PhoenixPyres (Nathan Paddick)'s Avatar

PhoenixPyres (Nathan Paddick)

@phoenixpyres.bsky.social

Writer, dabbler, nowt yet to note Warfare, tech, politics are my safe havens With luck and drive, πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ to πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ eventually

85 Followers  |  406 Following  |  82 Posts  |  Joined: 23.02.2025
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Posts by PhoenixPyres (Nathan Paddick) (@phoenixpyres.bsky.social)

Grrr, I mean they should have deployed HMS Dragon earlier but if you're looking to identify who's responsible for us only having a handful of destroyers, it's the fault of governments 15-20 years ago.

05.03.2026 22:14 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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[TW: graphic fracture, sound of breaking bone]

Sen Tim Sheehy (R-Montana) badly breaking the arm of a Marine veteran protesting the war Iran.

04.03.2026 22:05 β€” πŸ‘ 9142    πŸ” 4479    πŸ’¬ 1041    πŸ“Œ 1602
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Chartbook 436 Unseasonal war. How the US-Israeli war on Iran threatens the global agricultural cycle. One impact of the war being waged by the US and Israel against Iran that is not getting as much attention as it deserves, is the impact on the global supply of fertilizer.

@jricole.bsky.social @avilewis.ca
ICYMI

β€œThe current war is disastrous from the point of view of the modern agricultural cycle.”

#TrumpIsraelWar #Iran #EUpoli #UKpoli #USpoli #Cdnpoli

adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...

05.03.2026 04:06 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have professionally followed war in the Middle East going on 8 years. I have had my analysis published in internationally respected outlets. I have not once purposefully watched one of those videos. You don't need it.

28.02.2026 16:25 β€” πŸ‘ 56    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

CNN is saying the Iranian attack happened after Trump β€œlost patience with negotiations”.

I don’t believe it. The negotiations were cover. This was always the plan. The scale of the military buildup showed that.

28.02.2026 11:22 β€” πŸ‘ 4078    πŸ” 906    πŸ’¬ 238    πŸ“Œ 81

Demanding an estimate guarantees the estimate will not be useful to the business and will always drive costs up.

Software engineers all know that estimates are useless.
1/6

06.02.2026 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 656    πŸ” 86    πŸ’¬ 101    πŸ“Œ 8
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A devious Ukrainian manhole defeats a Chechen Tiktok warrior

04.02.2026 12:57 β€” πŸ‘ 328    πŸ” 41    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 6

Trump’s backchannel plan to destroy the UN is working. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the United Nations could run out of cash by July, Reuters reports. Some countries are refusing to pay, following Trump’s lead. The US has withheld mandatory payments.

30.01.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 210    πŸ” 104    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 9
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Halo Main Theme | Halo: Combat Evolved

27.01.2026 03:23 β€” πŸ‘ 426    πŸ” 144    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
The Legislation
Upon winning a general election, a Reform government under Prime Minister Nigel Farage will:
1) Leave the ECHR
2.) Repeal the Human Rights Act and replace it with a British Bill of Rights.
3.) Pass The Illegal Migration (Mass Deportation) Bill:
This Bill will:
Create a legal duty to remove illegal migrants for the Home Secretary
The Bill opens with a blunt obligation for the Home Secretary: "The Secretary of State shall ensure the removal from the United Kingdom of each person who does not have extant leave to remain and is not an Irish citizen or otherwise protected by regulations made under this Act."
The following parts of the legislation are introduced on an emergency basis, with an in-built sunset clause after 5 years:
Disapply the 1951 Refugee Convention, the UN Convention Against Torture, the Council of Europe Anti-Trafficking Convention (ECAT)
Derogation is justified under the Vienna Convention doctrine of state of necessity: Britain faces a national emergency in which uncontrolled illegal migration undermines public order.
These treaties will otherwise be used by activist judges to frustrate deportations, even after the repeals of the HRA and ECHR.
Create Detention Power Without Hardial Singh Constraints
This means illegal migrants can be detained until they are deported. Activist lawyers routinely use Hardial Singh to secure their client's bail, after which the client absconds.
If you came to the UK illegally, you are ineligible for asylum. End of story
All asylum claims will become inadmissible if made by a person within the Act's scope. If you came to the country illegally, you are ineligible for asylum in the UK. This strips the Home Office, the immigration tribunals and the higher courts of jurisdiction to even consider claims. A claim that cannot be considered cannot suspend removal and therefore, cannot delay a flight.
Re-entering after deportation and destroying ID becomes a serious criminal offence
Re-entry after deportation will be…

