Dave Kasten

Love how far out of the way outlets go to avoid mentioning AI extinction risk (which Bernie is very worried about).

It's like your sibling saying "Mom might lose her job" while leaving out that she's waiting on a terminal diagnosis!

i think wider ai discourse would be wildly different if everyone actually understood that Claude and ChatGPT are “eldritch creations via petajoules of stochastic optimizations” rather than “chat bot programmed by a san francisco tech company’s engineers”

why are so many of you taking a really bad and dumb piece on maven as gospel

there's a million reasons why the US unintentionally hit a school (also entirely possible it was the IDF), "the AI had bad data and whoopsie we just took its outputs as gospel straight into the JIPTL" ain't one

I'm pretty sure that Claude currently isn't conscious, but yeah, I am worried about this for the future. And have been on the record about that for a while.

But if you see people as hypocrites, perhaps don't push them to resolve their hypocrisy in the direction of, "oh, I guess slavery's ok, then"

Excuse you, onion farmers and movie producers alike stand unhedged thanks to the iron grip of the Onion Futures Act

specialists of any kind have mostly been hedged out of media and decisionmaking! this means major crises hit our system suddenly and we basically burn in our seats

I am going to create a source of truth that is so single

every project manager

I don't know how to explain this but Casablanca is a movie for adults.

There are lots of movies built on an element of fantasy about being young or brave or defying the odds.

Casablanca is not that. Everyone in that movie has back pain and they have all just accepted it.

Event organizer / investigative journalist seems to be telling a former Google L7 SWE that AI can't write code.

I feel like David Graeber really captured something about lefty academia because the concept of “bullshit job” is very resonant and has a lot of intuitive appeal but his exploration of it is totally hamstrung by the fact that he’s never left campus and is very vague on the mechanics of actual work

It's definitely a bit of a trip when like staff engineers and research compiler engineers I know irl are using Claude or whatever but no, middling enterprise devs and undergrad CS students will be our zealous defenders of artisanal code quality

it is really funny watching actual, literal knownothings confidently tell people who I know are very competent developers *at minimum* that LLM code is "low quality"

who's more likely to know that?

For years on my old blog I published the names of servicemembers who died in Iraq & Afghanistan. No other outlets were.

These are the first 4 Americans to die in the Iran War.
Capt. Cody A. Khork, 35
Sgt. 1st Class Noah L. Tietjens, 42
Sgt. 1st Class Nicole M. Amor, 39
Sgt. Declan J. Coady, 20

YouTube video by Senator Bernie Sanders AI Expert Tells Bernie: “The Humans will be Discarded”

Will AI become smarter than humans?

If so, is humanity in danger?

I went to Silicon Valley to ask some of the leading AI experts that question.

Here’s what they had to say:

we have reached levels of inability to infer the ball's trajectory never before thought possible

Jesse is not only a great and brilliant dude, but a Big Damn Hero from his past work as one of the leaders of VaccinateCA. Can't wait to see what he does with this.

“how do you know it’s right?” I don’t know, you see Opus work through logic of low-medium complexity with 100% reliability for three months and eventually you start relying on its capability there and save your critical evaluation for more important things

> This task *must* be done exactly perfectly every time; any deviation or nondeterminism whatsoever is immediately disqualifying

< Wow, so any two people in your field would always reach the exact same result?

> Of course not, there's a huge amount of judgement required and we frequently disagree

worse than that, this denial leads to extremely wrong predictions about what is going to happen over the next year (it’s going away any time guys!), and getting those predictions roughly right is very important for people’s careers and their professions’ ability to cope and adapt

anthropic's current run rate beats openai's 2025 whole year rate. openai has of course grown too, but it seems clear that anthropic can definitely catch them here if they have not already.

Ex-NSA leader, OpenAI board member calls out Anthropic-Pentagon fight "This is not a good space for our nation," Gen. Paul Nakasone said at a conference in the Bay Area.

Gen. Nakasone, former head of the NSA & an OpenAI board member, called out the Pentagon's move to designate Anthropic as a "supply chain risk" at a conference in Sausalito last night.

"This is not a good space for our nation."

more @axios.com:
www.axios.com/2026/03/03/n...

sure feels like the amount of news one is expected to keep up with is growing geometrically

When I am President I will order every frontier AI company to subtly lace all responses to venture capitalists with basic concepts from political science and philosophy, or be designated a supply chain risk. Vote Patel

the compresence of both hype and substance is very tough for people who learned their intuitions from the NFT boom

This strikes at a core principle of the American republic, one that has traditionally been especially dear to conservatives: private property. Suppose, for example, that the military approached Google and said “we would like to purchase individualized worldwide Google search data to do with whatever we want, and if you object, we will designate you a supply chain risk.” I don’t think they are going to do that, but there is no difference in principle between this and the message DoW is sending. There is no such thing as private property. If we need to use it for national security, we simply will. The government won’t quite “steal” it from you—they’ll compensate you—but you cannot set the terms, and you cannot simply exit from the transaction, lest you be deemed a “supply chain risk,” not to mention have the other litany of policy obstacles the government can throw at you.

Good point from Dean Ball on Pentagon/Anthropic and why the real stakes go even further than AI www.hyperdimensional.co/p/clawed

you can also do puritan names like Diligence and Discipline.

wait. wait

Benevolence Diligence Love-Thy-Neighbor

an llm is, among other things, an advanced nominative determinism machine. you notice only anthropic gave their llm a human name? this is a major part of how they think about the technology. leaning into every one of these oddities is a big part of their success

Becoming the galactic hegemon by just giving the best scritches to every alien we come across

also the basic capability only came up in the past 3-9 months. before that, the models and harnesses weren't good enough. that this point of view was not anticipated I think is a consequence of the hype-obsessed critique that leads everyone astray

I tried to explain that I was only telling them how I came to the point of view I had out of long experience, and that the lesson I took away was humility about the future. this is considered condescending, dismissive, and arrogant