Nowcast.EU 🗳️

🇬🇷 Greece, Nowcast projection - 27/11/2024

🟦 ND: 119 (-39)
🟩 PASOK: 55 (+23)
#️⃣ EL: 29 (+17)
🟥 KKE: 26 (+5)
🟦 FL: 21 (NEW)
🟪 KIDI: 15 (NEW)
🟪 SYRIZA: 14 (-33)
🟪 PE: 11 (+3)
🟫 NIKI: 10 (=)
-
⬛ Spartans: 0 (-12)

+/- vs. last election, June 2023

Majority: 151
Next election: 2027

🇮🇪 Ireland, Nowcast projection - 25/11/2024

🟦 FG: 39 (+4)
🟩 FF: 39 (+1)
🟩 SF: 39 (+2)
🔲 IND: 33 (+13)
🟪 SD: 9 (+3)
🟥 PBP: 6 (+1)
🟥 LAB: 5 (-1)
🟩 GP: 3 (-9)
🟫 Aontú: 1 (=)

+/- vs. last election, February 2020

Majority: 88
Next election: 29 November 2024

🇫🇮 Finland, Nowcast projection - 22/11/2024

🟥 SDP: 56 (+13)
🟦 KOK: 38 (-10)
🟨 PS: 32 (-14)
🟩 KESK: 26 (+3)
🟪 VAS: 21 (+10)
🟩 VIHR: 14 (+1)
...

+/- vs. last election, April 2023

Majority: 101
Next election: 2027

🇮🇹 Italy, Nowcast projection - 21/11/2024

🟦 FdI: 126 (+7)
🟥 PD: 82 (+13)
➡️ FI: 62 (+17)
🟩 Lega: 54 (-12)
🟪 AVS: 36 (+24)
🟨 M5S: 28 (-24)
...

+/- vs. last election, September 2022

Majority: 201
Next election: 2027

🇬🇧 United Kingdom, Nowcast projection - 20/11/2024

🟥 LAB: 287 (-124)
🟦 CON: 214 (+93)
🟧 LDM: 68 (-4)
🟨 SNP: 23 (+14)
➡️ RFM: 19 (+14)
🟩 GRN: 7 (+3)
🟩 PLC: 4 (=)

+/- vs. last election, July 2024

Majority: ~320
Next election: 2029

🇩🇪 Germany, Nowcast projection - 20/11/2024

⬛ Union: 243 (+46)
➡️ AfD: 141 (+58)
🟥 SPD: 116 (-90)
🟩 Green: 83 (-35)
🟪 BSW: 47 (NEW)
-
🟨 FDP: 0 (-92)
🟪 Linke: 0 (-39)

+/- vs. last election, 2021

Majority: 316
Next election: 2025

🇸🇪 Sweden, Nowcast projection - 19/11/2024

🟥 S: 126 (+19)
🟦 M: 75 (+7)
🟨 SD: 73 (=)
🟪 V: 30 (+6)
🟩 MP: 26 (+8)
🟩 C: 19 (-5)
-
⬛ KD: 0 (-19)
🟦 L: 0 (-16)

+/- vs. last election, 2022

Majority: 175
Next election: 2026

🇸🇯 Norway, Nowcast projection - 18/11/2024

⬛ FrP: 40 (+19)
🟦 H: 39 (+3)
🟥 Ap: 35 (-13)
🟪 SV: 17 (+4)
🟩 Sp: 15 (-13)
🟥 R: 10 (+2)
🟩 V: 8 (=)
...

+/- vs. 13 September 2021

Majority: 85
Next election: 8 September 2025

🇮🇪 Ireland, Nowcast projection - 17/11/2024

🟦 FG: 49 (+14)
🟩 FF: 37 (-1)
🟩 SF: 35 (-2)
🔲 IND: 34 (+14)
🟪 SD: 10 (+4)
🟥 LAB: 3 (-3)
🟥 PBP: 3 (-2)
🟩 GP: 2 (-10)
🟫 Aontú: 1 (=)
...

+/- vs. 8 February 2020

Majority: 88
Next election: 29 November 2024

🇳🇱 Netherlands, Nowcast projection - 15/11/2024

⬛ PVV: 39 (+2)
🟥 GL/A: 25 (=)
🟦 VVD: 21 (-3)
🟩 CDA: 11 (+6)
🟩 D66: 11 (+2)
🟩 PvdD: 7 (+4)
🟩 BBB: 5 (-2)
🟨 NSC: 5 (-15)
...

