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Simon Gates

@sim0ngates.bsky.social

I have no need of that hypothesis.

228 Followers  |  150 Following  |  265 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2023
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Posts by Simon Gates (@sim0ngates.bsky.social)

I don't really understand what has happened to Wes Streeting.

01.03.2026 06:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Bit harsh on halibuts

28.02.2026 18:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Urge Your MP to Attend the Debate on the EU Referendum Anniversary Nearly a decade after the 2016 referendum, the effects of Brexit are no longer theoretical. They are visible in the economy, in pressures on public finances, and in the UKโ€™s changing role internationa...

๐Ÿ’ฅ This "Write to your MP" call has had an extraordinary resonse -- nearly 12,000 emails now landing in the inboxes of over 600 MPs. ๐Ÿ’ฅ

And the debate is tomorrow.

If you've not yet asked your MP to attend, please do so NOW - and also SHARE this post/link.

Thank you.

23.02.2026 08:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 220    ๐Ÿ” 112    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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๐Ÿ”ฅ Write to you MP now!!

Here is the link you need โ€”> www.europeanmovement.co.uk/contact-mp-e...

20.02.2026 07:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 162    ๐Ÿ” 88    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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โญ NEW PAPER โญ on a Bayesian approach to sample size calculations for external validation of risk prediction models - account for uncertainty in the assumed true performance of the model - plus calculate assurance probabilities & the value of information
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

16.02.2026 08:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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The Representation of the People Bill is a good start, but doesn't go nearly far enough. First Past the Post leaves millions unfairly shut out of democracy.

#Democracy #ElectoralReform

13.02.2026 00:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 167    ๐Ÿ” 43    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Maybe the start of an outbreak of common sense? We can hope

11.02.2026 08:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein files | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein files
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/08/e...

09.02.2026 11:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 23    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Exactly

09.02.2026 08:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Finally

08.02.2026 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We need a new word - "corruption" isn't nearly strong enough

03.02.2026 07:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Useful for what, though?

01.02.2026 14:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This isn't correct. One of the paper's points was that it depends on the proportion of "true" hypotheses that could potentially be tested. If it is low, then the majority of "positive" results will be false positives.

(I'm not defending significance testing here)

01.02.2026 05:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Many psychopaths start out with animal cruelty.

25.01.2026 14:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The shooting of Alex Pretti was (US) state sanctioned murder and has been followed up by attempts to destroy evidence and stop local police (and even the FBI) from investigating.

Minnesota police are trying to counter the lies and illegality.

Terrifying

open.substack.com/pub/heatherc...

25.01.2026 08:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 583    ๐Ÿ” 181    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Worth remembering when looking at the horrific scenes in the US right now that both Reform and the Tories have pledged to bring in ICE-style organisations to the UK if they win power

24.01.2026 22:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3209    ๐Ÿ” 1515    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 98    ๐Ÿ“Œ 62
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The US granted visas to Jews but only allowed 30,000 in from Germany a year. You had to wait for your number to come up.

Meet Robert Smallbones. An unassuming British diplomat who 'hacked' this system so effectively (saving 48 THOUSAND Jews) the UK government kept his scheme secret for decades /1 ๐Ÿงต

21.01.2026 12:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1795    ๐Ÿ” 860    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 23    ๐Ÿ“Œ 123

Good news - just a shame that this story has to include Conservative and Reform politicians saying stupid things, and not pointing out how idiotic they are.

21.01.2026 10:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hard to credit that Peter Kyle actually believes this though.

20.01.2026 08:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Absolutely

19.01.2026 20:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Dr. Gladys West, Mathematician Whose Work Made GPS Possible, Dies at 95 ALEXANDRIA, VA โ€” Dr. Gladys West, the pioneering mathematician whose work laid the foundation for modern GPS technology, has died. She passed away

Dr. Gladys West, the pioneering mathematician whose work laid the foundation for modern GPS technology, has died. She was 95.

19.01.2026 18:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 27301    ๐Ÿ” 9641    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 550    ๐Ÿ“Œ 504
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You are not alone.

19.01.2026 18:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks for replying anyway!

18.01.2026 14:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Indeed!
I guess it comes down to how accurately you can predict outcomes of the trial population without the intervention.

18.01.2026 12:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's a serious question. There are a LOT of single arm trials in oncology, and people believe them. Sometimes that seems reasonable, other times less so.
So I guess it's "it depends"?

18.01.2026 12:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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