Kacper Szulecki

@nupinytt.bsky.social @cicero.oslo.no @uio.no

Hvorfor Norge har et stort implementeringsetterslep i energisektoren Historisk har det i stor grad vært samsvar mellom Norges og EUs energipolitikk. Likevel henger Norge et par runder bak EU i å innlemme regelverk i denne sektoren. Hvorfor har det oppstått et slik impl...

Norway is usually the EU’s star pupil on EØS implementation, but ... not in energy.

A new article shows the lag isn’t about admin capacity, but politics: EU energy rules have become a lightning rod in Norway’s polarized debate.

Full piece in Norwegian: tidsskriftet-ip.no/index.php/in...

Amerikansk gass kan bli Europas nye sikkerhetsrisiko Kontinentets sikkerhet ligger i å fase ut avhengigheten av fossilt brensel. Det må Norge være klar over.

USAs nasjonale sikkerhetsstrategi for 2025 fremstiller eksplisitt energieksport som et middel til å utøve makt.

www.aftenposten.no/meninger/deb...

@clingendael.bsky.social @nupinytt.bsky.social @ecprenergy.bsky.social

Europe's Selective Blindness on Gas A new policy brief shows that Europe is rapidly replacing its dependence on Russian pipeline gas with a dependence on US liquefied natural gas (LNG).

www.clingendael.org/publication/...

True energy security doesn’t come from choosing a “better” gas supplier.

It comes from needing less gas at all:

✔️ faster renewables deployment
✔️ electrification and grid expansion
✔️ energy efficiency
✔️ serious monitoring of supplier concentration

📄 Full report: Europe’s Selective Blindness on Gas

In the current political landscape, especially under US 'energy dominance', Energy is no longer just a commodity.

It’s a geopolitical tool.

Recent debates linking LNG supply to EU climate and trade policies show how dependence on a dominant supplier turns into leverage—and lock‑in.

EU legislation effectively treats “non‑Russian” gas as diversified.

But importing a majority of gas from any single country—ally or not—creates risks:

• price volatility
• higher costs
• geopolitical pressure

That’s not real energy security.

Between 2019 and 2025, EU gas imports from Russia fell by more than 80%.

At the same time, US LNG imports to Europe increased nearly six‑fold.

When Norway is treated as part of Europe’s energy system, over 59% of Europe’s LNG now comes from the US.

Europe says it has diversified away from Russian gas.
But the data tells a different story.

A new analysis @piria.bsky.social Raffaele Piria, Hannah Lentschig, Louise van Schaik and I just published shows the EU has largely swapped one dependency for another—from Russia to the US.

🧵⬇️

It is certainly a pleasure to read your own text in Spanish, and an honor to be part of such a publication in an outlet with a century long history! @nupinytt.bsky.social @masarykuniversity.bsky.social

and @tevameyer.bsky.social on dependencies in the uranium supply chain

The issue, bringing together analysts, but also pronuclear policymakers & lobbyists, had - in my view - an overly optimistic tone. So I hoped to add a pinch of salt (or more)

There are also more sober voices on board, e.g. @marcosiddi.bsky.social on the geopolitical dangers posed by #ROSATOM...

In the new issue of @lavanguardia.com Vanguardia Dossier Jan Osicka & I are questioning the possibility of a nuclear renaissance given the systemic & structural problems of the☢️industry even if the political atmosphere around it has visibly changed recently

"La nueva era atómica"
lnkd.in/eTcJcN4a

@nupinytt.bsky.social @cssn.org @ecprsgeu.bsky.social @ecprtheloop.bsky.social @uio-oceh.bsky.social @uio.no @oberthuerseb.bsky.social @indraoverland.bsky.social @piria.bsky.social @climatestrategies.bsky.social @fsr-eui.bsky.social

🔊 Submit papers & panels by Jan 9 to one of our sections at
@ecpr.bsky.social Gen Conf in Krakow:

🍃 Climate policy: ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

💹 Geoeconomics and economic statecraft ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

🛢️ Everything else energy policy, politics & governance
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

Webinar: Europe’s Green Transition: Norway’s Role, Promises and Challenges | NUPI This webinar brings together experts and policymakers to explore Norway’s evolving partnership with the EU in shaping a sustainable future.

What does Norway bring to Europe’s green shift? What challenges does EU regulation bring for Norway?

