๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Carl Schmertmann's Avatar

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Carl Schmertmann

@cschmert.bsky.social

Demographer Retired Professor of Economics Tallahassee, Florida, USA

2,135 Followers  |  817 Following  |  839 Posts  |  Joined: 06.12.2023  |  2.4092

Latest posts by cschmert.bsky.social on Bluesky

and unless there's a good reason, you should be in a clearly marked official vehicle

07.10.2025 22:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you're a public servant doing the public's business:
(1) you shouldn't be ashamed of being filmed at work
(2) take off the mask

07.10.2025 21:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Senator Jim Banks V
@SenatorBanks
Follow g..
The 2020 Census was a fraud. The Biden admin used a shady "privacy" formula that scrambled the data and miscounted 14 states.
It included illegal immigrants and handed
Democrats extra seats. Americans deserve a fair count and l'm fighting to fix it.
Zinited Statcs SScnate
MASHNORON DEYNN
October 6, 2025
an. Thow arewutn
Socretary
U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, DXC 20230
Dear Secretary Lutaick:
I urge you to investigate and correct erroes from the 2020 Census that handed disproportionntd political power to Democrats and illogal alicns. The Census Burcau adoptod a now and opaque
voting districts. As preparod by the Biden administration, the 2020 Censas roports miscountod the population of fourteen states, ' wrongly allocating six congressional scats aod Electoral
xx conwuu tmora uy, toc taroro tu mot ฤ‘oo tnn Cunu lc pung t imber of votine districts. And the reoorts de aniovety inchaded ilecnl nhens widhout track those aliens' citiz enship status, If left uncorrected, these erroes will coetinue diluting the political power of American citizens.
Consus data plays a crucial role in allocating political roprescntation and goverment funding
Under the Constitution, cach state gets Congressional represcotutives and Electoeal College votes- based on "the whole number of persons" within the state." The number of persoes is in
tum clabaabod by a consttubocalty-mandalcd dcccacaal ccavas. Pcual agcco nely on census data to allocate billions of dollars in federal funding, much of which hinges ee opulation. And states use consus data to deaw congrossicnal and voting districts, ยปhich the
The it eiy of tie soaren alie n tor dur at ce hor inc ae oam toy ee n
nght wilbout statsica ly signilicant ciroo.
Diffcrcntial privacy is opaque and liable to mistakcn count totals. Sure cnough, the 2020 Ccnsus ovarocunted the noculation in cicht states and undercounted it in six." Tihe most extrcmi andercount was Arkansas, at 5.04%, and the largโ€ฆ

Senator Jim Banks V @SenatorBanks Follow g.. The 2020 Census was a fraud. The Biden admin used a shady "privacy" formula that scrambled the data and miscounted 14 states. It included illegal immigrants and handed Democrats extra seats. Americans deserve a fair count and l'm fighting to fix it. Zinited Statcs SScnate MASHNORON DEYNN October 6, 2025 an. Thow arewutn Socretary U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, DXC 20230 Dear Secretary Lutaick: I urge you to investigate and correct erroes from the 2020 Census that handed disproportionntd political power to Democrats and illogal alicns. The Census Burcau adoptod a now and opaque voting districts. As preparod by the Biden administration, the 2020 Censas roports miscountod the population of fourteen states, ' wrongly allocating six congressional scats aod Electoral xx conwuu tmora uy, toc taroro tu mot ฤ‘oo tnn Cunu lc pung t imber of votine districts. And the reoorts de aniovety inchaded ilecnl nhens widhout track those aliens' citiz enship status, If left uncorrected, these erroes will coetinue diluting the political power of American citizens. Consus data plays a crucial role in allocating political roprescntation and goverment funding Under the Constitution, cach state gets Congressional represcotutives and Electoeal College votes- based on "the whole number of persons" within the state." The number of persoes is in tum clabaabod by a consttubocalty-mandalcd dcccacaal ccavas. Pcual agcco nely on census data to allocate billions of dollars in federal funding, much of which hinges ee opulation. And states use consus data to deaw congrossicnal and voting districts, ยปhich the The it eiy of tie soaren alie n tor dur at ce hor inc ae oam toy ee n nght wilbout statsica ly signilicant ciroo. Diffcrcntial privacy is opaque and liable to mistakcn count totals. Sure cnough, the 2020 Ccnsus ovarocunted the noculation in cicht states and undercounted it in six." Tihe most extrcmi andercount was Arkansas, at 5.04%, and the largโ€ฆ

