Simon Gates's Avatar

Simon Gates

@sim0ngates.bsky.social

I have no need of that hypothesis.

213 Followers  |  143 Following  |  191 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2023  |  2.2669

Latest posts by sim0ngates.bsky.social on Bluesky

Post image Post image

Free stickers suitable for flag-bearing lampposts. Send a large A4 envelope with a 1st class large stamp to me at Bragg Office, PO Box 6830 Bridport DT6 9BH and Iโ€™ll send you a sheet. #ReclaimtheFlag ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

05.10.2025 15:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1126    ๐Ÿ” 424    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 85    ๐Ÿ“Œ 78

IS THAT IT?
Pathetic.

02.10.2025 05:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Nathan Gillโ€™s treachery puts him in same league as the โ€œCambridge Fiveโ€ Reformโ€™s Russia connections may endanger our security โ€“ time for a public inquiry

Reformโ€™s Russia connections are a danger to our national security.

Itโ€™s time for a public inquiry.

01.10.2025 05:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1019    ๐Ÿ” 450    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 34    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
Goal-Driven Flexible Bayesian Design โ€“ Statistical Thinking The majority of clinicals trials that are successfully launched end with equivocal results, with confidence intervals that are too wide to allow drawing a conclusion other than โ€œthe money was spentโ€. ...

Flexible Goal-Drive Bayesian Design - video of presentation is now available at www.fharrell.com/talk/gdesign/ #Statistics #StatsSky #bayes #rct

30.09.2025 14:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Preview
Why randomized controlled trials matter and the procedures that strengthen them Randomized controlled trials are a key tool to study cause and effect. Why do they matter and how do they work?

Read more about RCTs and why theyโ€™re so important: ourworldindata.org/randomized-c...

24.09.2025 14:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
BMJ. 2001 Sep 29;323(7315):711.
Separate vaccines could endanger children
Zosia Kmietowicz 1
Author information
Copyright and License information
PMCID: PMC1121280
Experts have declared that the current fad among some parents to give their children single injections against measles, mumps, and rubella rather than the triple MMR vaccine is a โ€œbackward stepโ€ that could endanger their children's health.
There is no evidence that using separate vaccines to immunise children against these childhood diseases is either safe or effective

BMJ. 2001 Sep 29;323(7315):711. Separate vaccines could endanger children Zosia Kmietowicz 1 Author information Copyright and License information PMCID: PMC1121280 Experts have declared that the current fad among some parents to give their children single injections against measles, mumps, and rubella rather than the triple MMR vaccine is a โ€œbackward stepโ€ that could endanger their children's health. There is no evidence that using separate vaccines to immunise children against these childhood diseases is either safe or effective

This is from @bmj.com from 24 years ago, for goodness sake (it was countering Wakefieldโ€™s anti-vaxx nonsense)

RFK Jr, Trump and the MDs at the press conference today who are their anti-vaxx lackeysโ€”Drs Oz, Bhattacharya, & Makaryโ€”are playing such a dangerous game ๐Ÿ˜ข

23.09.2025 01:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 41    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Trump channelling Andrew Wakefield.

23.09.2025 06:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image 18.09.2025 10:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1143    ๐Ÿ” 444    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 22
The Bone & Joint Journal.
Extract from article titled 'Clinical trials in Trauma and Orthopaedics: time to think Bayesian?'

The Bone & Joint Journal. Extract from article titled 'Clinical trials in Trauma and Orthopaedics: time to think Bayesian?'

The use of Bayesian methods in the design of trials and the analysis of the findings provides several potential benefits, which may be particularly applicable in Trauma & Orthopaedic surgery.

#ClinicalTrials #BayesianStatistics #RCTs #OrthoSky
@docfarrow.bsky.social

ow.ly/xeXm50WRwZN

10.09.2025 16:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Join us at #atmc25 as we explore "Better Trials Through Better Methods"
Invited speakers and program details now available - more at www.atmc25.com

Secure your ticket today! Early๐Ÿฆ must end 26/9

10.09.2025 03:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
What is executive function? In a recent post about the abilities and personality traits required to complete a PhD program, I mentioned the concept of executive function. From some of the responses I received, I gather that itโ€™s...

