+/- vs. 2022
Projection at the district level 👇
🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Italy/
🇬🇷 Greece | Legislative Election Nowcast update — January 10, 2026
➡️ ND: 29% | 121 (-37)
🟩 PSK: 14% | 47 (+15)
🟪 PE: 11% | 35 (+27)
*️⃣ EL: 10% | 31 (+19)
🟥 KKE: 8% | 24 (+3)
🟪 SYZ: 5% | 16 (-31)
🟦 FL: 5% | 15 (+15)
🟧 M25: 4% | 11 (+11)
—
🟪 KD: 2.8% | 0
+/- vs. 2023
🇪🇦 Spain | Legislative Election polling averages — January 9, 2026
🟦 PP: 32.3% (-0.8)
🟥 PSOE: 27.2% (-4.5)
🟩 Vox: 18.8% (+6.4)
🟪 Sumar: 6.0% (-6.3)
🟪 Podem: 4.0% (*)
🟫 SALF: 1.7% (NEW)
|
🔲 Other: 9.9% (-0.6)
+/- vs. 2023
* contested the previous election with Sumar
🇵🇱 Poland | Legislative Election polling averages — January 3, 2026
🟧 KO: 33.7% (+3.0)
🟦 PiS: 28.4% (-7.0)
⬛ Kon: 11.6% (+5.3)
🟫 KKP: 8.3% (+7.4)
🟥 Lew: 6.8% (+1.2)
—
🟪 Raz: 3.9% (+1.8)
🟩 PSL: 3.0% (-2.5)
🟨 PL50: 2.3% (-4.9)
+/- vs. 2023
Some maps people took the most interest in this year @nowcast-eu.bsky.social
31.12.2025 16:46 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
🇵🇹 | Lisbon constituency nowcast (Portuguese Assembly) — December, 2025
🟪 PS: 24.0% (+0.3)
🟧 AD: 23.4% (-5.1)
⬛ CH: 20.8% (-0.1)
ℹ️ PIL: 11.9% (+4.3)
🟨 LIV: 10.1% (+3.2)
🟥 CDU: 3.9% (+0.3)
🟫 Bloc: 2.7% (+0.3)
🟩 PAN: 1.7% (-0.1)
...
+/- vs. May 2025
🏴 Scotland | Holyrood projection based on @findoutnow.bsky.social polling
🟨 SNP: 62 (-2)
➡️ RFM: 23 (+23)
🟩 GRN: 14 (+6)
🟥 LAB: 13 (-9)
🟦 CON: 9 (-22)
🟧 LDM: 8 (+4)
+/- vs. 2021
Dates conducted: 11-19 December, 2025
🇵🇹 Portugal | Legislative Election Nowcast update — December 29, 2025
🟧 AD: 27% | 73 (-18)
🟪 PS: 24% | 63 (+5)
⬛ CH: 24% | 62 (+2)
ℹ️ PIL: 9% | 16 (+7)
🟨 LIV: 6% | 9 (+3)
🟥 CDU: 3% | 4 (+1)
🟫 Bloc: 2% | 2 (+1)
🟩 PAN: 1% | 0 (-1)
...
+/- vs. May 2025
🇩🇰 | Party polling averages — December 29, 2025
🟥 A: 17.8% (-9.7)
🟪 F: 15.2% (+6.9)
🟦 V: 11.8% (-1.5)
ℹ️ I: 11.2% (+3.3)
➡️ Æ: 9.5% (+1.4)
🟨 O: 8.3% (+5.7)
🟩 C: 8.0% (+2.5)
🟧 Ø: 6.8% (+1.7)
🟪 B: 5.0% (+1.2)
🟪 M: 2.2% (-7.1)
...
