Elise Thomas's Avatar

Elise Thomas

@elisethomas.bsky.social

Senior OSINT Investigator at @cen4infores.bsky.social. Opinions, hot takes, mistakes all my own. https://www.clippings.me/elisethomas

8,876 Followers  |  1,686 Following  |  1,095 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023
Posts Following

Posts by Elise Thomas (@elisethomas.bsky.social)

Preview
Jackie O enabled the misogyny of Kyle Sandilands. Inevitably, he turned on her Prime ministers and premiers have pandered to bottom-shelf vulgarian Sandilands. It’s hard to feel too much sympathy for his co-host when she endured one of his on-air sprays.

No kidding. It says so much about this person that she was happy to stand by and profit from the many many many many many many many other times Sandilands attacked other people, often women, and it was only when she personally became his target that she walked away. www.theage.com.au/culture/tv-a...

04.03.2026 10:04 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
04.03.2026 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

I built a free tool that shows how night-time lights have changed anywhere on Earth.

Here's how it works and why it's useful for monitoring conflict, disasters, development and growth. πŸ‘‡

02.03.2026 21:50 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 48    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1

We’re deeply at risk of no president ever getting another leadership orb.

03.03.2026 01:06 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hundreds of civilians dead

03.03.2026 01:01 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

This looks to be pretty much exactly what they're doing

02.03.2026 23:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I only very recently learned from someone that going to Dubai for holidays was A Thing among the British. Very weird for an Australian, we transit Dubai but I don't believe I know a single Aussie who's actually chosen it as a holiday destination.

02.03.2026 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

always worth remembering that "the cloud" is actually just someone else's computer (or their many, many computers)

02.03.2026 10:09 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Who knows in the long run but in the short to medium term this probably works very much in their interests

02.03.2026 02:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hard to know all the implications but it’s probably a net benefit to Russia. They’ve mostly localised Shahed production, they’ll benefit economically from an oil price spike, benefit diplomatically from the US being distracted, benefit militarily from the US having less weaponry to sell to Ukraine

02.03.2026 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Same with all the β€œwhy didn’t Russia replace Iran’s air defenses after last year??”

Guys they don’t have a lot of spares lying around

02.03.2026 00:43 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Some of comments directed at the Gulf airlines right now are an incredible reflection of how alien the concept of armed conflict is to people from lucky countries like Australia.

Dubai airport: literally on fire after being hit by missile shrapnel.
Customer: Will my March 3rd flight be delayed?

01.03.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

genuinely mind-melting that Iranian leadership are still posting on X

01.03.2026 09:48 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'm sorry how many loom weavers do you know

01.03.2026 06:30 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Exclusive: Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei could be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed, sources say In the run-up to the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Saturday, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency assessed that even if Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the operation, he would...

Maybe the most vital reporting I've seen today. Trump admin went to war today with his own intelligence saying that Khamenei's death could lead to the IRGC taking over.

01.03.2026 01:48 β€” πŸ‘ 319    πŸ” 137    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 16

oh for sure, the UAE and Qatar will be very mad about the disruption to flights, among the many other more important reasons for being mad about this situation

01.03.2026 05:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No, over Central Asia and then hug the southern edge of the Black Sea, which they do already

01.03.2026 05:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'd pick Central Asia for sure if I were the airlines

01.03.2026 05:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah the relatively recent proliferation of both anti-aircraft weapons and pretty cheap drones which could pose a risk to commercial aircraft among various armed groups in Yemen, and in many parts of Africa, make a lot of previously viable routes a much riskier proposition IMO

01.03.2026 05:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I guess you could cut through Saudi and Egypt like this maaaybe? You'd have to avoid Yemen and hope that flying over Oman and western Saudi would be safe

01.03.2026 05:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

They take the same route over the Eurasian continent. Flying over Africa is also very complicated! No one should be flying over Sudan and Libya, so you'd need to swing out way west and come up via Nigeria/Niger/Algeria maybe? I have no idea how much fuel or how commercially viable that would be.

01.03.2026 05:16 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This obviously very stupid but is it also smart? We’ll talk to some liars after this break.

01.03.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 4166    πŸ” 741    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 13

I guess if Afghanistan/Pakistan also becomes unsafe maybe they'll have to go further north over Central Asia...?

01.03.2026 05:04 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

On a trivial and parochial note, this is all really going to mess with commercial air traffic between Australia and Europe. The only viable commercial route at this moment is over Afghanistan and Pakistan, which apparently are ALSO on the brink of all-out war www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/...

01.03.2026 05:04 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 5
Post image

β€œMr President, the bombings have begun in Tehran and also customers are complaining we have run out of shrimp at the pool buffet.”

28.02.2026 20:24 β€” πŸ‘ 7839    πŸ” 1329    πŸ’¬ 376    πŸ“Œ 214
Preview
Panic in the Gulf as Iran lashes out at US allies Tehran targets regional countries housing American bases despite their refusal to allow attacks from their territory

Feels very timely right now as we see how the US’s actions are directly impacting regional allies hosting US bases www.ft.com/content/136d...

28.02.2026 22:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
28.02.2026 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Lots of Iran experts being dragged out of their beds and in front of a camera to say that yes, Iran probably is quite unhappy about all of this, and yes, we will find out in coming days what happens, because that's how linear time works

28.02.2026 11:02 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

We've entered the stage of the news cycle where the clear initial information has been reported, fresh reporting is hours or days away, and the gap in between is full of talking heads either constantly re-stating the bleeding obvious and/or speculating wildly based on nothing.

28.02.2026 10:58 β€” πŸ‘ 263    πŸ” 49    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 2

How could he sully the FIFA Peace Prize like this

28.02.2026 09:10 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0