โ€œWho was president in 2020?โ€ is the question of our time

07.10.2025 18:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5601    ๐Ÿ” 1256    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 142    ๐Ÿ“Œ 65

It is a huge problem that the US is now a low-trust country with laws and statutes written in the context of a high-trust country. From now on they will need to be rewritten keeping in mind that any loophole will be ruthlessly exploited, with zero forbearance.

07.10.2025 15:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 14    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sides don't have to be straight. Shapes don't have to be closed. (??)

07.10.2025 15:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The question almost answers itself. Why aren't television stations showing live coverage of nothing happening? Because it's a boring visual.

07.10.2025 12:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Health Inequalities Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Health Inequalities

๐ŸšจJob alert!๐Ÿšจ

Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health is recruiting 2 postdocs. Join our team and investigate social inequalities in health!

jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...

#postdoc #demography #socialsciences #socialdata

07.10.2025 11:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Cameroon's 92-year-old President,
Paul Biya, reportedly sent statues
of himself and his wife to a
campaign event as he was unable
to attend due to old age

Cameroon's 92-year-old President, Paul Biya, reportedly sent statues of himself and his wife to a campaign event as he was unable to attend due to old age

Republicans taking notes

06.10.2025 19:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 340    ๐Ÿ” 41    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
Preview
Three Ways of Looking at Blackโ€“White Mortality Differences in the United States Everyone agrees that US Black deaths happen earlier than white deaths on average, but it is surprisingly challenging to find the best ways to summarize, quantify, and compare this gap. This review arg...

Realized I should update that this is now ungated. Everyone can now read, without subscription, the article that one reader described as having "about as close to a plot twist as one will ever see in a review essay." (I loved that comment, which has been making me smile since I read it.)

06.10.2025 16:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
06.10.2025 01:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2265    ๐Ÿ” 1079    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 58    ๐Ÿ“Œ 41

Millerโ€™s language is an almost verbatim copy of one of the powers granted Brazilโ€™s military dictatorship by Institutional Act No. 5.

(Authorization for the federal government to supersede or remove local and state authorities for reasons of โ€œnational securityโ€)

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institu...

05.10.2025 14:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Um pรกssaro de porte mรฉdio, com plumagem predominantemente amarela vibrante no corpo e na cabeรงa. As asas e a parte superior das costas sรฃo de um preto intenso e contrastante. O bico รฉ fino e preto, e os olhos possuem uma mรกscara escura ao redor. O pรกssaro estรก empoleirado em uma folha verde larga e texturizada, com fundo desfocado em tons de verde. A postura รฉ atenta, com o corpo ligeiramente inclinado para frente.
Atenรงรฃo: O alt da imagem foi gerado automaticamente.

Um pรกssaro de porte mรฉdio, com plumagem predominantemente amarela vibrante no corpo e na cabeรงa. As asas e a parte superior das costas sรฃo de um preto intenso e contrastante. O bico รฉ fino e preto, e os olhos possuem uma mรกscara escura ao redor. O pรกssaro estรก empoleirado em uma folha verde larga e texturizada, com fundo desfocado em tons de verde. A postura รฉ atenta, com o corpo ligeiramente inclinado para frente. Atenรงรฃo: O alt da imagem foi gerado automaticamente.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทIratauรก-grande
๐ŸŒŽGymnomystax mexicanus
Conservaรงรฃo:Pouco Preocupante

O iratauรก-grande รฉ uma ave da ordem Passeriformes, da famรญlia Icteridae.