The Legislation Upon winning a general election, a Reform government under Prime Minister Nigel Farage will: 1) Leave the ECHR 2.) Repeal the Human Rights Act and replace it with a British Bill of Rights. 3.) Pass The Illegal Migration (Mass Deportation) Bill: This Bill will: Create a legal duty to remove illegal migrants for the Home Secretary The Bill opens with a blunt obligation for the Home Secretary: "The Secretary of State shall ensure the removal from the United Kingdom of each person who does not have extant leave to remain and is not an Irish citizen or otherwise protected by regulations made under this Act." The following parts of the legislation are introduced on an emergency basis, with an in-built sunset clause after 5 years: Disapply the 1951 Refugee Convention, the UN Convention Against Torture, the Council of Europe Anti-Trafficking Convention (ECAT) Derogation is justified under the Vienna Convention doctrine of state of necessity: Britain faces a national emergency in which uncontrolled illegal migration undermines public order. These treaties will otherwise be used by activist judges to frustrate deportations, even after the repeals of the HRA and ECHR. Create Detention Power Without Hardial Singh Constraints This means illegal migrants can be detained until they are deported. Activist lawyers routinely use Hardial Singh to secure their client's bail, after which the client absconds. If you came to the UK illegally, you are ineligible for asylum. End of story All asylum claims will become inadmissible if made by a person within the Act's scope. If you came to the country illegally, you are ineligible for asylum in the UK. This strips the Home Office, the immigration tribunals and the higher courts of jurisdiction to even consider claims. A claim that cannot be considered cannot suspend removal and therefore, cannot delay a flight. Re-entering after deportation and destroying ID becomes a serious criminal offence Re-entry after deportation will be…

The Operational Plan
We will create an enforcement unit called UK Deportation Command, including an Illegal Migrant Identification Centre - harnessing cutting edge data fusion
A Reform government will create a cutting edge enforcement data centre to relentlessly identify and detain all illegal migrants in the UK. Using powers granted by the new legislation, it will automatically share data between the Home Office, NHS, HMRC, DVLA, banks and the police. It will power bulk warrants, including mandatory biometric capture during any police encounter. Each power addresses a failure mode observed over the past decade - for example, banks and GP surgeries unaware of a customer's status, or overstayers slipping through because a warrant covered only a single property.
Secure Immigration Removal Centres (SIRC) will be built rapidly to detain up to 24,000
Detention capacity for up to 24,000 will be created within 18 months. The Home Office will build Secure Immigration Removal Centres. This will be modular accommodation built in remote parts of the country. Conditions are basic but not punitive: prefabricated two-person rooms, canteen catering, on-site medical suites. Robust perimeters and internal movement controls prevent escapes.
This enables detention-on-arrest: no more bail. This capacity would allow for up to 24,000 illegal migrants to be deported per month.
Initial Voluntary Return Window
A six-month Assisted Voluntary Return window precedes large-scale raids. Illegal migrants will be offered a financial incentive to self-deport. An app will be launched to facilitate this.
The Deportation Flights
The Home Office will scale up charters to 5 flights per day. To guard against last-minute aircraft unserviceability, the RAF will keep one Voyager aircraft on six-hour 'hot-spare' readiness. If a commercial charter breaks down, detainees can still be flown out that night, preserving operational integrity. The legal reset will mean activist lawyers will no longer be able preven…