+/- vs. 22 November 2023

Majority: 76
Next election: 2028

🇭🇺 Hungary, Nowcast projection - 15/11/2024

🟥 TISZA: 110 (NEW)
🟧 FIDESZ: 82 (-53)
🟩 MHM: 7 (+1)

+/- vs. 3 April 2022

Majority: 100
Next election: 2026

🇪🇸 Spain, Nowcast projection - 14/11/2024

🟦 PP: 153 (+16)
🟥 PSOE: 118 (-3)
🟩 Vox: 35 (+2)
➡️ JxCat: 8 (+1)
🟪 Sumar: 7 (-24)
🟧 ERC: 7 (=)
...

+/- vs. 23 July 2023

Majority: 176
Next election: 2027

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland, Nowcast projection - 13/11/2024

🟨 SNP: 50 (-14)
🟥 LAB: 30 (+8)
🟦 CON: 17 (-14)
➡️ RFM: 12 (+12)
🟧 LDM: 10 (+6)
🟩 GRN: 10 (+2)

+/- vs. 6 May 2021

Majority: 65
Next election: 2026

🇸🇰 Slovakia, Nowcast projection - 13/11/2024

🟦 PS: 47 (+15)
🟥 Smer: 39 (-3)
🟪 Hlas: 23 (-4)
🟨 KDH: 13 (+1)
🟩 SaS: 12 (+1)
🟫 Republika: 16 (+16)
-
🔲 OĽaNO: 0 (-16)
⬛ SNS: 0 (-10)

+/- vs. 30 September 2023

Majority: 76
Next election: 2027

🇩🇪 Germany, Nowcast projection - 12/11/2024

⬛ Union: 240 (+43)
➡️ AfD: 140 (+57)
🟥 SPD: 116 (-90)
🟩 Green: 84 (-34)
🟪 BSW: 50 (NEW)
-
🟨 FDP: 0 (-92)
🟪 Linke: 0 (-39)

+/- vs. 26 September 2021

Majority: 316
Next election: 23 February 2025

🇨🇿 Czechia, Nowcast projection - 12/11/2024

⬛ ANO: 91 (+19)
🟦 SPOLU: 51 (-20)
🟪 STAN: 22 (-11)
⬛ Piráti: 15 (+11)
🟫 SPD: 11 (-9)
🟥 KSČM: 6 (+6)
➡️ Motoristé: 4 (NEW)

+/- vs. 8-9 October 2021

Majority: 101
Next election: 2025

🇬🇧 United Kingdom, Nowcast projection - 11/11/2024

🟥 LAB: 312 (-99)
🟦 CON: 193 (+72)
🟧 LDM: 70 (-2)
🟨 SNP: 23 (+14)
➡️ RFM: 13 (+8)
🔲 IND: 10 (+4)
🟩 GRN: 7 (+3)

+/- vs. 4 July 2024

Majority: 326
Next election: 2029

🇸🇰 Slovakia, Nowcast projection - 16/09/2024

🟥 Smer: 46 (+4)
🟦 PS: 43 (+11)
🟪 Hlas: 25 (-2)
🟨 KDH: 12 (=)
🟩 SaS: 12 (+1)
🟫 Republika: 12 (+12)
-
🔲 OĽaNO: 0 (-16)
⬛ SNS: 0 (-10)

+/- vs. 30 September 2023

Majority: 76
Next election: 2027

🇩🇪 Germany, Nowcast projection - 12/09/2024

⬛ Union: 242 (+45)
➡️ AfD: 135 (+52)
🟥 SPD: 109 (-97)
🟩 Green: 81 (-37)
🟧 BSW: 63 (NEW)
-
🟨 FDP: 0 (-92)
🟪 Linke: 0 (-39)

+/- vs. 26 September 2021

Majority: 316
Next election: 2025

🇦🇹 Austria, Nowcast projection - 12/09/2024

⬛ FPÖ: 53 (+22)
🟦 ÖVP: 46 (-25)
🟥 SPÖ: 40 (=)
🟪 NEOS: 19 (+4)
🟩 Grüne: 16 (-10)
🟨 BIER: 9 (+9)

