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Lucas Novaes

@lmnovaes.bsky.social

Associate professor, Insper. Political economy, comparative politics. UC Berkeley grad. www.lucasmnovaes.com

986 Followers  |  384 Following  |  92 Posts  |  Joined: 20.09.2023
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Posts by Lucas Novaes (@lmnovaes.bsky.social)

This goes right under this 11/2024 post: bsky.app/profile/nich...

25.02.2026 19:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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there is this

24.02.2026 17:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

only one I am seeing is arbitraging of AI implementation. Maybe it will work for a few of us in academia for a small period, but unless moats that exist (prestige, gatekeeping) resist, there hasn't been also a feel good story for sometime

23.02.2026 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Analyslop is correct, and there are many like this memo. They all fantasize how AI will disrupt jobs, but they (and contrarians) never make up scenarios about how AI will create new human jobs (as all tech revolutions did) because maybe this time is indeed different?

23.02.2026 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Eu pedi pro Claude fazer o mesmo grΓ‘fico per capita (estimando mais ou menos os dados absolutos usando o grΓ‘fico da Ponte Jornalismo)

05.02.2026 13:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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When Product Markets Become Collective Traps: The Case of Social Media (December 2025) - Individuals might experience negative utility from not consuming a popular product. With such externalities to nonusers, standard consumer surplus measures, which take aggregate cons...

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

21.01.2026 16:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the poujahetine

20.01.2026 13:23 β€” πŸ‘ 397    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

(very niche)

14.01.2026 17:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ambulante joga no chΓ£o frutas apreendidas: 'Para os clientes pegarem' | G1 Homem tem documento para trabalhar na regiΓ£o da Avenida Paulista e alega ter perdido mais de R$ 2 mil. Prefeitura diz que ponto autorizado fica na Alameda Santos e nΓ£o na Paulista.

Forbearance: revoked g1.globo.com/sp/sao-paulo...

14.01.2026 17:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
04.01.2026 02:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
17.12.2025 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2 found dead at Brentwood mansion that belongs to director Rob Reiner A man and woman were found dead inside a home in Brentwood that records and neighbors tie to director Rob Reiner.

This … is not good news www.nbclosangeles.com/investigatio...

15.12.2025 02:05 β€” πŸ‘ 300    πŸ” 72    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 69
She compared these strikes to a story in the Bible, when Jesus healed someone on a Sunday, contradicting religious rules that forbid work on that day. Some laws are worth breaking for the betterment of mankind, she said, just like the biblical story was trying to show.

She compared these strikes to a story in the Bible, when Jesus healed someone on a Sunday, contradicting religious rules that forbid work on that day. Some laws are worth breaking for the betterment of mankind, she said, just like the biblical story was trying to show.

Also noteworthy

07.12.2025 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The dissonance here between text and photo is fantastic

07.12.2025 02:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
02.12.2025 14:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Artigo meu e do Anderson Frey publicado ontem na Folha:

www1.folha.uol.com.br/opiniao/2025...

01.12.2025 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My first thought was that the β€œgentleman” was Bolsonaro, but on twitter, the Brazilian reporter asking the question is skeptical; thinks Trump was referring to someone else.

She (Raquel KrΓ€henbΓΌhl) followed up with Leavitt the next day, who said she wasn’t aware of any call btw the two.

25.11.2025 23:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We did it for you Dick Cheney

05.11.2025 02:32 β€” πŸ‘ 7450    πŸ” 863    πŸ’¬ 56    πŸ“Œ 22

ParabΓ©ns, Thiago!

29.10.2025 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Parte de imagens de cΓ’meras de agentes de megaoperaΓ§Γ£o pode ter se perdido por falta de bateria, diz secretΓ‘rio da PM

Parte de imagens de cΓ’meras de agentes de megaoperaΓ§Γ£o pode ter se perdido por falta de bateria, diz secretΓ‘rio da PM

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"Part of the footage from officers’ body cameras during the major operation may have been lost due to low battery, says Military Police secretary."

29.10.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Um dos corpos estava sem cabeΓ§a, que foi trazida dentro de uma sacola. Aos familiares, um dos homens que ajudava na remoΓ§Γ£o gritou β€œΓ© um de cabelo vermelho”. As mΓ£os do cadaver estavam fechadas, segurando grama.

Um dos corpos estava sem cabeΓ§a, que foi trazida dentro de uma sacola. Aos familiares, um dos homens que ajudava na remoΓ§Γ£o gritou β€œΓ© um de cabelo vermelho”. As mΓ£os do cadaver estavam fechadas, segurando grama.

Gruesome details from the massive police operation yesterday in Rio continue to surface:

β€œThe [beheaded] body had their fist closed, holding grass.”

www1.folha.uol.com.br/cotidiano/20...

29.10.2025 11:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Research Fellowships Each year, IAST invites applications for post-doctoral Research Fellowships, which offer candidates an opportunity to devote themselves full-time to their research at the start of their careers.β€―Fello...

πŸ“’ Apply to our (2-year) research fellowships at @iast.fr

Join a multidisciplinary, interdisciplinary, transdisciplinary, and indisciplinary group of scholars in Toulouse, walkable/cyclable pink city of chocolatines in the South of France.

Deadline: November 15, 2025.

www.iast.fr/research-fel...

22.09.2025 07:44 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 38    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2

ah yes powell 2004

30.09.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Word of caution: the push to win votes on the pervasive anti-corruption sentiment in Latin America did not go well. OC is different, but likely the Dems would end up carried away by the anti-establishment wave (the PSDB - major national player in Brazil since 1994 is all but gone)

29.09.2025 13:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's hiring season at @iast.fr!

- 2y research postdoc contract
- Full autonomy, you are your own PI
- Awesome multidisciplinary environment
- All social and behavioral sciences welcome
- Seed funding for projects and workshops
- Gorgeous city in the south of France

www.iast.fr/research-fel...

20.09.2025 09:15 β€” πŸ‘ 91    πŸ” 77    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

(or critical of the FCC chairman's statements.)

19.09.2025 11:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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First, that is not a lot of tweets. Second, the tweets could have been coming from both sides - some could be critical of Kimmel's suspension while using these keywords. Then it goes on to cherry-pick a handful of tweets.

Really flimsy evidence of "furor".

19.09.2025 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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How Outrage at Kimmel Grew to a Shout From a Whisper

This is incredibly sloppy work. There is absolutely no evidence here that Kimmel's suspension enjoys widespread support:

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/t...

19.09.2025 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence From the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election - Alexsandros Cavgias, Raphael Corbi, Luis Meloni, Lucas M. Novaes, 2024 We investigate how dominant media networks can manipulate voters in young democracies. During the first presidential election after the democratic transition in...

might be of interest: journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

18.09.2025 00:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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AI-controlled drone swarms set to transform combat on battlefield The latest iteration of flying robot warfare, unmanned weapons co-ordinate to overwhelm enemy defences

What sic-fi dystopian movie had this on a news ticker headline?

on.ft.com/3InqWsC AI-controlled drone swarms set to transform combat on battlefield

14.09.2025 11:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0