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Tim Osborn

@timosbornclim.bsky.social

Climate variability and change | Professor of Climate Science & Director of Climatic Research Unit | UEA | Views expressed here are my own, not UEA's

2,486 Followers  |  493 Following  |  313 Posts  |  Joined: 24.10.2023
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Posts by Tim Osborn (@timosbornclim.bsky.social)

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Modeled and Observed Stratospheric Temperature Changes: Implications for Fingerprint Studies Human fingerprints, marked by tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling, are evident in Earth's changing atmospheric thermal structure A claim to the contrary in a recent report of the US De...

One topic covered in the interview is the US DoE's flawed climate working group report of 2025. Yesterday Ben and colleagues published this article, demonstrating the DoE's report was factually incorrect in its claims about stratospheric temperatures agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Prof Ben Santer: Trump administration is β€˜embracing ignorance’ on climate science - Carbon Brief In an interview with Carbon Brief, Santer says the Trump administration is β€œengaged in a systematic attempt to dismantle climate science”

Well worth watching this interview from January of UEA's Ben Santer by @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org for @carbonbrief.org. Heartfelt and moving, while also informative about Ben's views on climate action and climate science in the current geopolitical circumstances.
www.carbonbrief.org/prof-ben-san...

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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DOE climate report 'demonstrably incorrect', say scientists in new analysis A leading climate scientist has sought to set the record straight over "demonstrably incorrect" claims made in a major U.S. government report that misrepresented his work and downplayed the role of hu...

DOE climate report 'demonstrably incorrect', say scientists in new analysis

phys.org/news/2026-02...

28.02.2026 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Regarding a recent community science paper on 1.5Β°C of #globalwarming (doi.org/10.5194/essd...), the graph I like the most shows #seaice extent anomalies for different datasets and reconstructions. The most striking feature is HadISST2 disagreement with Antarctic reconstructions.

28.02.2026 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Climate Experts’ Review of the DOE Climate Working Group Report In response to the Department of Energy's recent climate report, more than 85 scientists came together to submit a detailed rebuttal. Our motivation was simple: the DOE report misrepresents the state ...

For more problems with the DoE's report see this comprehensive review put together by @andrewdessler.com and colleagues: doi.org/10.22541/ess...

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Figure 1 from Santer et al. (2026) showing agreement between model predictions and observations of global temperature change across multiple stratospheric and tropospheric layers.

Figure 1 from Santer et al. (2026) showing agreement between model predictions and observations of global temperature change across multiple stratospheric and tropospheric layers.

The DoE report was flawed because it only considered the lower stratosphere, and even there it made false claims about model-obs disagreement. Ben's figure shows agreement between model predictions and observations of global temperature change across multiple stratospheric and tropospheric layers.

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Modeled and Observed Stratospheric Temperature Changes: Implications for Fingerprint Studies Human fingerprints, marked by tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling, are evident in Earth's changing atmospheric thermal structure A claim to the contrary in a recent report of the US De...

One topic covered in the interview is the US DoE's flawed climate working group report of 2025. Yesterday Ben and colleagues published this article, demonstrating the DoE's report was factually incorrect in its claims about stratospheric temperatures agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Prof Ben Santer: Trump administration is β€˜embracing ignorance’ on climate science - Carbon Brief In an interview with Carbon Brief, Santer says the Trump administration is β€œengaged in a systematic attempt to dismantle climate science”

Well worth watching this interview from January of UEA's Ben Santer by @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org for @carbonbrief.org. Heartfelt and moving, while also informative about Ben's views on climate action and climate science in the current geopolitical circumstances.
www.carbonbrief.org/prof-ben-san...

25.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a really informative post and I encourage readers to particularly read the worked example that Zeke provides. Seeing things β€œin action” always helps me understand it

24.02.2026 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The AI-Augmented Scientist The promise and pitfalls of using AI tools to boost my capabilities as a scientist

As a rare climate scientist working in Silicon Valley, I've been drinking from the AI firehose a lot more than my peers. I thought it would be helpful to lay out my experiences of both the promise and pitfalls of using AI to accelerate scientific research:

24.02.2026 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 122    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 8
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Joint probabilistic estimates of temperature and precipitation from tree ring-based reconstructions of the last millennium Abstract. An understanding of Earth's past climate can help put current and future changes into historical context. Widely used tree ring-based drought atlases generally target the Palmer Drought Seve...

This is very cool - @drkatemarvel.bsky.social et al. 'Joint probabilistic estimates of temperature and precipitation from tree ring-based reconstructions of the last millennium' ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/12/...

24.02.2026 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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No paywall for this vital @financialtimes.com coverage of the changing face of war in #putinswar on Ukraine and beyond. t.co/gT2IbR9HRg

23.02.2026 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A reminder to those at #OSM26, there's an oceanography feed where your stuff could be seen by thousands, even if you have only one follower. Join, pin, like, post, enjoy.

23.02.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I am reliably informed that β€œvirtual attendance” to OSM26 DOES NOT INCLUDE WATCHING THE TALKS, JUST DOWNLOADING THE SLIDES, and I would like to understand the decision making process for that. #agu #OSM26

23.02.2026 19:31 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Subscribe to Volts A newsletter, podcast, & community focused on the technology, politics, and policy of decarbonization. In your inbox once or twice a week. Click to read Volts, a Substack publication with tens of thou...

It has occurred to me that the optimal level of marketing for my podcast Volts, upon which my family's entire income depends, might be higher than its current level of zero.

23.02.2026 20:40 β€” πŸ‘ 299    πŸ” 70    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 23

On stealth corrections to the academic record.

That is, changes made by the publisher after publication, with no notice given.

