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Hasim

@hasimtekines.bsky.social

Political analyst @institude Former Diplomat MA @Leiden University @koc Univeristy Law School

165 Followers  |  94 Following  |  25 Posts  |  Joined: 02.02.2024  |  2.2269

Latest posts by hasimtekines.bsky.social on Bluesky


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Can Europe Trust Turkey in Its Defense Plans? When the idea of a European army resurfaces, Turkey often emerges as a potential partner. Its strategic location and military capabilities make it an attractive ally. Turkey’s democratic shortcomings ...

I think Turkey can contribute to European defense, but such a partnership will cost to Europe as well as to Turkey. The question is whether they are aware of what they are signing for.

My new article: www.institude.org/opinion/can-...

13.03.2025 19:11 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Populists and diplomats: Negotiated agency of the Turkish ministry of foreign affairs The two-decade-long Turkish experience shows that the populism-diplomacy relationship, contrary to the common wisdom, does not have to be hostile. The existing literature characterize often this re...

Finally out! My article, 'Populists and diplomats: Negotiated agency of the Turkish ministry of foreign affairs' is published at @Medit_Politics

I am so grateful to all who read, reviewed, and commented the manuscript patiently. Thank you!

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

30.01.2025 11:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections Opposing authoritarian leaders is a formidable challenge, as they wield state resources to suppress dissent. Over two decades, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has methodically dismantled democratic institutions and consolidated authoritarian power. His power is unrivaled, yet not unchallenged.

I wrote The Poverty of Turkish Opposition and Its Obsession with Elections

The future of the opposition—and Turkey’s democracy—depends not on the ballot box, opinion polls, the economy, or natural disasters, but on their willingness to confront Erdoğan. www.institude.org/analysis/the...

29.01.2025 15:02 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi? Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?

Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:

'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...

22.12.2024 11:35 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad The fall of the Assad regime marks a critical juncture in regional geopolitics, fundamentally altering the dynamics between Turkey and Israel. Historically, their relationship has oscillated between p...

I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel

So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...

20.12.2024 13:50 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi? Büyükelçi Geçici Maslahatgüzarı Burhan Köroğlu açıkladı: Erdoğan Şam’a gidecek mi?

Turkish chargé d'affaires to Damascus:

'We will have a relationship with Syria similar to that of the Ottoman period' t24.com.tr/haber/buyuke...

22.12.2024 11:35 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Shifting Geopolitics of Turkey-Israel Relations After Assad The fall of the Assad regime marks a critical juncture in regional geopolitics, fundamentally altering the dynamics between Turkey and Israel. Historically, their relationship has oscillated between p...

I wrote the changing geopolitical dynamics between Turkey and Israel

So far, the conflict between Ankara and Tel Aviv was ideological while the geopolitics was pulling both countries to a silent harmony against the 'resistance axis', but now it changes. www.institude.org/opinion/shif...

20.12.2024 13:50 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

No mention of its genuine democracy

19.12.2024 20:23 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

1️⃣ Türkiye-Katar ekseni.
2️⃣ Mısır, Suudi Arabistan, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ve Bahreyn ekseni.
3️⃣ ABD-İsrail ekseni.
4️⃣ Şimdilik denklemin dışında kalmış gibi görünen Rusya ve İran.

Birinci Dünya Savaşı öncesinde kurulan Sykes-Picot düzeni ciddi şekilde revize ediliyor.

18.12.2024 20:06 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

+ Türkiye ve erdoğana yönelik övgüleri bunun işareti. Bunlar samimi hayranlık değil tabi ki, kendine özgü pazarlık stratejisi.

Ancak Ankaradaki zafer havasına nazaran suriye meselesi trumpın dünyasında çok önemli bir yere sahip değil. ... şimdilik!

16.12.2024 23:02 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

+ ancak bu konuda askerlerden ya da kendi ekibinden direnç olduğundan kararını henüz vermediği şeklinde yorumladım.

Yine de her iki ihtimalde de suriye dosyasını kafasında Türkiyeye vermiş ve burada ortaya çıkabilecek herhangi bir meseleyi erdoğan üzerinden çözme niyetinde +

16.12.2024 23:02 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

Trump'ın açıklamalarından benim anladıklarım şunlar:

Birincisi genel olarak suriyeye dair çok bir ilgisi planı politikası yok.

İkincisi, Suriyedeki en önemli meselesi oradaki amerikan askerleri. Konuşmasından Trumpın hala askerleri çekme taraftarı olduğunu, +

16.12.2024 23:02 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0

Turkish foreign policy is at its peak this month:

-Assad's gone and Turkey-backed groups are politically strong,

-Blinken, who previously ignored Turkey at the Israel-Gaza war, is now in Ankara to discuss Syria,

-Ethiopia and Somalia have reached a landmark agreement through Turkish mediation.

12.12.2024 19:27 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

This remains a super prescient book on AKP-led Turkey’s continued efforts to position itself as mediator. Despite lots of failures (Iran, Syria, Palestine), Erdoğan continues, pushing Turkey’s geopolitics and multifaceted identity.

