the #1 fantasy analyst in the game is going LIVE
RIGHT NOW
a Q & A open to every subscriber
ask ANYTHING you want about your draft
LIVE from 1-2pm ET:
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@sharpfootball.bsky.social
Inventing custom, predictive NFL analytics & visualized data at http://SharpFootballAnalysis.com
the #1 fantasy analyst in the game is going LIVE
RIGHT NOW
a Q & A open to every subscriber
ask ANYTHING you want about your draft
LIVE from 1-2pm ET:
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/fant...
Joe Burrow ranks among 49 preseason QBs:
#1 in TD/att
#2 in success rate
#5 in EPA/att
#5 in first down rate
#6 in completion rate
(min 20 preseason att)
full "Keys to Victory" show
- NEW Home Field Advantage data π
- Dolphins short yardage struggles
- Importance of Sack Avoidance (Best & Worst)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ate0...
ranking top-10 QBs in each critical trait:
1. Arm
2. Accuracy
3. Mechanics
4. Decision Making
5. Pocket Presence
6. Rushing Upside
7. Second Reaction
via @danorlovsky7
the Vikings dodged a massive bullet
youtu.be/qJBoPvSKcSY
Brian Callahan on Xavier Restrepo:
something about him that you canβt necessarily measure
really, really intelligent
has a knack for finding space & getting open
the ball tends to find him
just a good football player
gonna battle like crazy to try to find a way on our team
Since 2000, this is the list of QBs to lead their teams to back to back 9+ win seasons to start their careers:
Ben Roethlisberger 2004-05
Matt Ryan 2008-09
Joe Flacco 2008-09
Andy Dalton 2011-12
Andrew Luck 2012-13
Russell Wilson 2012-13
Dak Prescott 2016-17
C.J. Stroud 2023-24
only 8 QBs
previewing the 2025 Commanders full season in 4 minutes:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-slP...
offenses tried to combat defensive adjustments by using the ground game in 2024
last year 36% of all yardage gained was via rushing
#2 highest since 2008
RBs averaged 3.02 yards after contact per rush
#1 highest since 2006
more on leaguewide trends
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/nfl-...
Top-10 Quarterbacks for 2025
(according to NFL Execs, Coaches & Scouts via ESPN)
2024 Patriots offensive line:
#31 in pass block win rate
#31 in pass block grade
#31 pressure rate
#30 in blitzes that recorded pressure
2025 Patriots added a new C, both Ts & OC:
RT Morgan Moses
C Garrett Bradbury
LT Will Campbell
OC Josh McDaniels
opponent fumbles recovered by team's defense
16 - BUF, PIT
15
14 - GB
13 - CHI, PHI
12
11 - TB
10 - WAS, HOU, DEN, NYG, NYJ, CIN
9 - IND, DAL, MIN
8 - CLE, ARI, DET, CAR
7 - KC, LAR, TEN
6 - SF, ATL, LAC, MIA
5 - BAL, SEA, NE
4
3 - NO, JAX, LV
*2024 regular season
every RB in the NFL
ranked, organized & grouped based on one factor & one factor only:
which RBs will be the most productive in 2025?
predictions & detailed analysis β¬οΈ β¬οΈ β¬οΈ
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/runn...
George Kittle is insane
a YAC demon & not slowing down
his YAC/rec rank among TEs:
2024: #2, age 31 (6.7)
2023: #1, age 30 (7.4)
2022: #2, age 29 (6.4)
2021: #3, age 28 (6.3)
2020: #1, age 27 (6.2)
2019: #2, age 26 (7.1)
2018: #1, age 25 (9.9)
2017: #2, age 24 (6.3)*
*rookie
Josh Allen is the only QB to throw touchdowns on at least 5% of his passes for 5 straight seasons
he also leads the NFL in total touchdowns scored over those 5 years:
165 passing TDs
48 rushing TDs
2 receiving TDs
2025 NFL Quarterback Tiers
based on expected performance in 2025
now, let's dive into all 38 QBs one-by-one:
5 worst RB-rushing offenses inside the 5-yard line:
32. Giants, -1.02 EPA/rush
31. 49ers, -0.46
30. Vikings, -0.44
29. Raiders, -0.30
28. Texans, -0.13
*2024 regular season
Top-10 Running Backs for 2025
(according to NFL Execs, Coaches & Scouts via ESPN)
hope you're enjoying your first weekend with the 2025 Football Preview
32 team chapters over 586 full color pages
the FASTEST way to get SMART for the 2025 season
more: bit.ly/new-2025-book
early bird sale for only a few more days!
get your copy now
NFL will EXPLODE in July:
1st: 2025 Football Preview publishes
12th: first rookies report to training camp
16th: first vets report to training camp
23rd: 100% of players are at training camp
31st: first preseason game DET/LAC @ 8pm!
welcome - we made it - hope you're ready!
Justin Fields has led his teams to an 0-22 record when opponents score at least 21 points
NFL teams score 22.4 points/game the last 4 years
Fields is the only QB winless the last 4 years with at least 10 starts made
TOMORROW IS THE DAY!
my advice? start thinking of a good excuse to miss work tomorrow
plant seeds & prepare your boss
maybe you can only get a half day off, figure it out
the final page count for the 2025 Football Preview:
585 pages
it drops tomorrow, get ready!!!
π¨ EXCITED TO SHARE THIS NEWS!
clear your calendar: TUESDAY JULY 1
my 2025 Football Preview Book DROPS!!
after months of sleepless nights we are almost done
32 team chapters & 550+ pages
be ready - 7/1 - you're going to love it!
completions of 25+ air yards:
22 - GB
21
20 - PIT, MIN
29
18 - IND
17 - LAC, CIN
16
15
14
13 - TEN, PHI
12 - BUF, SEA, DEN, LV, CAR
11 - BAL, WAS, NO, SF, JAX, HOU, DAL, NE, NYJ
10 - TB, CHI
9 - ATL,NYG
8 - LAR,DET
7 - CLE
6 - KC
5 - ARI, MIA
*2024 regular season
AFC North standings by year
look at the far left (winners) and the far right (losers)
then go hug a Browns fan
taunting penalties the last 5 years by position:
38 - WR
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13 - S
12 - CB
11
10 - LB
9
8
7 - EDGE
6 - DB
5 - RB
4 - TE, QB
3
2 - G
1 - T, NT
the Browns were hilarious last year
24.06.2025 14:45 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0this is REALLY hard to do, sounds almost impossible
but...
on the Steelers *own* opening drives of games last year, their opponents scored more TDs than the Steelers did
read that again
0 TDs scored = Steelers offense (17 games)
1 TD allowed = Steelers QB threw a pick-6
yikes
this heat is brutal so now is the time:
stay inside & prep for the NFL season!
my 500+ page, 32-chapter 2025 Football Preview Book drops soon
24 hours only use code: HEATWAVE to save $5 off early bird
LINK: www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp...
the FASTEST way to get SMART this season
30.8% of Patrick Mahomes pass attempts targeted players at or behind the line of scrimmage last year
#1 highest rate for any QB in a season since at least 2005
*min 400 attempts