๐Ÿ“ท Josรฉ Rondon

05.10.2025 12:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 188    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

Draw a little encouragement from the fact that this is a Trump appointee saying that Trump's reasoning is "untethered from the facts."

05.10.2025 00:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 361    ๐Ÿ” 64    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Good thread about Vance.

In JDV rant shown below, he treats Joy Reid as if she is in US on contingent basis. Should be "grateful" for its generosity.

Reid was *born* in New York. Grew up there and Denver. Undergrad at Harvard.

Hmmm, why might JDV view her as needing to show special 'gratitude'??

04.10.2025 14:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 746    ๐Ÿ” 192    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 33    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7
Preview
Oct. 4, 1949 | Largest U.S. Bridge Association Votes to Refuse Black Members Learn more about our history of racial injustice.

On this day in 1949, members of the largest bridge association in the U.S. voted to exclude Black players from competitions.

04.10.2025 13:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 25    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Preview
The Billionaire Behind Trumpโ€™s Deal for Universities

the usual story. rich guy wants to punish universities for not clamping down on pro-palestinian protests and for doing too much to recruit minorities. at base these guys want the top tier of american universities to become, once more, safe-spaces for their dunderheaded failsons

04.10.2025 12:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5980    ๐Ÿ” 1345    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 123    ๐Ÿ“Œ 72

maybe it should be 1776-2025

03.10.2025 18:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

My husband was detained by ICE today

Juan Muรฑoz, an American citizen, father of 2, and local government official, was peacefully protesting w. other elected officials. He was assaulted and taken away

I have had zero contact or updates since

#SOS
@duckworth.senate.gov @durbin.senate.gov

03.10.2025 17:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 26547    ๐Ÿ” 13730    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 769    ๐Ÿ“Œ 534

Just in time for the Blue Jays post-season โšพ ๐Ÿค“๐Ÿงถ

03.10.2025 17:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nunca tive problema com cachaรงa ๐Ÿ™‚

03.10.2025 17:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Uma das primeiras mรบsicas brasileiras que aprendi ๐Ÿฅƒ

03.10.2025 17:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐ŸคžI hope Day 2 is better. Give them a chance, of course. But if trouble continues, don't discount the possibility that there's something wrong with the lenses.

03.10.2025 11:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Universities Must Reject Trump Admin 'Loyalty Oath' Compacts The AAUP and AFT warn that the Trump administrationโ€™s offer to give preferential treatment to colleges and universities that court government favor in exchange for allegiance to a partisan ideological...

The Trump adminโ€™s offer to give preferential treatment to institutions that toe the party line reeks of bribery in exchange for allegiance to a partisan ideological agenda.

This is corruption.

Adherence to โ€˜loyalty oathsโ€™ would usher in a new era of thought policing in American higher education.

02.10.2025 19:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 470    ๐Ÿ” 254    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
Video thumbnail

Sanders: These projects have been appropriated. They were signed by a president. It is illegal to rescind them. And to say to people in Vermont, in New York and California, oh, you didn't vote for Donald Trump, we're going to take away funding that was supposed to go to your stateโ€ฆ illegal

03.10.2025 00:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10237    ๐Ÿ” 3203    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 230    ๐Ÿ“Œ 131

BREAKING: Our client Mario Guevara, an Emmy-winning journalist detained by ICE in retaliation for livestreaming law enforcement activity, will be deported tomorrow to El Salvador.

Mario and his family are being punished for his reporting. This cruelty is meant to stifle our free press.

02.10.2025 22:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32284    ๐Ÿ” 15542    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 653    ๐Ÿ“Œ 736

I didn't know about this setting. Thanks. Just did it. ๐Ÿ‘

02.10.2025 22:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

or Portland

02.10.2025 20:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿคž hoping you get to that same point quickly

02.10.2025 17:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies.bsky.social ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters.

Updated estimates here:

02.10.2025 16:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 127    ๐Ÿ” 36    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8

In contrast, I (very myopic, w/ something like -13 diopters of correction) had literally zero adjustment to progressives. They just worked. ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

02.10.2025 15:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@cschmert is following 20 prominent accounts