Also, a majority of ICE opponents were expressing support for ICE just six months ago. If you can't imagine supporting ICE six months ago, these people are not like you, they haven't suddenly converted to be like you, and messaging that appeals to you will turn them off.

Our higher rates put a lot more money into the system. For that to not subsidize advances, you'd have to claim that literally 100% of that extra money was wasted. It really is almost that simple.

Something about fabricated reality hurts my weird autistic brain, and the weeks after the rollout were brutal. People were euphoric to the point of mania over stuff that simply didn't matter. And now they don't even consider they might have been wrong, they're certain something must have changed.

People need to differentiate between "it's a bubble, these companies will never justify their crazy spending" and "it's a bubble, the technology will disappear". The first one might be true, the second one absolutely is not.

I think it's basically never OK to suggest the thing that Bluesky bans you for suggesting. But honestly, if someone is demanding a horrific mass culling of the human population, it feels kind of reasonable to say "you first".

In all sincerity that's what DSA is. And it creates this toxic dynamic where a bunch of people who don't like politics have to obsessively engage with it, because that's the premise of the social club that means so much to them.

I always got so annoyed when people would wish he'd return to "Mars Elon." None of the Mars stuff was true! He was saying stuff that was provably bullshit. The Mars stuff was a giant flaming "I'm a literal psychopath" sign.

David Frum called it McConnell's Waterloo. Obama was willing to make a deal, you lose an election you're supposed to deal, but McConnell just completely rejected normal governance. And in doing so he reduced the Republican party to incoherent rage mindlessly lashing out against America. Heckuva job.

That's the maddening thing about Trump the peace candidate. He loves shows of dominance and power, so he talks CONSTANTLY about his love of war and violence and how he will carry about both without restraint. He could not have been more open about his intentions. People need to just own their shame.

And in the video that "proved" he opposed the war, he was actually annoyed that it was taking so long to launch, and said if he were president he wouldn't waste so much time talking before starting wars. He literally said that on the record, you just had to watch the damn video!

Rewatched recently, can confirm. It's all so painfully perfect, with special note for a bit that wasn't originally planned - they lost because they put in a new captain based purely on the shit-posting value of his selection, which is 110% something the current crowd would do.

Trump would 100% turn the defense grid on Earth - but he would never kill himself, so after we'd be stuck with him screaming rigged and claiming it was all fake news lies.

A young Bernie Sanders wrote that women who didn't put out were just repressed by the patriarchy, and frankly he was not one of the worst offenders. That era of leftism was rancid on gender and sex, and they dismissed any criticism as bourgeois or puritanical.

Pragmatism should be clarifying. Self righteous moralising should be trumped by "ok, but that won't function in the world and you have no plans to make it function." But people don't like being pragmatic, and when the incentive structure doesn't encourage it things devolve.

I think the weaponization (definitely inevitable, people are people) really plays into that. Because the group you're competing with is quite insular, and honestly being a bit arcane and off-putting creates an advantage for the in-group who know how to navigate it.

Nothing like a coherent reckoning. You could make the case that dissatisfaction with Bush helped discredit the Republican establishment, but there was no policy critique. Trump said everyone was a loser but him, and he seemed to really mean it (because he always does), and an angry base ate it up.

So many people on here imagine the Democratic party as a powerful independent agent driving much of our politics. Imagining the Democratic party literally doesn't exist would be closer to the truth. Inter part politics matter some, but mostly the Dems just reflect the reality of a 50% coalition.

Frankly the UK is a good reminder why you can't have multiple parties in FPTP. Like in the American system educated cosmopolitan types are a hugely influential minority in the Dem coalition, and in the UK they vote LibDem and might as well not exist. FPTP breaks down BAD with multiple parties.

I have to deal with the world as it is and I resent also having to deal with their pathetic delusional coping mechanisms... then I realize that resentment is its own kind of irrational bias, and get to feel bad about that. Fun brain!

The bespoke online definition of liberal is vital for following the factional debates on here, but the factional debates on here barely relate to the country's actual political fault lines, and following them pushes you out of reality. Using the American definition of liberal is a useful corrective.

In 2016 we elected the star of a network reality show president. I struggle to think of a more "internet is not real life" outcome than that. He's more recently staffed his administration with the most terminally online weirdos alive, and their messaging success suggests most people live elsewhere.

Fetterman was always a thin-skinned asshole who doubled down and lashed out at criticism. No way to predict exactly how that will go, but it's never going to be good. And people pretending he changed just want an excuse for the next time some toxic creep excites them. Don't support assholes!

You have to appeal to racists to win elections. You don't have to appeal to Richard Hanania. He has no cachet with normie racists, his weird rat-adjacent "race realism" does not represent their views. He's nobody, and people treating him as somebody are telling on themselves.

Unless inflation is up, in which case vicar of Satan party can expect a narrow majority.

I mean they gave him the prize for not being George Bush. And if we're being honest, with hindsight, that probably holds up better than half the peace prizes they've handed out.

People are seeing a constant stream of real horrors, and so they won't believe you when you tell them their emotional response is unreasonable. Arguably it is reasonable! But the world is always full of horror, you have to tune it out to function, and social media is making that so much harder.

And the real kicker is, half the time Donald Trump refuses to pretend the pretext has anything to do with it - but the press will ignore him and run with it anyway!

One of the dominant themes of the Trump era. He'll rant about something utterly deranged (American Muslims celebrating 9/11, Obama spying on him, whatever), his minions will scramble to find something they can pretend he was talking about, the press treats that blatant post-hoc pretext as serious.

Affinity bias is an incredibly powerful force in politics, and a 36 year old educated cosmopolitan former rose Twitter poster is affinity bias crack for Bkuesky demos. Everything she says and does seems more positive because of that affinity bias, which is not universally shared.

A slogan is a way to signal your sensibilities. And so people on here who are incandescent with rage, they want to at LEAST hear "abolish ICE", they want to feel like politicians reflect their feelings. But everyone else wants that too, and they have very different sensibilities from people on here.