The Operational Plan We will create an enforcement unit called UK Deportation Command, including an Illegal Migrant Identification Centre - harnessing cutting edge data fusion A Reform government will create a cutting edge enforcement data centre to relentlessly identify and detain all illegal migrants in the UK. Using powers granted by the new legislation, it will automatically share data between the Home Office, NHS, HMRC, DVLA, banks and the police. It will power bulk warrants, including mandatory biometric capture during any police encounter. Each power addresses a failure mode observed over the past decade - for example, banks and GP surgeries unaware of a customer's status, or overstayers slipping through because a warrant covered only a single property. Secure Immigration Removal Centres (SIRC) will be built rapidly to detain up to 24,000 Detention capacity for up to 24,000 will be created within 18 months. The Home Office will build Secure Immigration Removal Centres. This will be modular accommodation built in remote parts of the country. Conditions are basic but not punitive: prefabricated two-person rooms, canteen catering, on-site medical suites. Robust perimeters and internal movement controls prevent escapes. This enables detention-on-arrest: no more bail. This capacity would allow for up to 24,000 illegal migrants to be deported per month. Initial Voluntary Return Window A six-month Assisted Voluntary Return window precedes large-scale raids. Illegal migrants will be offered a financial incentive to self-deport. An app will be launched to facilitate this. The Deportation Flights The Home Office will scale up charters to 5 flights per day. To guard against last-minute aircraft unserviceability, the RAF will keep one Voyager aircraft on six-hour 'hot-spare' readiness. If a commercial charter breaks down, detainees can still be flown out that night, preserving operational integrity. The legal reset will mean activist lawyers will no longer be able preven…

The UK version of β€œProject 2025” by the Reform party includes a British ICE, a concentration camp for 24,000 people, mass surveillance and withdrawing from refugee, anti-torture and anti-trafficking conventions.

It’s on their website. That’s how comfortable fascists are in the UK today.

26.01.2026 13:22 β€” πŸ‘ 5277    πŸ” 3122    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 380

Honestly boycotting the World Cup would be the most effective and probably the least disruptive of all of the options available to Europe. I’m not sure how you can send teams and fans to contribute to a spectacle designed entirely to celebrate a guy trying to invade your territory.

19.01.2026 13:06 β€” πŸ‘ 8707    πŸ” 1808    πŸ’¬ 39    πŸ“Œ 214
Aleppo’s Escalation Could Win Territory, but Lose the Peace Clashes erupted on 6 January between Syrian government forces and Kurdish fighters in Aleppo, marking the most serious confrontation between the two sides since the fall of the Assad regime. What h…

🧡🚨 1/9 My latest dives into the Aleppo escalation, recaps how we got here, examines what the violence means for the March 10 agreement (derailment or momentum), and flags a strategic shift in Damascus’s approach to security challenges. www.arab-reform.net/publication/...

16.01.2026 15:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The United States of Trump

13.01.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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New proposed Ukip logo compared to iron cross used by Nazi regime Anti-racism campaign group Hope Not Hate warned that the logo was β€˜echoing Nazi-style imagery’

I'm getting very tired of these people telling us precisely who they are and them just constantly getting away with it.

13.01.2026 18:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We've removed the paywall from this guide so everyone can access it. πŸ‘‡ Stay safe.

08.01.2026 18:35 β€” πŸ‘ 14745    πŸ” 10275    πŸ’¬ 102    πŸ“Œ 101
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10,000 people honoring Renee Nicole Good
at the site of her murder

08.01.2026 03:09 β€” πŸ‘ 14371    πŸ” 3396    πŸ’¬ 153    πŸ“Œ 130

I often forget to post here, but a quick and obvious thought

With the US so thoroughly disengaging at speed from global cooperation again, it's high time for the UN, *the* global forum, to up sticks for a more enlightened perch

08.01.2026 06:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 08.01.2026 01:10 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Withdrawing the United States from International Organizations, Conventions, and Treaties that Are Contrary to the Interests of the United States MEMORANDUM FOR THE HEADS OF EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENTS AND AGENCIES By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United

Hereβ€˜s the full list of organisations Trump is withdrawing from. Just to highlight one: Trump is withdrawing from the ILC, showing the US disengagement from international law www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

08.01.2026 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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I present to you a workable plan for sustained global peace and prosperity.