Why? Because a mediator role means you get to leverage both sides.

12.12.2024 03:34 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Erdogan’s Heir Apparent Isn’t a Problem Turkey’s minister of defense is a staunch nationalist—but that doesn’t mean he’s anti-Western.

It reminds me Halil Karaveli's article. It costed dearly for hulusi akar :) foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/05/h...

12.12.2024 16:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Turkey’s intelligence chief, İbrahim Kalın, visited the Umayyad Mosque to pray. This symbolically means a lot for the AKP to show their "diplomatic victory" in Syria.

While challenges remain in Syria, it will be used a lot by Erdoğan to divert attention from the country’s economic problems.

12.12.2024 15:09 — 👍 11    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0

A policy that has caused so much pain for so long cannot be called genius or wise, regardless of the outcome... Still Erdogan seems ready to embark on his victory lap in Syria.

07.12.2024 18:06 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Let's set the record straight: Turkey may have outlasted Assad and positioned itself on the winning side for now, but this war was neither heroic nor a stroke of genius. It has devastated millions of lives, torn apart families, and inflicted unimaginable suffering.

07.12.2024 18:06 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Erdoğan yine sağa sinyal verip sola döndü.

Suriye'de ABD'nin desteklediği YPG'ye karşı askerî harekattan bahsederken birdenbire Türkiye kontrolündeki güçler Rusya ve İran'ın desteklediği Esad'a karşı saldırıya geçti.

Bunu nasıl anlamak gerekir?

www.youtube.com/live/aDGNqwE...

30.11.2024 11:05 — 👍 15    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 0
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Erdoğan'a İsrail protestosu: "Azerbaycan petrolü neden İsrail'e gidiyor?" - Tr724 AKP’li Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, İstanbul Kongre Merkezi’nde düzenlenen TRT World Forum’da konuştu. Gündemdeki konuları değerlendiren Erdoğan, konuşmasında, İsrail ve Filistin konusuna da ye...

A new Islamist opposition against Erdogan is loading. Islamists is just a part of his power coalition but it is the core group. They would be the last ones to leave Erdogan. Yet, oil trade with Israel is a dealbreaker www.tr724.com/erdogana-isr...

29.11.2024 17:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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This is from fidan's meeting with syrian opposition in august

29.11.2024 17:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Introduction: Reorienting the Gulf What constitutes the “Gulf” has been a subject of scholarly interest and critical disagreement. What shapes studies about and within the Gulf? Knowledge production concerning the Gulf has long endu...

1/ 📢 Introducing a new Special Issue in the Journal of Arabian Studies: "Reorienting the Gulf" 🌍. "What shapes Gulf studies? Edited by myself, @charlottelysa.bsky.social
and Fatema Hubail tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

29.11.2024 07:59 — 👍 35    🔁 10    💬 3    📌 2
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Turkish-American Relations in the Biden Era: A Pragmatic Stability The Biden administration marked in a period of relative stability for Turkish-American relations, despite limited personal engagement between President Biden and Turkish President Erdoğan. While the a...

Biden era was not that bad for the Turkish-American relations.

My new analysis: www.institude.org/opinion/turk...

28.11.2024 12:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Lübnan’da Ateşkes: Barış mı, Yeni Bir Savaş mı?
YouTube video by instituDE Lübnan’da Ateşkes: Barış mı, Yeni Bir Savaş mı?

Lübnan’da sağlanan ateşkes İsrail’e ne kazandıracak?

youtu.be/vNa6qUdFMNA?...

27.11.2024 21:56 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Sine i millete dönüyorum :)

27.11.2024 17:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Türkiye aynı zamanda Rusya’nın hava saldırısıyla 36 askerini şehit ettiği tek NATO ülkesi…

O yetmezmiş gibi, 36 askerimiz şehit edildikten sadece on gün sonra Erdoğan Moskova’ya gitti

+++

25.11.2024 07:56 — 👍 24    🔁 11    💬 2    📌 1
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Putin Ukrayna'da orta menzilli balistik füze kullanmadan önce ABD'ye haber vermiş.

Bunu niye yapmış? Çünkü Batı'nın nükleer silah kullandığını zannedip hemen karşılık vermesi gibi vahim bir yanlış anlamayı önlemek istemiş. +++

23.11.2024 13:33 — 👍 29    🔁 13    💬 3    📌 0
Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, Brezilya dönüşü uçakta gazetecilerin sorularını yanıtladı Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Cumhurbaşkanlığı İletişim Başkanlığı Resmî Sitesi

Despite the #Trump administration's cabinet being seen as unfriendly toward Turkey, #Erdogan still remains optimistic about Trump and his policies. He expects Trump to prioritize ending ongoing wars and refrains from dwelling on the individuals in the cabinet.
www.iletisim.gov.tr/turkce/haber...

20.11.2024 17:31 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

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