Rob Arthur

The U.S. just surpassed a grim measles milestone As the U.S. officially breaks 1,000 measles cases in 2026, experts say that the rate of infections is accelerating much faster this year than it did in years past

As the U.S. officially breaks 1,000 measles cases in 2026, experts say that the rate of infections is accelerating much faster this year than it did in years past

Because of the zero-sum property (every game lost by one team is a game won by another), I'm not expecting asymmetry in the win percentage distribution; instead, I'm expecting a greater spread of outcomes. There should be both more hopeless teams and more superteams.

Baseball’s Competitive Balance Problem It’s possible baseball has never been as competitively imbalanced as it is right now.

I don't think skewness is the right metric to look at this with, because every team that loses a lot of games forces other teams to win more games (since it's zero-sum). I think a better measure would be standard deviation or some type of outlier counting. blogs.fangraphs.com/baseballs-co...

there is evidence, at least in baseball, that teams are having more extreme losing records than before. So, setting aside the cause, I think this is a real trend.

This is the interview Donald Trump didn’t want you to see.

His FCC refused to air my interview with Stephen Colbert.

Trump is worried we’re about to flip Texas.

Erika Kirk Faces Backlash Over Alleged 'Inappropriate' Texts With A 15-Year-Old: 'Absolutely Vile' Purported Texts Between Erika Kirk And A 15-Year-Old Go Viral Sparking Backlash And 'Grooming' Allegations

yeeeesh www.yahoo.com/entertainmen...

Glad this is getting covered, but also… Completely surreal to read the NYT report on this as recently disclosed info, and just an allegation. This happened to every observer I know! It happened to me twice! I have it on video both times! www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/u...

2000 Staffers Have Left the Department of Justice Since September 2024 DOJ’s workforce shrunk by more than 11.5% from 2024-2025. Last week, a Department of Justice (DOJ) lawyer named Julia Le had a meltdown in court, telling a judge “The system sucks, my job sucks.” She...

According to public Department of Justice records, about 2000 staffers left DOJ from 2024-2025, including about 1000 lawyers. The last time there were there this few staff was 2010.
no-little-plans.ghost.io/2000-staffer...

Federal agents cornered Marimar Martinez, shot her several times, boasted about it, arrested her, lied about her to the public and in the police report, and falsely charged her with assaulting them.

Now the government wants to keep evidence of their lies secret to protect these agents' "privacy."

What is going on w/Bondi's DOJ & Pirro's US Attny's Office? They are repeatedly missing court deadlines in new lawsuits against USG & facing possible default. I had two w/i last few days. Admin has gutted these offices. I feel for lawyers still there. Workload is unmanageable.

“I watched him die… then I watched them maneuver his body like a rag doll— only to discover it was because they wanted to count the bullet wounds and see how many they ‘got’, like he was a deer.”

Mommy Mondays with Tony Dokoupil

perhaps the first Nuremburg defense of the Trump administration? Certainly won't be the last

drink a jug of whiskey with Tony Doukipil before watching a quack doctor whip out some calipers and tell you about how forehead diameter relates to aggressive tendencies, because pit bulls

who's excited for the new CBS segment "Phrenology Phridays"

This is an important paper on social class barriers among faculty in academia.

First-generation college grads earn less and are placed at lower prestige institutions despite being just as productive as other faculty.

Faculty from upper class backgrounds are overplaced for their research records.

TIL Dell supplies ICE.

America has a housing shortage. Every single housing proposal you see that is not "build more housing" will have the primary effect of pushing up the prices of existing housing, and is therefore, in reality, a plan to enrich current homeowners. In conclusion, build more housing.

SABR Analytics Certification: Level Four course, "Applied Statistics for Baseball", with instructor Rob Arthur

The newest course in the SABR Analytics Certification on-demand program is now available, "Applied Statistics for Baseball", led by instructor @robarthur.bsky.social. SABR members get registration discounts and your work will be reviewed by @baseballprospectus.com staff: sabr.org/analytics/ce...

We Found More Than 40 Cases of Immigration Agents Using Banned Chokeholds and Other Moves That Can Cut Off Breathing Civilians have had apparent seizures. One had his eyes roll back. Another had ribs broken. “I felt like I was going to pass out and die,” said a 16-year-old citizen put in a chokehold. The government ...

NEW: Civilians have had apparent seizures. One had his eyes roll back. Another had ribs broken.

“I felt like I was going to pass out and die,” said a 16-year-old citizen put in a chokehold.

The government won’t say if any agents have been punished.

Today on All Of It: Amanda Holden on 'How to Be a Rich Old Lady'💰; Karolina Wydra on the sci-fi drama #Pluribus; director Kaouther Ben Hania on 'The Voice of Hind Rajab'; plus
@benlindbergh.bsky.social & @robarthur.bsky.social on why TV seasons now take so long.

At Noon on @wnyc.org!

If the DEA had killed 80 innocent Americans in the course of apprehending one drug dealer, there would be riots. But we are so ghoulishly indifferent to the lives and humanity of people abroad that it's barely even part of the conversation.

WAM had @robarthur.bsky.social run a report for us that found that fielders in stadiums with closed roofs were, on average, positioned a foot closer to where fly balls landed than in outdoor venues. Theoretically, you could use WAM's data to position your fielders better and save a few runs a year.

"Individual liberty" is when conservatives decide everything. Their concept of liberty is just domination, not freedom to do what they want, but freedom to force everyone else to do what they want. bsky.app/profile/donm...

whenever I see this topic, I think back to @robarthur.bsky.social's two-parter from 2021 on fielding and how much better it had gotten. First part covered how defenders were playing deeper, removing a bunch of hits thanks to better athleticism and throwing ability in particular:

"My mentor always tells me, 'Kim, dogs don’t bark at parked cars." They’re coming after critical race theory, 1619, intersectionality because these ideas mobilized people. They gave them the language to actually articulate what they were seeing with their own eyes," says Kimberlé Crenshaw.

Every Democrat in Congress should put out a video saying troops have an obligation to refuse unlawful orders. Make them prosecute all of you. This isn't a close call.

I'd add Republicans too if I thought any of them had the courage to actually cross Trump on this.

ICE Sent 600 Immigrant Kids to Detention in Federal Shelters This Year. It’s a New Record. Under a zero tolerance policy, the first Trump administration separated immigrant children from their families at the U.S.-Mexico border. New data suggests separations are happening all over the count...

BREAKING: Trump is again separating kids from families

The govt isn't releasing info, but we found ICE has sent record # of kids to shelters.

One family went to govt office , only to have parents detained while the children—aged 5, 11 and 1--went to shelters

www.propublica.org/article/ice-...

There's an actual truth out there and it's not particularly hard to find--vaccines are safe and effective. And it matters that the truth be represented as the truth and not just someone's opinion.