2025 NFL Draft Grades: A New Approach
Incorporating draft capital into my model and how that changes player projections
Wrote about how I incorporated NFL Draft capital into my draft model to produce draft grades rather than just comparing my pre-draft rankings to every pick
shakedownthenumbers.substack.com/p/2025-nfl-d...
02.05.2025 13:57 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Go Irish!
Riley Leonard joins a QB room with similar players to him in Indianapolis
Don't understand ESPN's comment on him not forcing a lot of missed tackles, for his career had a missed tackle forced rate of 25.2%, that's in the 91st percentile among QBs in my NFL Draft data
26.04.2025 20:27 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Go Irish!
Mitchell Evans heads to Carolina
Seemed clear he was still coming on last year following the ACL injury, thought he was much more dynamic in 2023
A good comp in there in Cole Kmet if he can get back to his old form
26.04.2025 19:09 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Go Irish!
Rylie Mills is headed to Seattle
26.04.2025 18:12 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Go Irish!
Jack Kiser is headed to Jacksonville
My model is lower on him due to athleticism, but he was a highly productive player and I wouldn't be surprised if that continues in the NFL
26.04.2025 16:28 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Go Irish!
Xavier Watts was my model's 4th-rated safety
26.04.2025 03:03 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
At this point the whole league must know something about Shedeur that we don't
26.04.2025 02:59 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 66th pick, the Chiefs selected Ashton Gillotte
I ranked him as EDGE17 and 92nd overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
34. David Walker
46. Landon Jackson
78. Jack Sawyer
#NFLDraft #ChiefsKingdom
26.04.2025 01:35 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 65th pick, the Giants selected Darius Alexander
I ranked him as DT7 and 63rd overall
Top remaining DTs
66. Deone Walker
75. Jordan Phillips
113. CJ West
#NFLDraft #NYGiants
26.04.2025 01:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the pick, the Eagles selected Andrew Mukuba
I ranked him as S7 and 123rd overall
Top remaining S
58. Kevin Winston Jr.
93. Xavier Watts
109. Billy Bowman Jr.
#NFLDraft #FlyEaglesFly
26.04.2025 01:28 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 63rd pick, the Chiefs selected Omarr Norman-Lott
I ranked him as DT11 and 96th overall
Top remaining DT
63. Darius Alexander
66. Deone Walker
75. Jordan Phillips
#NFLDraft #ChiefsKingdom
26.04.2025 01:25 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 62nd pick, the Bears selected Shemar Turner
I ranked him as DT12 and 103rd overall
Top remaining DT
63. Darius Alexander
66. Deone Walker
75. Jordan Phillips
#NFLDraft #DaBears
26.04.2025 01:22 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 61st pick, the Commanders selected Trey Amos
I ranked him as CB5 and 60th overall
Top remaining CBs
70. Shavon Revel Jr.
85. Jacob Parrish
88. Darien Porter
#NFLDraft #RaiseHail
26.04.2025 01:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 60th pick, the Broncos selected RJ Harvey
I ranked him as RB9 and 121st overall
Top remaining RBs
97. Kaleb Johnson
105. Cam Skattebo
106th Dylan Sampson
#NFLDraft #BroncosCountry
26.04.2025 01:14 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
With the 59th pick, the Ravens selected Mike Green
I ranked him as EDGE3 and 10th overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
34. David Walker
46. Landon Jackson
78. Jack Sawyer
#NFLDraft #RavensFlock
26.04.2025 01:11 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 58th pick, the Raiders selected Jack Bech
I ranked him as WR9 and 35th overall
Top remaining WRs
20. Jaylin Noel
41. Jalen Royals
50. Kyle Williams
#NFLDraft #RaiderNation
26.04.2025 01:01 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 57th pick, the Lions selected Tate Ratledge
I ranked him as IOL1 and 28th overall
Top remaining IOL
32. Jared Wilson
47. Marcus Mbow
54. Wyatt Milum
#NFLDraft #OnePride
26.04.2025 00:59 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 56th pick, the Bears selected Ozzy Trapilo
I ranked him as OT11 and 95th overall
Top remaining OTs
42. Logan Brown
62. Charles Grant
68. Cameron Williams
#NFLDraft #DaBears
26.04.2025 00:55 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 55th pick, the Chargers selected Tre Harris
I ranked him as WR7 and 21st overall
Top remaining WRs
20. Jaylin Noel
35. Jack Bech
41. Jalen Royals
#NFLDraft #BoltUp
26.04.2025 00:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 54th pick, the Packers selected Anthony Belton
I ranked him as OT16 and 113rd overall
Top remaining OTs
42. Logan Brown
62. Charles Grant
68. Cameron Williams
#NFLDraft #GoPackGo
26.04.2025 00:45 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
GO IRISH
With the 53rd pick, the Buccaneers selected Benjamin Morrison
I ranked him as CB1 and 38th overall
Top remaining CBs
60. Trey Amos
70. Shavon Revel Jr.
85. Jacob Parrish
#NFLDraft #WeAreTheKrewe
26.04.2025 00:43 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 52nd pick, the Titans selected Oluwafemi Oladejo
I ranked him as EDGE15 and 81st overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
10. Mike Green
34. David Walker
46. Landon Jackson
#NFLDraft #TitanUp
26.04.2025 00:38 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 51st pick, the Panthers selected Nic Scourton
I ranked him as EDGE6 and 17th overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
10. Mike Green
34. David Walker
46. Landon Jackson
#NFLDraft #KeepPounding
26.04.2025 00:36 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 50th pick, the Panthers selected Elijah Arroyo
I ranked him as TE4 and 74th overall
Top remaining TEs
43. Harold Fannin Jr.
136. Oronde Gadsden II
174. Brant Kuithe
#NFLDraft #Seahawks
26.04.2025 00:34 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 49th pick, the Bengals selected Demetrius Knight Jr.
I ranked him as LB3 and 73rd overall
Top remaining LBs
90. Danny Stutsman
111. Smael Mondon Jr.
115. Barrett Carter
#NFLDraft #WhoDey
26.04.2025 00:32 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 48th pick, the Texans selected Aireontae Ersery
I ranked him as OT4 and 30th overall
Top remaining OTs
42. Logan Brown
62. Charles Grant
68. Cameron Williams
#NFLDraft #HTownMade
26.04.2025 00:26 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 47th pick, the Cardinals selected
I ranked him as CB3 and 43rd overall
Top remaining CBs
38. Benjamin Morrison
60. Trey Amos
70. Shavon Revel Jr.
#NFLDraft #BirdGang
26.04.2025 00:18 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 46th pick, the Rams selected Terrance Ferguson
I ranked him as TE8 and 175th overall
Top remaining TEs
43. Harold Fannin Jr.
74. Elijah Arroyo
136. Oronde Gadsden II
#NFLDraft #RamsHouse
26.04.2025 00:16 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 45th pick, the Cowboys selected JT Tuimoloau
I ranked him as EDGE9 and 29th overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
10. Mike Green
17. Nic Scourton
34. David Walker
#NFLDraft #ForTheShoe
26.04.2025 00:09 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
With the 44th pick, the Cowboys selected Donovan Ezeiruaku
I ranked him as EDGE4 and 14th overall
Top remaining EDGE rushers
10. Mike Green
17. Nic Scourton
29. JT Tuimoloau
#NFLDraft #DallasCowboys
26.04.2025 00:06 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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