Jonathan Kingham

US intel did not suggest a preemptive strike from Iran before US-Israeli attacks, AP sources say Trump administration officials told congressional staff in private briefings that U.S. intelligence did not suggest Iran was preparing to launch a preemptive strike against the U.S.

Looks like some very senior admin officials lied brazenly to journalists. "Trump administration officials told congressional staff in private briefings Sunday that U.S. intelligence did not suggest Iran was preparing to launch a preemptive strike"
apnews.com/article/iran...

Here but excluded remains the worst of all worlds from an integration perspective.

-nervously watching rapidly depleting stock of interceptors all over the region-

"How could we have known Iran might have a lot of Shaheds!?"

I genuinely think she sincerely believes everything she's saying out of some anxiety response to rising racism/fascism and I also think everything she believes in frankly insane and possibly the most unkind reading of Britain by a politician I ever seen

Strong magisterium vibes

'there is a demon that lives underneath Downing Street and possesses every Home Secretary' remains a pretty strong theory tbh

I fear the main victims of Iran’s attacks on the Gulf will be migrant workers, who make up 90% of Qatar’s population and most of that of Dubai. Are there shelters enough for them?

Refugee status to be temporary as Shabana Mahmood rips up rules on UK asylum Home secretary announces 30-month protection limit, with refugees required to leave if their home countries are later judged safe

This policy is bad for community cohesion.

You don’t build confident, contributing neighbours on rolling 30 month visas. The current 5‑year route is how people plan for the future and fully join our communities.

The Danish model won’t work here.

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

Thanks..

Mahmood trumpeting her admiration for Danish asylum policy, only to have to distance herself from its architects because they‘re massive racists. Incredible scenes

It's pretty clear that the Home Secretary (& Blue Labour more generally ) isn't doing racist things in an effort to stop Reform, she's doing them because she wants to. Last week's by-election result gave her the perfect pretext to change course; the fact she's not leapt at it speaks volumes.

Thanks v much; I will need to get hold of that Times piece

Where do you have that from, Jon, on the ES timing? It would make sense in a rational world with 180,000 consultation responses to get through.. but there was a line in the Guardian article suggesting there might be something on ES in these Rules

only if the government grant time for the debate. And even then it's take it or leave it - there's no amendments to be tabled and debated. The rules also aren't a statutory instrument, so a motion to disapprove the rules doesn't revoke the changes.

The proposal often to take Danish "vibes" [in a different party system, electoral, cultural context] though the Home Secretary says she is taking the policy measures.

That is mainly temporary protection
NB: Denmark 8 year settlement/citizenship (not 3-5-10-15-20-30 years as Labour proposes for UK)

Denmark's temporary status reforms do not lead to most of those who lose their protection and legal status leaving Denmark.

I agree. But, of course most of the settlement changes can be amended via a statement of changes to the immigration rules without parliamentary debate (changes haven't been debated since 2008). MPs already ceded a significant proportion of their oversight here to the executive.

Putting things like basic ethics aside...

... does anyone really believe that the Home Office, which cant deal with its present asylum responsibilities, is going to be able to review every application, every 30 months?

I have a bridge to sell you

Yes that’s very true; good point. And agree it would be rotten, although obvs something.

This assumes that @samfr.bsky.social Is talking about the earned settlement proposals; which would not largely come out via a Bill anyway, but via Immigration Rules.. which are not voted on.

Lucy Powell says the government's proposals om settlement proposals - doubling + tripling how long it takes those on a visa to be permanent or get citizenship - were unpopular, saying that ethnic minority voters who think border control does matter don't think the government's changes are fair

Well this is very strange... surely Goodhart is not a revisionist?

🇺🇦❤️

Its genuinely mad that we are, arguably, the most successful multicultural state on earth and instead of celebrating that we...

...keep trying to copy nations who have very evidently done worse at it than us

🎯🎯

WELL NOW, would you look at that?

A massive, 26-YEAR-LONG study of MORE THAN 2.4 MILLION people in Sweden found found NO EVIDENCE to support a causal link between acetaminophen (the API in Tylenol) use during pregnancy and increased risk of autism, ADHD, OR intellectual disability in children.

Our politics and media are riddled with people who simply do vibes on immigration. Rarely do the things they claim match up with the facts of the matter. I have lost count of the amount of times Jonathan, and others, have - in varying degrees of politeness - pointed out the codswallop being spouted.

Let’s be crystal clear, Reform has admitted any polling infringements (which it *always* claims, btw) were electorally inconsequential, but is working with Mail to use them to problematise the fact of brown people who’ve lived here decades but remain commonwealth citizens, having the right to vote.

This story has been puzzling, because im still not clear exactly what is meant to have happened where, or why DV insists there was egregious family voting but the council seems so sure nothing was raised with them on the day (bar one concern, I’m told, which apparently turned out to be innocent)

Meltdown in Gorton puts wind in the sails of Labour’s imm... Feeling vindicated by the Greens’ byelection win, MPs hope to force the home secretary to rethink her plans

The Observer reports that cohesion minister Miatta Fahnbulleh, and health secretary Wes Streeting among those ministers who think settlement reforms need rethink. Neither comment publicly.

Home Office keep conflating the asylum + the settlement changes
observer.co.uk/news/politic...