Elise Thomas's Avatar

Elise Thomas

@elisethomas.bsky.social

Senior OSINT Investigator at @cen4infores.bsky.social. Opinions, hot takes, mistakes all my own. https://www.clippings.me/elisethomas

8,892 Followers  |  1,687 Following  |  1,104 Posts  |  Joined: 03.07.2023
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Posts by Elise Thomas (@elisethomas.bsky.social)

By β€œexpose myself to enemy fire to communicate” he means he’ll tweet and maybe someone will tweet some mean things back at him

10.03.2026 00:43 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

* mass domestic surveillance

We've known for well over a decade that the US does mass surveillance targeting the rest of us. There is some irony in seeing the horror with which US citizens react to the idea that their government might treat them like their government treats everyone else.

08.03.2026 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

god give me the confidence of Hudson Institute guys arguing that Tehran is the first domino against Beijing

08.03.2026 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 474    πŸ” 54    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 19
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More from Tehran. The Aghdasieh oil depot in Sohanak is completely ablaze. #Iran

07.03.2026 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 196    πŸ” 55    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 16
07.03.2026 22:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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1/ Civilian donations to the Russian army are said to have collapsed ahead of the imminent ban on Telegram. It's a consequence, predicted by warbloggers, of the Russian government's apparent decision to ban the app. The impact on the front line is likely to be severe. ⬇️

07.03.2026 09:23 β€” πŸ‘ 390    πŸ” 103    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 13
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Exclusive: Trump tells Reuters US must have a role in choosing Iran's next leader Trump said in a β€Œtelephone interview that the Ayatollah's son is an 'unlikely' choice as leader.

But remember, it's not a regime change war. Also it's not a war. And the goal isn't regime change. It's just overthrowing the previous regime and picking a new one. www.reuters.com/world/middle...

06.03.2026 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So, yep.

06.03.2026 04:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

clearly they don't all of the time! I honestly don't know why they do now, but as one guess it could be to avoid another friendly fire incident after the Kuwaiti air defences shot down those three (three!!) US jets

05.03.2026 11:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Actually at least four, two more just turned on their transponders

05.03.2026 11:49 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Had the slightly grim thought that maybe Trump's "big one" is en route and the US has quietly told allied governments that this is the moment to get as many people out as they can before they strike.

05.03.2026 11:38 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Two of these headed from Tel Aviv into the Gulf right now

05.03.2026 11:35 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Seems like the most air traffic over Oman/Saudi/little bit of the UAE since the start of the war. Everyone's decided this is their moment to get in and out, for some reason?

05.03.2026 10:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Iranian drones have hit Azerbaijan, the Azerbaijan Foreign Ministry says. Two injured.

Widening.

05.03.2026 09:05 β€” πŸ‘ 547    πŸ” 226    πŸ’¬ 54    πŸ“Œ 24
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β€œWe are in an undeclared state of war.”

After Mike Johnson says the US is not at war, and Donald Trump says it is, Lindsey Graham tells @premthakker.bsky.social a third answer: an β€œundeclared state of war” β€” which, he suggests, allows the US to illegally strike ships in international waters.

05.03.2026 00:04 β€” πŸ‘ 536    πŸ” 177    πŸ’¬ 65    πŸ“Œ 52
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Jackie O enabled the misogyny of Kyle Sandilands. Inevitably, he turned on her Prime ministers and premiers have pandered to bottom-shelf vulgarian Sandilands. It’s hard to feel too much sympathy for his co-host when she endured one of his on-air sprays.

No kidding. It says so much about this person that she was happy to stand by and profit from the many many many many many many many other times Sandilands attacked other people, often women, and it was only when she personally became his target that she walked away. www.theage.com.au/culture/tv-a...

04.03.2026 10:04 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
04.03.2026 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I built a free tool that shows how night-time lights have changed anywhere on Earth.

Here's how it works and why it's useful for monitoring conflict, disasters, development and growth. πŸ‘‡

02.03.2026 21:50 β€” πŸ‘ 94    πŸ” 48    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1

We’re deeply at risk of no president ever getting another leadership orb.

03.03.2026 01:06 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hundreds of civilians dead

03.03.2026 01:01 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

This looks to be pretty much exactly what they're doing

02.03.2026 23:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I only very recently learned from someone that going to Dubai for holidays was A Thing among the British. Very weird for an Australian, we transit Dubai but I don't believe I know a single Aussie who's actually chosen it as a holiday destination.

02.03.2026 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

always worth remembering that "the cloud" is actually just someone else's computer (or their many, many computers)

02.03.2026 10:09 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Who knows in the long run but in the short to medium term this probably works very much in their interests

02.03.2026 02:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hard to know all the implications but it’s probably a net benefit to Russia. They’ve mostly localised Shahed production, they’ll benefit economically from an oil price spike, benefit diplomatically from the US being distracted, benefit militarily from the US having less weaponry to sell to Ukraine

02.03.2026 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Same with all the β€œwhy didn’t Russia replace Iran’s air defenses after last year??”

Guys they don’t have a lot of spares lying around

02.03.2026 00:43 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Some of comments directed at the Gulf airlines right now are an incredible reflection of how alien the concept of armed conflict is to people from lucky countries like Australia.

Dubai airport: literally on fire after being hit by missile shrapnel.
Customer: Will my March 3rd flight be delayed?

01.03.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'm sorry how many loom weavers do you know

01.03.2026 06:30 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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Exclusive: Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei could be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed, sources say In the run-up to the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Saturday, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency assessed that even if Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the operation, he would...

Maybe the most vital reporting I've seen today. Trump admin went to war today with his own intelligence saying that Khamenei's death could lead to the IRGC taking over.

01.03.2026 01:48 β€” πŸ‘ 317    πŸ” 137    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 16

oh for sure, the UAE and Qatar will be very mad about the disruption to flights, among the many other more important reasons for being mad about this situation

01.03.2026 05:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0