Hormuz: The Global Tripwire
How a Hormuz Disruption Could Reshape Global Markets and Recast the Conflict in Ukraine
Beefy ties the Iran conflict back to the illegal war in Ukraine, analysing the geopolitical impacts that will affect Russia and China too.
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Oil Price and Strategic Disruption
The Uneven Revenue Consequences of OPEC+ Production Increases - a dummies guide.
A free thread from Beefy - please share and support his work if you can!
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Enough said.
02.03.2026 09:00 — 👍 28 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
Iranian Russian Alliance - which has ultimately amounted to a ghost relationship painted in propaganda, failed Putin promises of support in adversity, and myth - only ever good for Russia’s insatiable need for Iranian drones and illicit trade.
Published a year ago
open.substack.com/pub/beefeate...
£55.76 raised of £570 goal on @buymeacoffee!
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Penalties are provided for violations: 10–15 thousand rubles for the first offense and 30 thousand rubles for a repeat offense. If the law is adopted, people will have to explain why their face is covered, for example, with a mask or a scarf.
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Since February 28, when the US and Israel began a military operation against Iran, 23,000 flights from or to Middle Eastern countries have been canceled, Bloomberg reports, citing calculations from the analytics company Cirium.
This corresponds to 4.4 million airplane seats.
This keeps the attention off Trump’s exposure as a pedophile, protecting pedophiles by removing evidence from the €pstein files, and keeps attention away from the failed right wing social media presenter-cum-minister-of war and incompetent alcoholic Hegseth.
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However, Trump and Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth previously stated that the United States has practically "infinite" ammunition reserves and is ready to continue the operation as long as necessary to achieve victory.
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According to the agency, some officials of the US Department of War are questioning the strategy of the operation amid growing concerns about the depletion of already limited supplies of key ammunition and uncertainty about the ultimate goals of the campaign.
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Very few in the Pentagon understands what Washington's goals are in the military operation against Iran called "Epic Rage", reports Bloomberg, citing informed sources.
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20,000 sailors are literally blocked on ships due to the stoppage of traffic in the Strait of Hormuz — UN. The traffic there was stopped by the forces of the Iranian IRGC.
The Strait of Hormuz is the only exit for oil exports from the region. Through it, 15–20% of the world's oil passes.
Many bought tickets through aggregators in rubles, which makes it difficult to rebook them. Some tourists are already purchasing new tickets from other airlines - the prices for economy class exceed 200,000 rubles.
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At first, passengers were accommodated in a Bangkok hotel for two nights, but then the airline stopped providing assistance. It's impossible to contact the carrier, and the office in Thailand is closed.
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Russians are stuck in Thailand due to the war in the Middle East. Etihad flights with a stopover in Abu Dhabi have been canceled until March 6, so tourists have been unable to return home for five days.
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These are prostitute relationships. Therefore, one uses the services of prostitutes, the other is a prostitute," stated Milonov. “
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"These “women creatures” communicate with men who prefer to throw money at women instead of love, you understand? And use them for money.
Apparently, these are relationships within the framework of certain contractual mutual obligations, which have nothing to do with the soviet family.
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International Women's Day fruitlessly symbolises the struggle for equality and “respect” for women, which is not a Russian value. it is often associated with the tradition of giving gifts and showing too much attention to the species, which distorts its meaning, said Deputy Milonov.
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Milonov the misogynist - making men great again in the Russian Duma.
“Only prostitutes expect expensive gifts on March 8, it was stated in the State Duma.
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A Marine was forcibly ejected from the US Congress. The American opposed the war with Iran and stated that no one wants to fight for Israel.
05.03.2026 11:09 — 👍 33 🔁 6 💬 2 📌 1
An Iranian drone attacked Azerbaijan.
Pandora’s box in the Middle East and South America has opened.
Nobel needs to create a War prize.
Passengers of the Dubai–Antalya–Krasnodar flight said that they first landed in #NATO country Turkey for refueling, and then headed to Mineralnye Vody, as Krasnodar was closed.
Later, passengers were taken to Krasnodar by buses.
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A plane with Russians who left Dubai due to rockets was unable to land in Krasnodar because of drones. The flight circled over the sea for more than an hour and eventually landed in Nalchik.
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Such a formulation is contained in the report of the 4th session of the National People's Congress of the 14th convocation, Reuters reports. China also intends to significantly increase its defense spending.”
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At the CCP Congress it is now being reported:
“A war between China and Taiwan could start in the wake of the Iranian one. China has officially pledged to deliver "decisive strikes against separatists" in Taiwan.
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it’s holding of over one million ethnic #Uyghurs in concentration camps, it’s secret police stations at embassies around the world, it’s system of disappearances for Chinese dissenters, and it’s failing economy with persistent property and economy woes.
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China is delighted the US is depleting their weapons and reserves with its forever wars and wag the dog by Trump. This takes the world’s attention off China’s 16000 strong fishing fleet raping the worlds oceans, it’s oppression of #Tibet
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As a result of the attack, there are casualties among the crew members. They were evacuated and are receiving the necessary assistance.
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On the evening of March 4, a civilian ship under the Panamanian flag was attacked by a Russian drone while exiting the port of Chornomorsk, according to the Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority.
The ship was transporting corn through the Ukrainian maritime corridor.
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As a result of the Russian strike, a civilian ship in the Black Sea area was damaged, and there are casualties among the crew members
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