Azamat Junisbai's Avatar

Azamat Junisbai

@azamatistan.bsky.social

almaty native - california transplant - sociology professor - views are my own - πŸ‡°πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

2,153 Followers  |  44 Following  |  177 Posts  |  Joined: 24.10.2023
Posts Following

Posts by Azamat Junisbai (@azamatistan.bsky.social)

Preview
Russia’s Grinding War in Ukraine Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains, with over 1.2 million casualties. Russia is also in decline as a major economi...

What Kremlin doesn’t want you to see. Nearly 4 years after the start of the full-scale invasion, Russia has utterly failed to achieve its stated objectives while sustaining losses not seen since WW2. Now using Washington to try to get what it couldn’t on the battlefield.
www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

29.01.2026 06:33 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Ukraine liberates 300 square kilometers in southern counteroffensive, Zelensky tells AFP "I won't go into too many details, but today I can congratulate our army first and foremost β€”all the defense forces β€” because as of today, 300 (square) kilometers have been liberated," Zelensky told A...

⚑️Ukraine liberates 300 square kilometers in southern counteroffensive, Zelensky tells AFP.

"I won't go into too many details, but today I can congratulate our army first and foremost β€”all the defense forces β€” because as of today, 300 (square) kilometers have been liberated."

21.02.2026 00:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1169    πŸ” 318    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 15
Post image

πŸ”΄ 12 years ago russia invaded πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

πŸ”΄ 12 years ago russia upended the post WWII order

πŸ”΄ 12 years ago russia began committing heinous crimes in πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

πŸ”΅ 12 years of the Free World failing to stop russia; failing to call the moscow centered terrorist organization by its name

20.02.2026 08:35 β€” πŸ‘ 269    πŸ” 99    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

White House abandoning Ukraine and parroting Putin’s demands for territorial concessions is Moscow’s wildest dream come true. The silver lining is that leverage is roughly proportional to aid. As Washington’s aid shrinks, so does its capacity to impose its will on Kyiv.

12.02.2026 02:47 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
3 toddlers, 1 other killed in Russian strike on Kharkiv Oblast A Russian strike on Bohodukhiv, Kharkiv Oblast, killed four people, including three toddlers, and injured two others, Governor Oleh Syniehubov reported overnight Feb. 11.

⚑️3 toddlers, 1 other killed in Russian strike on Kharkiv Oblast.

A Russian strike on Bohodukhiv, Kharkiv Oblast, killed four people, including three toddlers, and injured two others, Governor Oleh Syniehubov reported overnight Feb. 11.

10.02.2026 23:48 β€” πŸ‘ 247    πŸ” 127    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 11
Post image

The Trump administration continues to hack away at the soft power branch that US hegemony sits on. Alienating America's most loyal European ally is as self-destructive as it gets.

06.02.2026 22:58 β€” πŸ‘ 171    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 6

A reminder that those who took for granted that Trump victory would be the end of Ukraine were wrong. Ukraine continues to hold Ru off despite the fact that Trump ended US aid. Ukraine has innovated and developed its military capacity, Europe has stepped up, and Ru is weaker than many assume.

31.01.2026 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 428    πŸ” 126    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 4
Post image Post image Post image

β€œGolden Age” is literally how Turkmenbashi & his enablers referred to his rule over Turkmenistan. The man was so fond of gold that he had multiple golden statues of himself erected all over Ashgabat. To hear the U.S. Secretary of Commerce use these exact words when addressing Trump is disorienting.

31.01.2026 04:57 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Russia’s Grinding War in Ukraine Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains, with over 1.2 million casualties. Russia is also in decline as a major economi...

What Kremlin doesn’t want you to see. Nearly 4 years after the start of the full-scale invasion, Russia has utterly failed to achieve its stated objectives while sustaining losses not seen since WW2. Now using Washington to try to get what it couldn’t on the battlefield.
www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

29.01.2026 06:33 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
New poll on healthcare: Vermonters want to extend ACA subsidies Most Vermont residents support extending the recently expired Obamacare subsidies, which were at the center of the government shutdown fight.

Americans know our health care system is broken.

A recent poll found that 70% of Vermonters support a Medicare for All single-payer system.

Congress must understand that health care is a human right β€” not a privilege.

We must pass Medicare for All.

28.01.2026 21:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1682    πŸ” 321    πŸ’¬ 60    πŸ“Œ 12
Video thumbnail

Kristi Noem AND Stephen Miller must go.

29.01.2026 00:27 β€” πŸ‘ 15199    πŸ” 4114    πŸ’¬ 653    πŸ“Œ 250

β€œThe Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.”

24.01.2026 19:47 β€” πŸ‘ 4775    πŸ” 1639    πŸ’¬ 176    πŸ“Œ 46

Trump's relentless bullying of Ukraine presented as a "peace process" is making us sound like broken records. Like, how many times do we have to say that asking Ukraine to withdraw from its most fortified region in exchange for another useless Budapest memorandum offer is a dumb proposition?

28.01.2026 04:54 β€” πŸ‘ 505    πŸ” 130    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
Russia has suffered 'more losses than any major power' since World War II, report says Russian forces have sustained nearly 1.2 million casualties, paying a steep price for limited gains since launching its war Ukraine, a new CSIS report finds.

