Luke Piper

@mattdathan.bsky.social in the other place posted this. The Times piece suggested the ILR changes will apply to the 2021 cohort and that those changes will come in the Autumn. This post is more assertive.

Refugee status to be temporary as Shabana Mahmood rips up rules on UK asylum Home secretary announces 30-month protection limit, with refugees required to leave if their home countries are later judged safe

Important details in this piece about the changes to refugee status and future timetable for other changes including Earned Settlement.

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

There is a statement on asylum changes being made on Monday. So there is that. On Earned Settlement, difficult to tell but rules changes usually come 1st/2nd week in March so that is an opportunity. They'll be the thing to watch out for.

This is being pushed hard across media outlets. Looks like it'll be "asylum/immigration week" next week then... Right timing given the second week of march usually has rules changes in it.

And on Monday's order paper is a written statement on "asylum changes". Next week would also be when the Spring statement of changes to the immigration rules are often laid.

Unsurprisingly, it looks like the Government will argue for their Earned Settlement policy by bundling it with their asylum/refugee proposals. Difficult to not conclude that this is a tactic to avoid debate on any substance.

This was obvious to anyone looking at this. They created a policy that attacks people's very status to be able to live in a country and settle. No amount of saying "rules change" will help.

Alot of Labour MPs get this and are rightly livid. This should be a big wake up call for the rest.

On 11th March, we’re turning up to Parliament in the Mass Lobby for Migrant Rights.

Along with migrant and refugee groups, unions, and faith groups we’re going to call on as many MPs as possible to oppose the Government’s earned settlement plans.

Learn more: www.praxis.org.uk/mass-lobby-a...

Nice straw man you're arguing with there.

For the uninitiated. These cases cost huge sums and the losing party usually pays the other party's costs. It's rarely obvious from these sorts of decisions.

Another High Court judicial review of a sponsor licence revocation in favour of the Home Office. The sponsor had used an incorrect code for 97 people, paid someone less than they said they would, had no system to monitor staff's leave expiry and other errors. www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWH...

Labour and Reform have the same conclusion. They believe too many people have come to the UK and are not sufficiently integrated. They differ on scope, policy and how they talk about it.

So. new rules on British dual nationals come in tomorrow. I have had hundreds of emails from Brits overseas impacted. Including a few tonight saying a Canadian airline will not accept expired passport. Do email lisa.ocarroll@theguardian.com if you know D.N. stopped from boarding flight from 2moro

Written statements - Written questions, answers and statements - UK Parliament Information from UK Parliament on written questions & answers, written statements and daily reports.

UPE extended by 24 months (max 3.5 years). Window to apply extended from a month to 90 days. Same rights as before. But still no route to settlement. Plus a final few ominous statements about helping support people with rebuilding their lives. questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-stat...

I can see how that is part of it for some. Others I think have unknowingly (probably being generous) accepted the political consensus it is ok to attack and demonise migrants. It's when the obvious is pointed out that they end up fighting over who is more hateful and can't budge.

If it wasn't obvious.

Morally: a disgrace
Legally: a nightmare

I can already hear the 'we are sovereign' cavalry

It's interesting and worrying to see people on here unable to see that Reform and Labour's diagnosis is ultimately the same. 'A large number of people came and it is bad for the UK'. They just differ on scope, language and policy.

It's safe to say that Reform and Labour's diagnosis is ultimately the same isn't it? 'A large number of people came and it is bad for the UK'. They just differ on scope and policy.

The hidden ICE blueprint that should horrify every American | Will Bunch An internal Department of Homeland Security document shows how ICE plans to cram thousands of detained human beings inside a Georgia warehouse.

What's more shocking than ICE's plan to cram as many 8,500 humans into massive, soul-crushing warehouses?

Seeing the actual DHS floor plan that echoes slavery ships and history's worst gulags with no rec space but a gun range for guards

My new column on the camps www.inquirer.com/opinion/ice-...

The government's immigration plans: a dog’s dinner of half-conceived policy, Reform rhetoric, mean-spirited sentiment, and profound intellectual muddle iandunt.substack.com/p/can-we-ext...

Great stuff. I'd importantly add that Earned Settlement plans HAVE to be retrospective to achieve preventing those who came post-pandemic from getting ILR. These proposals are not about numbers coming per se but about that population already here and what they represent to the RW (see B***s W**e).

There will be many people coming together to think about legal challenges.

HOWEVER

There is still the opportunity for a political solution. There are many Labour MPs v.unhappy.

There is a mass lobby in parliament on 11 March 2026 docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Not seeing any difference between those opening bullet points and Earned Settlement policy

Can the government boost domestic training by restricting migration?

In a new briefing, @msumption.bsky.social and I find that migrants on work visas are a small part of a much wider picture. Here's what you need to know, in three posts.

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/co...

Given the increases in Home Office enforcement, the regulatory squeeze on Skilled Workers and the general market, this webinar will explore key legal and practical issues impacting this big and (increasingly) complex group.

Our webinar on 25 February will focus on how to advise sponsored workers through routine and complex circumstances, from curtailment and changing jobs to visa costs and compliance concerns.

Book now to take advantage of our early bird discount! freemovement.org.uk/product/webi...

Yes that makes sense. My thought was also that MPs (especially such a large new intake) are starting from scratch which has its own benefits/issues. Can also see the issues with signposting appropriately but id imagine it is similar expectation management

really going out on a limb here, 2012 was when the financial requirements were introduced for family visas. But I can't see that really making any real difference!

Very interesting reading, especially from the perspective of a frontline advice service. I suspect there is alot MP offices could learn from how the sector triages/prioritises/maps queries.

Is 'age' included in this? I can imagine the outcome but think it would be interesting.