06.01.2026 14:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3919    πŸ” 682    πŸ’¬ 411    πŸ“Œ 112

People who fancy quoting the Melian Dialogue ("the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must") ignore the fact that Thucydides was clearly portraying this as the kind of hubris that squandered Athens' primacy and paved the way for a devastating peer war that it ultimately lost.

07.01.2026 03:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2101    πŸ” 487    πŸ’¬ 53    πŸ“Œ 45

really tired of seeing claims that our illegal kidnapping of the Venezuelan president is to "distract" us from the Epstein files. Trump and the men around him have wanted this for a long time. this is a bad thing in its own right, not some attempt to hide from accountability

05.01.2026 03:26 β€” πŸ‘ 3072    πŸ” 479    πŸ’¬ 90    πŸ“Œ 24

Trump just brought two illegal immigrants into America what a hypocrite

03.01.2026 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Also, when reporters start talking about the chatbots this way, it is imperative to remind them they are basically asking a toaster for comment. They should be a lot more embarrassed about this than they currently are.

β€œGrok told CNN…” no it didn’t. You typed stuff into an unreliable calculator.

03.01.2026 03:06 β€” πŸ‘ 3753    πŸ” 648    πŸ’¬ 50    πŸ“Œ 29

The way the press is treating chatbots, like they have agency and they β€œknow” things all of a sudden, crossed the line recently from dumb and obsequious to something else entirely. Treating them as alive and making conscious decisions is an almost religious belief. It won’t age well.

03.01.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 16221    πŸ” 2876    πŸ’¬ 278    πŸ“Œ 128

we have not "apprehended" the president of venezuela. we have invaded a foreign country and kidnapped its leader. what the fuck are we doing here, i am going to lose my mind

03.01.2026 09:34 β€” πŸ‘ 8732    πŸ” 1869    πŸ’¬ 94    πŸ“Œ 39

"Maduro is a brutal authoritarian dictator," I wisely intone, as the corrupt demented paedophile US President violating Constitutional Law while operating a gestapo and concentration camps illegally arrests a foreign leader on charges which read like they were written on a paper placemat in crayon.

03.01.2026 13:24 β€” πŸ‘ 13489    πŸ” 4079    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 76

"international law must be followed" is european for "thoughts and prayers"

03.01.2026 14:08 β€” πŸ‘ 13829    πŸ” 4213    πŸ’¬ 64    πŸ“Œ 68

This is really bad. The U.S military Followed orders To invade Venezuela. That is wrong in many levels, but Very significantly, this means that the U.S military followed illegal orders. Trump is Moving the military towards Acting against U.S citizens. So much for And free and fair elections.

04.01.2026 01:27 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Some of you have forgotten that only three years ago you were perfectly capable of writing a text, writing an email, telling a bedtime story to a child, and it should worry you that powerful companies have convinced us we can't do things we've been doing since the dawn of time.

Big Tech is offering you a Faustian bargain. It promises to remove all the friction from life, to keep you from having to think or study, and the result is your brain will become pudding, you'll become incapable of creativity or communication. They want to make you a non-person.

Some of you have forgotten that only three years ago you were perfectly capable of writing a text, writing an email, telling a bedtime story to a child, and it should worry you that powerful companies have convinced us we can't do things we've been doing since the dawn of time. Big Tech is offering you a Faustian bargain. It promises to remove all the friction from life, to keep you from having to think or study, and the result is your brain will become pudding, you'll become incapable of creativity or communication. They want to make you a non-person.

Fuck AI & AI tech bros.

31.12.2025 04:12 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1