Guess what? MDPI are caught moving articles out of special issues post.

Read more in this blog

deevybee.blogspot.com/2026/02/gues...

23.02.2026 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Come work with us! πŸ§ͺπŸŒπŸ§‘β€πŸ’»πŸŒΏπŸΈβ„οΈ

I am hireing a #postdoc in Climate Change Ecology to work on Ecological Synthesis and support the upcoming #IPCC report as a Chapter Scientist (CH14: terrestrial, freshwater and cryopspheric biodiversity, ecosystems, and services. #IPCC #AR7
@ipcc.bsky.social

17.02.2026 21:16 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 44    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Would be interesting to see similar analysis over Finland's or Fennoscandian domain. The lack of precipitation has been likewise historic here.

19.02.2026 17:31 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I just did the dumbest thing of my entire career to prove a much more serious point.

I tricked ChatGPT and Google, and made them tell other users I’m a competitive hot-dog-eating world champion

People are using this trick on a massive scale to make AI tell you lies. I’ll explain how I did it

18.02.2026 16:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4807    πŸ” 2116    πŸ’¬ 85    πŸ“Œ 298

Thanks for pointing this out, also @volts.wtf. And the list goes on, incl why do we normalise adaptation since many strategies are often associated with loss of livelihood, social capital and identity > rarely brought up. The global debates are just centred on funding, obscuring other key issues.

17.02.2026 16:04 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How has your country's climate changed over the past century? Find out here:

17.02.2026 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3

Thanks!

There is an info button ℹ️ on the top of the timeseries graph which gives some info in a pop up window. But you’re right that it doesn’t explain all the acronyms - we can add more in the next version

17.02.2026 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
A screenshot of the CRU-TS national time series dashboard

A screenshot of the CRU-TS national time series dashboard

New dashboard to visualise CRU-TS country averages (i.e. CRU-CY) for temperature, precipitation, humidity and drought area (using our scPDSI indicator).

(It takes a little while to first load, but is quite responsive after that)

climate.uea.co/CRU-Timeseri...

16.02.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 7

Perhaps another one for you (unless you want just global-mean focussed ones?)

bsky.app/profile/timo...

17.02.2026 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Oxygen Isotopes in Tree Rings Track Neotropical Climate Dynamics Tree-ring Ξ΄18O from Abies guatemalensis in Central America captures interannual variations in boreal summer rainfall Lighter Ξ΄18O years are associated with a weakening of the Caribbean Low-Level ...

A new paper by @anaigmendez.bsky.social vin Geophysical Research Letters shows that the oxygen isotope ratio of the annual rings of tropical conifers in Central America records rainfall amount and tracks large-scale tropical atmosphere ocean dynamics! agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

16.02.2026 15:57 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Lecturer / Associate Professor in Environmental Assessment and Management (ATS1342) in University of East Anglia | UEA View details and apply for this Lecturer / Associate Professor in Environmental Assessment and Management (ATS1342) vacancy in University of East Anglia. Faculty of Science School of Environmental...

New post: Lecturer / Associate Professor in Environmental Assessment and Management @ueaenv.bsky.social @uniofeastanglia.bsky.social

Closing date: 20 March 2026

vacancies.uea.ac.uk/vacancies/20...

16.02.2026 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A small bird with a distinctive crest perched on a branch. The background is filled with vibrant pink blossoms, and some green leaves are visible.

A small bird with a distinctive crest perched on a branch. The background is filled with vibrant pink blossoms, and some green leaves are visible.

Dr Marius Somveille from @ueaenv.bsky.social, has been the lead author on a study that has highlighted how mountain birds adapt to changes in climate.

Read more on our website: https://bit.ly/4tqKuPI

#ResearchMatters #Academia #NewStudy

10.02.2026 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
ALRollers, Biscuit, Snack Cutting and Moulding Rollers ALRollers, manufacturing biscuit & snack cutting and moulding rollers.

Is it ALRollers? www.alrollers.co.uk

16.02.2026 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
This Climate Data Dashboard provides timeseries for individual countries and other territories, calculated using version
4.09 of the CRU-TS and CRU-CY datasets.

We remain neutral with regard to any jurisdictional claims.

These datasets have been created by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) and the National Centre for Atmospheric
Science (NCAS), both at the University of East Anglia (UEA).

You are encouraged to freely use and share these graphs and data if you acknowledge NCAS and CRU-UEA as the creator. If it is appropriate to include a scientific reference, then please also cite "Harris et al. (2020) Scientific Data".

This Climate Data Dashboard provides timeseries for individual countries and other territories, calculated using version 4.09 of the CRU-TS and CRU-CY datasets. We remain neutral with regard to any jurisdictional claims. These datasets have been created by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) and the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), both at the University of East Anglia (UEA). You are encouraged to freely use and share these graphs and data if you acknowledge NCAS and CRU-UEA as the creator. If it is appropriate to include a scientific reference, then please also cite "Harris et al. (2020) Scientific Data".

You can zoom into a sub period, download the data shown in the time series graph, download the image of the graph.

And it is all CC BY, meaning you can use, share and adapt - just acknowledge NCAS (@ncas-uk.bsky.social) and CRU-UEA (@climateuea.bsky.social) as the creators

@ueaenv.bsky.social

16.02.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY annual drought area (%)

Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY annual drought area (%)

Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY seasonal precipitation (mm/month)

Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY seasonal precipitation (mm/month)

Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY seasonal temperature (degC)

Chile CRU-TS / CRU-CY seasonal temperature (degC)

Example: Chile. Seasonal temperatures, March-April-May and June-July-August precipitation and annual drought area

16.02.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0