Join us for an insightful webinar with DG CLIMA!

📅 Date: 28 November, 13:30-15:00 CET

🔗 Register here: nupinytt.wufoo.com/forms/m13a3y...

#EnergyTransition #GreenDeal #Norway #ClimatePolicy

The Political Economy of Global Climate Action: Where Does the West Go Next After COP28? | NUPI This report offers a critical, candid examination of the landscape of global climate action. Current efforts are lacking even amid consecutive UN climate...

www.nupi.no/en/publicati... @nupinytt.bsky.social @cssn.org

In February 2024, we argued that a second wave of #populism looms over Western democracies, that it can be "wrested from power but not entirely dispelled". Yesterday's presidential election results in #Poland illustrate this. Liberals in PL & elsewhere must get their act together quickly

ARENA Tuesday Seminar: Kacper Szulecki - ARENA Centre for European Studies Kacper Szulecki presents the paper Populism, the Energy Transition, and International Politics at the Tuesday Seminar on 10 June 2025.

Oslo folks: join us on 10 June for a talk on populism and the domestic and international dimenstions of energy politics!

I was invited to comment on the Victoria Harms' long awaited monograph on the East-West network of independent activists and intellectuals during the Cold War. Join us today (Friday) for an online panel!

Mark your calendar for the next session of our Book of the Month series, co-organized with @ceureviewofbooks.bsky.social!

🗓️ March 28, 6pm
🔴🎥 Live on YouTube

🗣️ Victoria Harms
🗣️ @szulecki.bsky.social
🗣️ Szabolcs Laszlo
🗣️ Adrian Matus

Details:
👉 tinyurl.com/4n55efuw

Vacancy: Principal Investigator on Just Decarbonization | GreenDeal-NET Apply for a five-year postdoc opportunity in Just Decarbonization at ULB and VUB under the SWIFT initiative, focusing on socio-ecological justice and policy impact

📢Principal Investigator on Just Decarbonization

@ulbruxelles.bsky.social & VUB seek a researcher for a 5-year postdoc in Brussels, exploring justice in decarbonization. Lead research, collaborate across disciplines & mentor PhDs

📑 Full-time, start April 2025
⏰ Apply by 1 March

Details & apply 👇

"EUs ferske forslag om flere utenlandskabler i Nordsjøen vil sette sinnene i kok blant mange norske politikere og velgere"

Med @atgullberg.bsky.social skriver vi om dagens beslutning om å styrke EUs energiunion i @dagensnaeringsliv.bsky.social

www.dn.no/innlegg/ener...

@nupinytt.bsky.social

Bo prąd za drogi. Norwegia awanturuje się z UE i zmierza ku populizmowi W niektórych częściach Norwegii ceny prądu wzrosły nawet stukrotnie. Norwescy politycy zwalają winę na umowy z UE - pisze Kacper Szulecki*.

W @wyborcza.pl o niedawnym przetasowaniu w norweskim rządzie i zarażeniu debaty publicznej bakcylem populizmu.

[Ten stukrotny wzrost cen prądu był chwilowy i miejscowy, ale widać redakcja uznała, że się kliknie...]
wyborcza.pl/7,75399,3168...

I'm not an expert in defense and security, not sure which of the minarals Norway has and specifically thoise that we cover in the report are relevant for the defense industry. For me the tradeoff is more between the global goal of protecting the climate and local environmental concerns

🌱 The report makes a number of concrete policy recommendations, including stronger policy coordination, increased funding for innovation, and streamlined regulations. Only then can the EU-Norway Green Alliance achieve its ambitious goals. #PolicyRecommendations #GreenFuture

🏗️ Critical minerals are essential for green tech, and Norway has vast resources, but mining policies are not keeping up and societal opposition will hold it back. Red tape and local environmental opposition slow down development, and the global importance is not highlighted #CriticalMinerals

🔋 Norway’s potential in the battery industry is significant, yet underutilized. The lack of a cohesive national strategy and insufficient investment in R&D are major roadblocks and we are already seen the flight of companies because of international competition #BatteryIndustry #Innovation

🌍 The EU-Norway Green Alliance aims high, but faces significant challenges. Regulatory misalignment and differing priorities between the EU and Norway hinder progress in the critical minerals and battery sectors. #GreenAlliance #Sustainability