⚑️Russia has suffered 'more losses than any major power' since World War II, report says.

Russian forces have sustained nearly 1.2 million casualties since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, paying a steep price for limited gains, a new CSIS report finds.

28.01.2026 01:29 β€” πŸ‘ 441    πŸ” 137    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 7

Why β€œpost-Soviet” is an outdated concept: We rarely describe contemporary politics as β€œpost–Cold War”; instead, we treat the Cold War as a distinct historical period that ended in 1991. By contrast, β€œpost-Soviet” continues to define societies primarily in relation to the Soviet past. 1/2

24.01.2026 05:18 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, may I say that I don’t agree with people saying ICE and CBP need β€œmore training.” They’re doing exactly what this administration has trained them toβ€”impose a reign of fear in blue cities. They don’t need more training. They need to be ripped up root and branch.

24.01.2026 23:01 β€” πŸ‘ 38737    πŸ” 9578    πŸ’¬ 1114    πŸ“Œ 894
Post image

Great to see my latest op-ed on the digital front page of The Hill's opinion section
putin lies. ALL. THE. TIME.
everyone knows that.
But why?
My two cents here: thehill.com/opinion/inte...

23.01.2026 09:43 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Trump’s vanity and chaos are no longer shocking for anyone who has been paying attention. What is shocking is the speed with which the covetous opportunists around him have descended to levels of sycophancy that are painfully recognizable for anyone who lived in personalistic authoritarian regimes.

21.01.2026 22:14 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

β€œThe failure of self-knowledge, and the inability to see your own limits β€” or worse, seeing yourself as exempt from these limits β€” is what destroys great powers. If there’s one timeless lesson of history we can extract…, that would be it. But it’s not the lesson Trump or Miller have internalized.”

21.01.2026 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image Post image

Apparently, quite a few Cabinet secretaries felt they couldn’t let January 20 pass without making the requisite statements on X. Naturally, the official WH account reposted them. It’s hard to shake the feeling that they tried to outdo one another. There are many more there but my top 4 are below:

21.01.2026 06:36 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

"Donald Trump now genuinely lives in a different reality, one in which neither grammar nor history nor the normal rules of human interaction now affect him. Also, he really is maniacally, unhealthily obsessive about the Nobel Prize."

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

19.01.2026 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 6004    πŸ” 1732    πŸ’¬ 262    πŸ“Œ 134

Trump loves Saudi Arabia. It’s an authoritarian society, which punishes dissent and is owned by the wealthiest family on earth.

Trump hates Europe. The governments there are democratically elected.

The future of America must be a vibrant democracy. Not Trump’s authoritarianism.

19.01.2026 02:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2682    πŸ” 533    πŸ’¬ 73    πŸ“Œ 13
Video thumbnail

πŸ‡°πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦The 'Yurta of Indomitability' operates in Shevchenko Park. It's a care center in Kyiv, established by the Kazakh diaspora.

Here, people can recharge, warm up, drink tea, and taste the signature Kazakh bread, cooked over a fire.

16.01.2026 21:56 β€” πŸ‘ 102    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 4

Zelenskyy and Ukrainians are at fault in the same way that an assault victim who refuses to stop resisting a serial killer is at fault. Predictably, Kremlin already stated that "Moscow agrees with Trump."

16.01.2026 06:52 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Norway announces $400 million emergency package for Ukraine's energy sector, budget "Ensuring that people can keep warm, cook food, and live reasonably normal lives is vital in enabling them to persevere in this war β€” a war that they are fighting on behalf of us all," Norwegian Forei...

⚑️ Norway announces $400 million emergency package for Ukraine's energy sector, budget.

12.01.2026 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 473    πŸ” 94    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 3

The Norwegian Nobel Prize committee has been forced to make a statement, declaring that the prize cannot be transferred.
It's hard even to comprehend how stupid this has become

10.01.2026 09:15 β€” πŸ‘ 40323    πŸ” 9973    πŸ’¬ 1401    πŸ“Œ 726
Preview
Venezuela Is a Gift to Putin and a harbinger of more Russian aggression in Europe

Venezuela may seem like a tactical loss for Russia, but in fact it's a strategic win for Putin's vision of the world. new essay:
hegemon.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

03.01.2026 18:52 β€” πŸ‘ 329    πŸ” 108    πŸ’¬ 22    πŸ“Œ 30
Post image

Today the Pentagon censured Senator Mark Kelly and moved to strip part of his earned military retirement benefits for stating the truth.

This administration is trying to convince Americans that truth is whatever it says it isβ€”even when the evidence is plainly in front of us.

05.01.2026 18:50 β€” πŸ‘ 11344    πŸ” 4172    πŸ’¬ 650    πŸ“Œ 300
Preview
Danish prime minister says a US takeover of Greenland would mark the end of NATO Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen says an American takeover of Greenland would amount to the end of the NATO military alliance.

An absolute dream come true for the Kremlin. apnews.com/article/denm...

06.01.2026 04:44 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Robert De Niro sent Ukrainians a holiday greeting β€” a simple public gesture of solidarity at a time when silence is too common.

Symbols don’t stop missiles. But they keep Ukraine visible, remind people what’s at stake, and push back against fatigue and indifference.

01.01.2026 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 783    πŸ” 185    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 8