+/- vs. 29 September 2019

Majority: 92
Next election: 29 September 2024

🇩🇪 Saxony state, Nowcast projection - 31/08/2024

⬛ CDU: 43 (-2)
➡️ AfD: 41 (+3)
🟧 BSW: 19 (NEW)
🟥 SPD: 9 (-1)
🟩 Green: 8 (-4)
-
🟪 Linke: 0 (-14)

+/- vs. 1 September 2019

Majority: ~61
Next election: 1 September 2024

🇩🇪 Thuringia state, Nowcast projection - 31/08/2024

➡️ AfD: 29 (+7)
⬛ CDU: 21 (=)
🟧 BSW: 18 (NEW)
🟪 Linke: 14 (-15)
🟥 SPD: 6 (-2)
-
🟩 Green: 0 (-5)
🟨 FDP: 0 (-5)

+/- vs. 27 October 2019

Majority: ~45
Next election: 1 September 2024

🇬🇷 Greece, Nowcast projection - 28/08/2024

🟦 ND: 116 (-42)
🟩 PASOK: 44 (+12)
🟪 SYRIZA: 38 (-9)
#️⃣ EL: 29 (+17)
🟥 KKE: 29 (+8)
🟪 PE: 13 (+5)
🟦 FL: 11 (NEW)
🟫 NIKI: 11 (+1)
🟧 M25: 9 (+9)
-
⬛ Spartans: 0 (-12)

Majority: 151
Next election: 2027

🇩🇰 Denmark, Nowcast projection - 26/08/2024

🟥 A: 36 (-14)
🟪 F: 28 (+13)
🟦 I: 22 (+8)
🟦 Æ: 18 (+4)
🟦 V: 17 (-6)
🟧 Ø: 13 (+4)
🟪 M: 11 (-5)
🟩 C: 11 (+1)
...

+/- vs. 1 November 2022

Majority: 90
Next election: 2026

🇩🇪 Germany, Nowcast projection - 26/08/2024

⬛ Union: 221 (+24)
➡️ AfD: 127 (+44)
🟥 SPD: 108 (-98)
🟩 Green: 80 (-38)
🟧 BSW: 59 (NEW)
🟨 FDP: 35 (-57)
-
🟪 Linke: 0 (-39)

+/- vs. 26 September 2021

Majority: 316
Next election: 2025

🇵🇹 Portugal, Nowcast projection - 25/08/2024

🟧 AD: 78 (-2)
🟪 PS: 76 (-2)
⬛ CH: 40 (-10)
ℹ️ IL: 18 (+10)
🟥 BE: 8 (+3)
🟩 Livre: 6 (+2)
...

+/- vs. 10 March 2024

Majority: 116
Next election: 2028

🇸🇪 Sweden, Nowcast projection - 24/08/2024

🟥 S: 122 (+15)
🟦 M: 75 (+7)
🟨 SD: 74 (+1)
🟪 V: 34 (+10)
🟩 MP: 25 (+7)
🟩 C: 19 (-5)
-
⬛ KD: 0 (-19)
🟦 L: 0 (-16)

+/- vs. 11 September 2022

Majority: 175
Next election: 2026

🇸🇰 Slovakia, Nowcast projection - 24/08/2024

🟥 Smer: 45 (+3)
🟦 PS: 42 (+10)
🟪 Hlas: 27 (=)
🟨 KDH: 13 (+1)
🟫 Republika: 12 (+12)
🟩 SaS: 11 (=)
-
🔲 OĽaNO: 0 (-16)
⬛ SNS: 0 (-10)

+/- vs. 30 September 2023

Majority: 76
Next election: 2027

🇮🇸 Iceland, Nowcast projection - 24/08/2024

🟥 S: 19 (+13)
🟦 D: 12 (-4)
⬛ M: 10 (+7)
🟧 C: 6 (+1)
🟨 F: 6 (=)
🟪 P: 5 (-1)
🟩 B: 5 (-8)
-
🟩 V: 0 (-8)

+/- vs. 25 September 2021

Majority: 32
Next election: 2025

🇦🇹 Austria, Nowcast projection - 24/08/2024

⬛ FPÖ: 53 (+22)
🟦 ÖVP: 44 (-27)
🟥 SPÖ: 42 (+2)
🟪 NEOS: 18 (+3)
🟩 Grüne: 16 (-10)
🟨 BIER: 10 (+10)

+/- vs. 29 September 2019

Majority: 92
Next election: 29 September 2024