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Tim Dowse

@timdowse.bsky.social

Consultant, after 40 years with FCO, Cabinet Office, HM Treasury. Specialties: national security, defence, geopolitical analysis.

681 Followers  |  483 Following  |  1,107 Posts  |  Joined: 03.11.2023  |  2.2522

Latest posts by timdowse.bsky.social on Bluesky

I'm reminded that I got this wrong: the cost-sharing agreement related to BBC Monitoring, not the World Service. Similar issues though.

07.10.2025 10:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The arguments over World Service funding have gone on for a quarter of a century at least. There used to be an interdepartmental cost-sharing arrangement that broke down around the year 2000 when the MOD pulled out. The BBC themselves have always refused to consider taking advertising.

04.10.2025 20:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

It led to endless grief with foreign governments who regularly objected to BBC reports about them and couldn't believe HMG funded a service over which it had no editorial control.

04.10.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I was wrong - it turns out to be available online (for free).

02.10.2025 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

OK, thanks. That looks like a challenge to track down!

02.10.2025 15:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Strongly agree about Descent to Suez - a very good (and depressing) read. I haven't read Eveland.

01.10.2025 20:23 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I recently looked at Scott Lucas’ collection of documents β€œBritain and Suez: The Lion’s Last Roar”. I like the way he uses US papers as well as British ones.

Is there a good account from official records of the French side of the story? I’m not aware of one.

01.10.2025 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I’ve not read that one, for precisely that reason!

For a straight military history there is an old Ian Allan volume by Robert Jackson, available on eBay. I guess it may be overtaken these days.

01.10.2025 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Keith Kyle’s magnum opus β€œSuez” is another. If you want something more specialised, I found β€œWhitehall and the Suez Crisis” (Routledge, 2000) interesting. It’s a ridiculous price new, but used copies seem readily available.

Also Scott Lucas’ β€œDivided We Stand”, focusing on UK/US aspects.

01.10.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly.

01.10.2025 12:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Interested to see how SCOTUS handles the legal challenge to that, if it is carried through as stated.

30.09.2025 21:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Who is all this aimed at? The TV audience? It can't be the generals and admirals in the hall, who didn't attain high rank without being able to tell fact from fiction.

30.09.2025 14:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If this means what it appears to mean, it feels like the most consequential thing he's said.

30.09.2025 13:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Odd how, according to Russia, civilian casualties in Ukraine are all caused by air defences, but the same is never true in Russia.

Ukrainian attacks are clearly directed overwhelmingly at economic and military targets.

29.09.2025 09:46 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, he was very well-known. But it’s a bit odd to say β€œnow she makes works” for him, given he’s been dead since 2021.

28.09.2025 06:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Putin has increased Russia's VAT rate to 22% from 20%, breaking a pledge not to raise taxes before 2030. Another indication of a creaking Russian economy.

25.09.2025 11:59 β€” πŸ‘ 317    πŸ” 62    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 1

Switzerland, yes (important). But EU members, notably Ireland, do have a trade agreement with the US.

26.09.2025 18:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So it's basically about India again, is it?

26.09.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes - I almost added that. Superb film.

26.09.2025 10:32 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting thought for those who argue that armed helicopters have no place in modern conflicts.

26.09.2025 10:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Quite possibly written by someone born after the GDR had disappeared, so never had the chance to experience a real surveillance state.

26.09.2025 10:24 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

It's a good question, but I agree that given China's then-isolation from the global economy (and much less developed globalisation more generally) I think I stand by my call.

I suppose the Bolshevik Revolution might have a stronger claim. But whichever, neither are very happy precedents.

24.09.2025 12:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Can't help feeling the US is becoming a laboratory for the largest political, economic and social experiment in history.

Not sure what would be the control group: maybe Denmark or Canada?

24.09.2025 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What a great story.

24.09.2025 11:10 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We can hope. Given his interests, I do wonder if recent reporting on increasing Russian problems with energy supplies and exports have got his attention.

Noteworthy, though, that he consistently refers to NATO in the third person, as if the US was not a member. Always "they", not "we".

24.09.2025 11:20 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Excellent news.

24.09.2025 07:35 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

New addition

Journal article: Travels in the Missing Dimension: Official History and Secret Intelligence by Gill Bennett (published 03-07-2025)

https://doi.org/10.1080/09592296.2025.2533022

23.09.2025 21:13 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ah. That connection hadn't occurred to me.

Still, given that London seems to have been full of US tourists this summer, there should be plenty of people to give a contrary view.

23.09.2025 18:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
One Last Push? The Battle for Pokrovsk continues

Latest post returns to the battle for Pokrovsk in which both sides have invested heavily. The stakes are high - Russia needs to show something for this year’s constant and costly offensives. (Β£/free trial). samf.substack.com/p/one-last-p...

23.09.2025 08:01 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Thanks Andrew! You may be right about the unequal struggle between truth and falsehood (cf the famous Mark Twain quotation).

Still, I can't help feeling that without social media those who repeat this rubbish would be reduced to standing on a street corner with a placard saying "The End Is Nigh".

23.09.2025 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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