Pennsylvania Maps

Thought the mottes were another fake Schumer couple

Besides Cumberland’s Recorder of Deeds election, Democrats also won countywide races for Prothonotary and a judicial position

On a good night for Pennsylvania Democrats across the board, Cumberland County’s results were perhaps the most eye-popping of all (9/9)

2025 Cumberland County Recorder of Deeds precinct map in HD-199

Finally, Rep. Barbara Gleim’s 199th district includes Carlisle (college town) plus rural areas

It voted Republican for Recorder of Deeds by just 3.4%

And in the statewide Superior Court race, Democrat Brandon Neuman lost it by a narrower margin (1.05%) than Shapiro in ‘22 (8/9)

2025 Cumberland County Recorder of Deeds precinct map in HD-87

The more exurban 87th district, held by Thomas Kutz, voted Shapiro-Oz in 2022

It voted Republican in this year’s Recorder of Deeds election by 4.3% (7/9)

2025 Cumberland County Recorder of Deeds precinct map in HD-88

The 88th district, based in Harrisburg’s suburbs and held by Sheryl Delozier, has been on Democrats’ radar the past couple cycles, as it voted for both Fetterman and Shapiro in 2022

Democrat Susan Turner won it comfortably, by 8.5%, in the 2025 Recorder of Deeds race (6/9)

Looking ahead to 2026, Democrats are hoping to expand their 102-101 majority in the State House

There are 3 Republican-held districts located entirely within Cumberland County, and they are emerging as new battlegrounds amidst Pennsylvania’s evolving political geography (5/9)

When voters’ preferences change, it typically happens at the Presidential level first, before filtering down to Congressional, state, and finally local elections

Tuesday’s results show that Cumberland’s lingering Republican loyalty in downballot races has evaporated (4/9)

Take the Recorder of Deeds office

Republican Tammy Shearer was first elected in 2013, running unopposed

She won re-election twice, in 2017 and 2021, by identical 21% margins (3/9)

Cumberland County has been moving steadily leftward at the Presidential level for several cycles now, from Mitt Romney’s 18% victory in 2012 to Donald Trump’s 9% win in 2024

But the county has remained ruby red at the local level (2/9)

2025 Cumberland County Recorder of Deeds election precinct map with State House District overlay

Tuesday saw a seismic shift on the Susquehanna’s west bank

Ancestrally Republican Cumberland County didn’t just vote for Democrats at the top of the ticket, it also elected Dems to 3 county-level offices

Thread on the RECORDER OF DEEDS race and its State House implications (1/9)

~18% overperformance in the NY media market

BLUEZERNE COUNTY COUNCIL

Commonwealth & Superior Courts is what my post was about. Dems are winning big.

Just spot-checking some fully-reported precincts in bellwether Northampton County, the Democratic judicial candidates are outperforming Biden by ~20%. This is looking like a landslide.

The races for PA Commonwealth and Superior Court have gotten surprisingly little attention. Those are hugely important and are likely to be much closer than the retention votes.

If you need any more motivation to cast a ballot, here it is.

the actual contrast is between spanberger/mamdani (focused message, vigorous campaigns) and sherrill (unfocused, half-hearted)

Mirror image of their run this time last year

PENNSYLVANIA is now the first state with multiple Democratic House members to have the majority of its House Democratic caucus cosponsor the Block the Bombs Act (Lee, Scanlon, Dean, and Evans)
www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...

*Taps the sign* Being good at data does not make one a good pundit

Not that they deserve primary blame, but Biden/Harris were the ones who framed the election as being about democracy, and I think that's contributed to how it's been interpreted after the fact

Consumer protection should be in the mix

I will not stand for ABWH slander on my timeline

God's Country

30 Districts

Reenergizing for sure. What gives me pause is that his charisma is not easily replicable. But his campaign is a proof of concept regardless.

I call it Manhattansplaining

With 35% of precincts reporting, Krasner looks to be replicating his 2021 coalition powered by Black voters across the city plus white neighborhoods outside the Northeast

The last time Lancaster County elected a Democrat to the Pennsylvania Senate was in 1889, when John S. Hoover won a special election.

136 years later, James Malone joins the club.

With all precincts reporting, Democrat James Malone leads by 0.89%.

Keep in mind, SD-36 completely excludes the City of Lancaster. It's the once reliably-red suburbs, exurbs, and small towns that have flipped this district.

As of this post there were a few, now just 1 left.