
@leonidvolkov.bsky.social
And here is the link to support the Foundation's important work, which includes deep research of the Russian society.
donate.fbk.info/en
19/19
The head of the department Anna Birykova recorded a video (in Russian, but you can turn English subtitles on) where she elaborates more about the methodology and findings of the research:
18/19
youtu.be/lJyV2Wcoctc?...
The pro-war minority knows they are a minority. Now, the anti-war majority just needs to realize that they are the majority.
This important work was done by the Sociology Department of the Anti-Corruption Foundation founded by Alexei Navalny.
17/19
Summary: It is very likely that Russian society is on the brink of qualitative change. Anxiety is growing, the sense of instability is rising. Only about one in eight Russians supports the continuation of the war.
16/19
Although they themselves may think more cannon fodder should be sent to the front, and Putin’s propaganda keeps repeating this, they know that the majority of their fellow citizens do not think this way.
15/19
When comparing the last two slides, it immediately becomes clear: two-thirds of the Z-niks understand perfectly well that they are in the minority.
14/19
Many believe that society has split into closed bubbles, where Z-niks communicate only with other Z-niks, believing they are the majority. And many believe that propaganda has succeeded in making the majority of Russians feel that everyone supports the war.
So here’s the thing: that’s not true
13/19
... and roughly the same amount who think military spending should be increased—that’s the main support base for Putin right now, the infamous “Z-niks.”
We know that propaganda does everything possible to show the whole society that the majority supports the war, and victory at any cost.
12/19
We asked one more question, a verification question. A very important one for assessing the real sentiments in society. We just saw that radically pro-war Russians are in the minority. There are those 13% who think that a new war of mobilization is necessary to continue the war...
11/19
That’s why we wanted to find a way to sharpen the question, showing respondents that there is a price to the decision. And it turned out that Russians do not want to fight at any cost. Five times as many respondents would prefer to “end the SMO” than face a new wave of mobilization!
10/19
We believe that when we ask the question this way, the real attitude of Russians toward the war is revealed most clearly. Of course, if you ask “should the special military operation be continued?”, most people would agree. It’s easy to go with the flow. It’s scary to argue. This is reality.
9/19
This doesn’t quite look like a readiness to “fight to the bitter end” and support Putin in everything, does it?
And we especially saw this clearly when we asked the following question.
8/19
In 2024, this figure hovers around 10%—this is the percentage of Russians who believe that war should be fought at any cost. Meanwhile, the share of those who prioritize “salaries and pensions”—in other words, those who simply don’t have enough money to live—is constantly growing.
7/19
Russians do not want to fight. We’ve been asking the same question for the last three years, and even in 2022, the share of those who wanted to spend budget revenues on the war never exceeded 20%.
6/19
It turns out that despite all the propaganda efforts, the sense of stability is rapidly disappearing. This is an important trend.
No matter how much they lie on TV, claiming that Putin has everything under control—people can’t be fooled. They see that everyone around them feels anxious.
5/19
It’s become common to say that nothing is changing in Russia, that society has gotten used to the war and learned to notice it.
But in our surveys, we see a completely different picture—the picture of how society’s attitude is constantly changing, how its patience is running out.
4/19
Three times in 2024, we asked Russians about their expectations for life in the future.
We saw that the number of pessimists increased one and a half times over the past year. Something must have happened… For some reason, stability has disappeared…
3/19
The Sociology Department of the Anti-Corruption Foundation does not claim to know the ultimate truth, but we believe that the results of our research are very interesting and telling. That’s why we’ve decided to share them!
2/19
Three years since the start of the full-scale war, the debate continues about how Russians feel about it and how this attitude can even be measured.
It’s clear that asking directly is not possible, but there are plenty of ways to pose indirect questions and interpret the answers.
1/19
I'll just leave it here.
How on Earth could this have happened!?
OK, the seventh was a thriller!
And I don't really agree with all the complaints about the quality of their performance. Clock is ticking and there is no computer... that's all about psychology.
And Ding did a really great job defending in a very bad position.
Well, the fourth Ding-Gukesh game was extremely boring.
The champion has to indicate ambition, must show at least some will to fight. Ding's play was the opposite.
My post here was written before I posted the link on Twitter!
28.11.2024 17:51 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0I have just joined and did not do anything, but there are already some followers!
I wonder how it works.
Anyway, while I'm quite sceptical about this platform, let's give it a try!