I confused some people recently when I talked about executive function, so I wrote an entire post on the topic.
blog.genesmindsmachines.com/p/what-is-ex...

08.09.2025 18:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Latest in making it up as you go along

05.09.2025 10:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Right side of history ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ #ScottishIndependence #StillYes

04.09.2025 20:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 726    ๐Ÿ” 153    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

The Tories also did this if I remember correctly

03.09.2025 17:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
LinkedIn This link will take you to a page thatโ€™s not on LinkedIn

Please add your name to our open letter urging Ministers to act now lnkd.in/ejJ2nrva 3/3

30.08.2025 14:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 141    ๐Ÿ” 53    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
LinkedIn This link will take you to a page thatโ€™s not on LinkedIn

Theyโ€™re excluded from Government support that's available for other museums, art galleries and theatres.

The Association of Science and Discovery Centres is calling on the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (DSIT) to safeguard these vital institutions for the next generationโ€ฆ 2/3

30.08.2025 14:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 163    ๐Ÿ” 41    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Post image

For over 25 years, science and discovery centres have been at the heart of inspiring millions of people to explore, question, and be part of UK science and technology.

But they're seriously under threatโ€ฆ 1/3

30.08.2025 14:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 405    ๐Ÿ” 201    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 22
Preview
Vaccine warning for England as one in five children start school unprotected Experts say country needs โ€˜wake up callโ€™ with levels far below those needed for herd immunity

Measles, mumps, rubella, diphtheria, polio, tetanus.

Diseases that used to terrorise families, killing children & babies in their thousands.

Now we have vaccines - safe & miraculous life savers.

Please, parents, use them.

Protect your precious children ๐Ÿฉท

www.theguardian.com/society/2025...

28.08.2025 20:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 428    ๐Ÿ” 183    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
Preview
An open letter to Nigel Farage - Bishop Steven's Blog Bishop Steven writes an open letter in response to Nigel Farage MP's immigration policy which was launched in Oxford this week.

A courteous but very impressive rebuke to Nigel Farage from the Bishop of Oxford.

"I heard no compassion in what you said...".

"I disagree profoundly with your attempts to ... increase fear of the stranger in our communities".

Do read.
blogs.oxford.anglican.org/an-open-lett...

28.08.2025 21:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 609    ๐Ÿ” 210    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

Thanks - I broadly agree with the methodology hub article but I think they are not nearly forceful enough. Loads of single arm trials get conducted that should have been randomised (or at least that's my impression!).

25.08.2025 07:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

See also Rishi Sunak

24.08.2025 10:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Registration is open for the 2025 Australian Trials Methodology Conference (held on 20th November). For more information please visit:
atmc25.com/home

#atmc25

20.08.2025 03:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Yes absolutely.
"Effectiveness"
"Evaluate"
It's just an audit.

20.08.2025 07:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Real world data have many strengths - coverage; scale; & ease of access. Proponents suggest they are thus ideal for estimating treatment effects โ€“ suggesting results will be more generalisable than those from randomised trials (and avoid the costs/labour of running trials) 2/9

18.08.2025 06:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

oops typo
posterior

13.08.2025 08:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

But why do they have to drag "statistical significance" into it? Just report the postrior probabilities.

13.08.2025 08:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Happy for people to contact me if you have any queries.

13.08.2025 08:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Biostatistician - Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit - 105965 - Grade 7 This post is for a Biostatistician to be the main statistical scientist for a methodological project on improving statistical methods for the design and analysis of clinical trials in paediatric cance...

Job available for a statistician to work on a clinical trials methodology project on improving statistical methods for paediatric cancer ttrials.

Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, University of Birmingham

Closes 22 September

edzz.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

13.08.2025 08:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think this issue is one of the most appealing aspects of Bayes. With Bayes the posterior distribution is the basis for inference, and it is invariant to the design.

12.08.2025 13:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A letter from myself and @jdwilko.bsky.social that expands on this a bit more. Thanks to Fertility and Sterility for the opportunity.

doi.org/10.1016/j.fe...

12.08.2025 09:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 54    ๐Ÿ” 25    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

@sim0ngates is following 20 prominent accounts