justin key canfil

My latest publication, and my first published under my @newamerica.org affiliation: “The Nonproliferation Implications of the Spread of Emerging Technologies” with commentary by @jamiewithorne.bsky.social @lrand11.bsky.social @julesgeorge.bsky.social @jcanfil.bsky.social

Agreed, in a totally different class!

Yes! The Solist series has won a bunch of awards. Impressive work by a youngish distillery.

The Kavalan distillery is so great (as is the rest of Yilan). There are several distilleries in Taiwan, though. The other most prominent one is Omar (Nantou), which is state-owned. The rivalry between them is a very interesting story. Kavalan/King Car is superior because they got a head start.

Chinese college gives Harvard international students "unconditional offers" Hong Kong University of Science and Technology said it would be opening its doors to Harvard students "amid global academic shifts."

China knows an own-goal when it sees one. www.newsweek.com/harvard-hkus...

New Publication Alert: "Innovation and Interdependence:
Evidence from Gene-Editing Technology" is now out in
@isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Check out this cool paper by
@cobrienudry.bsky.social and Tyler Pratt.
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...

Serving with honor doesn’t always mean everyone does. Two Army veterans discuss serving under a commander convicted and later pardoned for war crimes in Afghanistan and the lasting impact of those events. warontherocks.com/episode/sold...

Just published on APSR First View: "How Cases Speak to One Another: Using Translation to Rethink Generalization in Political Science Research" by Erica Simmons and Nicholas Rush Smith. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The NASA office of technology, policy and strategy as well as the office of the chief scientist are both being shut down, and its overall science budget may be slashed by as much as 50%.

Pentagon guts national security program that harnessed social science Dozens of U.S. academics lose grants from Minerva program for studies related to terrorism, drug trafficking, and other threats

Gutting the Minerva program means the loss of one of our last funding sources for long-term, risky, ambitious data collection on political violence. Almost impossible to replace with other sources (though we should try). Not even penny-wise, just foolish. This makes us dumber and less safe

The Pentagon’s ‘Replicator’ drone bonanza faces an uncertain future At stake is the military's ability to adjust to the future of war and compete with China, its main rival.

Great read on the US Replicator programmes which aims to do military acquisition differently and address the dominance of China on drones.
Europe needs a Replicator - and a Kathleen Hicks!

www.defensenews.com/pentagon/202...

PSA for PhD/PhD-bound students! Interested in 🇨🇳 politics/foreign policy? NBR is offering generous fellowships ($40-50k) to set aside an entire year for Chinese language improvement. Info session Dec 12. US citizens/PRs only. www.nbr.org/chinese-lang...

What Are Tariffs? U.S. Presidents Trump and Biden have both turned to tariffs to support local industries amid economic confrontation with China. Here’s how these taxes work and how they’ve been used historically.

If you need a refresher on tariffs, @cfr.org's got you. What are tariffs, who uses them, who pays? www.cfr.org/backgrounder...

#FirstView: UCSDPoliSci's Michael Joseph and Michael Poznansky ask why some of the most radical innovations of the last century came from orgs shrouded in secrecy.
The findings have important implications for debates about tech, innovation, and US-China rivalry.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Emerging Details of Chinese Hack Leave U.S. Officials Increasingly Concerned Leaders of the big telecommunications companies were summoned to the White House to discuss strategies for overhauling the security of the nation’s telecommunications networks amid growing alarm at th...

“I’d have to say the Chinese have matched, or exceeded, what we can do — and we didn’t see this one coming.” Quite a statement about Salt Typhoon.

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/u...

Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...

Read this great new story about weather weapons and weather control.

By @jcanfil.bsky.social

In @thebulletin.org

thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...

#climatechange #cloudseeding @jessimckenzi.bsky.social

Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...

Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories

Fascinating article by @jcanfil.bsky.social @thebulletin.org

Traces contemporary conspiracy theories about weather control back to real history of weather weapons

thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...

Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...

Happy that my article on hurricane weapons is finally online @thebulletin.org.

No, we can’t control the weather—but not for lack of trying:

thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...

Also known as the Drone Anti-Submarine Helicopter (DASH), the only nuclear-armed unmanned aerial vehicle. Operational range was about 35 miles and flight endurance was approximately 2 hours. The yield of the B57 bomb was about 5 kilotons.

The cover of the November 21, 1983, edition of Newsweek, with the text: "TV"s Nuclear Nightmare Public Service or Propaganda? How Will It Affect Children? Below this is a color photo of a scene from the movie (oversaturated in orange and yellow) of a large mushroom cloud rising over a road and farm fields, as a young man runs toward the camera while glancing back at the cloud.

The cover of the November 19-25 edition of TV Guide with the text: "America is Hit 'The Day After Brings Nuclear War Horror ... and Hot Controversy" The cover is a color photo montage of a nuclear fireball, in front of which are running (toward the camera) a young boy in a striped shirt and, behind him, andolder man (John Cullum) in a plaid shirt and blue jeans.

Tonight in 1983, more than 100 million Americans saw multiple thermonuclear weapons destroy Kansas City, Missouri, in “The Day After” on ABC. A.C. Nielsen Company reported that 62 percent of television sets that night were tuned to the film. I watched in my packed college dorm lounge. How about you?

"Power Rules: Practical Statistical Power Calculations"

Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations.

Feedback welcomed!

www.carlislerainey.com/power-rules/...

Thanks again Tom!

New #dataset on International #Cyber Expression out in Journal of Peace Research. @jcanfil.bsky.social collects >34K official government statements on cyberspace. I love this figure showing that the state focus has shifted.

New Sources on Sputnik Documents added to DigitalArchive.org provide a look at the origins of Sputnik, the first Soviet satellite.

Sputnik was 66 years ago today. I curated a set of about a dozen original Soviet archival sources (translated!) on the origins of the world's first satellite, hosted by The Wilson Center in Washington, DC: www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/ne... #histsci #histtech

In September, 1966 the former Soviet Union suffered blowouts on five natural gas (methane) wells and despite their best efforts, including hydraulic fracturi... USSR used nuclear bombs to stop gas well blowouts

Today in 1966, the Soviet Union detonated a 30-kiloton nuclear device 5,026 feet underground to successfully extinguish a natural gas fire that had raged out of control for nearly three years in the Urta-Bulak gas field in the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic.

Thanks! I should’ve also mentioned - and skynet ?

Hi polisky - Carnegie Mellon is hiring in IR/security! Junior/senior lines. Apply by 10/23. Happy to answer questions apply.interfolio.com/132453

@profmusgrave.bsky.social please add me to polisky?