+/- vs. 2022
🇩🇰 Denmark | Legislative Election polling averages — December 29, 2025
🟦 Blue: 50.7% (+9.0)
🟥 Red: 46.6% (-2.4)
🔲 Other: 2.8% (-6.6)
+/- vs. 2022 [bloc]
Projection at the district level 👇
www.nowcast-eu.github.io/Denmark/
🇬🇷 Greece, Nowcast projection - 27/11/2024
🟦 ND: 119 (-39)
🟩 PASOK: 55 (+23)
#️⃣ EL: 29 (+17)
🟥 KKE: 26 (+5)
🟦 FL: 21 (NEW)
🟪 KIDI: 15 (NEW)
🟪 SYRIZA: 14 (-33)
🟪 PE: 11 (+3)
🟫 NIKI: 10 (=)
-
⬛ Spartans: 0 (-12)
+/- vs. last election, June 2023
Majority: 151
Next election: 2027
🇮🇪 Ireland, Nowcast projection - 25/11/2024
🟦 FG: 39 (+4)
🟩 FF: 39 (+1)
🟩 SF: 39 (+2)
🔲 IND: 33 (+13)
🟪 SD: 9 (+3)
🟥 PBP: 6 (+1)
🟥 LAB: 5 (-1)
🟩 GP: 3 (-9)
🟫 Aontú: 1 (=)
+/- vs. last election, February 2020
Majority: 88
Next election: 29 November 2024
🇫🇮 Finland, Nowcast projection - 22/11/2024
🟥 SDP: 56 (+13)
🟦 KOK: 38 (-10)
🟨 PS: 32 (-14)
🟩 KESK: 26 (+3)
🟪 VAS: 21 (+10)
🟩 VIHR: 14 (+1)
...
+/- vs. last election, April 2023
Majority: 101
Next election: 2027
🇮🇹 Italy, Nowcast projection - 21/11/2024
🟦 FdI: 126 (+7)
🟥 PD: 82 (+13)
➡️ FI: 62 (+17)
🟩 Lega: 54 (-12)
🟪 AVS: 36 (+24)
🟨 M5S: 28 (-24)
...
+/- vs. last election, September 2022
Majority: 201
Next election: 2027
🇬🇧 United Kingdom, Nowcast projection - 20/11/2024
🟥 LAB: 287 (-124)
🟦 CON: 214 (+93)
🟧 LDM: 68 (-4)
🟨 SNP: 23 (+14)
➡️ RFM: 19 (+14)
🟩 GRN: 7 (+3)
🟩 PLC: 4 (=)
+/- vs. last election, July 2024
Majority: ~320
Next election: 2029
🇩🇪 Germany, Nowcast projection - 20/11/2024
⬛ Union: 243 (+46)
➡️ AfD: 141 (+58)
🟥 SPD: 116 (-90)
🟩 Green: 83 (-35)
🟪 BSW: 47 (NEW)
-
🟨 FDP: 0 (-92)
🟪 Linke: 0 (-39)
+/- vs. last election, 2021
Majority: 316
Next election: 2025
🇸🇪 Sweden, Nowcast projection - 19/11/2024
🟥 S: 126 (+19)
🟦 M: 75 (+7)
🟨 SD: 73 (=)
🟪 V: 30 (+6)
🟩 MP: 26 (+8)
🟩 C: 19 (-5)
-
⬛ KD: 0 (-19)
🟦 L: 0 (-16)
+/- vs. last election, 2022
Majority: 175
Next election: 2026
🇸🇯 Norway, Nowcast projection - 18/11/2024
⬛ FrP: 40 (+19)
🟦 H: 39 (+3)
🟥 Ap: 35 (-13)
🟪 SV: 17 (+4)
🟩 Sp: 15 (-13)
🟥 R: 10 (+2)
🟩 V: 8 (=)
...
+/- vs. 13 September 2021
Majority: 85
Next election: 8 September 2025
🇮🇪 Ireland, Nowcast projection - 17/11/2024
🟦 FG: 49 (+14)
🟩 FF: 37 (-1)
🟩 SF: 35 (-2)
🔲 IND: 34 (+14)
🟪 SD: 10 (+4)
🟥 LAB: 3 (-3)
🟥 PBP: 3 (-2)
🟩 GP: 2 (-10)
🟫 Aontú: 1 (=)
...
+/- vs. 8 February 2020
Majority: 88
Next election: 29 November 2024
🇳🇱 Netherlands, Nowcast projection - 15/11/2024
⬛ PVV: 39 (+2)
🟥 GL/A: 25 (=)
🟦 VVD: 21 (-3)
🟩 CDA: 11 (+6)
🟩 D66: 11 (+2)
🟩 PvdD: 7 (+4)
🟩 BBB: 5 (-2)
🟨 NSC: 5 (-15)
...
+/- vs. 22 November 2023
Majority: 76
Next election: 2028
