VA forecasts out now.
statenavigate.org/election-for...
@chaznuttycombe.bsky.social
On X much more than here. President of @statenavigate.org, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. #1 state legislative forecaster in the country. VT Alumni. Opinions my own. Contact: chaz@statenavigate.org
VA forecasts out now.
statenavigate.org/election-for...
Get ready.
July 28th.
Are Virginia Democrats hopeless in Hopewell this year?
statenavigate.org/are-virginia...
You can find me on X for primary election content, or visit our site statenavigate.org/virginia
17.06.2025 00:11 β π 4 π 2 π¬ 4 π 0Who is the most electable candidate for Attorney General on the Democratic side?
statenavigate.org/which-democr...
Fair, though his opponents were all Democrats.
05.06.2025 22:09 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0βI think who helps [Spanberger] the best I think is @aaronrouse.bsky.social" - VA GOP operative
statenavigate.org/which-democr...
New from me at @statenavigate.org: Democratic primary voters tend to rank a candidate's 'electability' high on their priority list for who they decide to support.
So, which Democratic candidate for Virginia Lieutenant Governor is the most electable?
statenavigate.org/which-democr...
State Navigate's Virginia site is LIVE.
statenavigate.org
LIVE on @statenavigate.org South Carolina:
1. Social media links for 2024 candidates
2. Campaign finance details for 2024 candidates, including donations received and expenditures made. Includes sortable tables by name, date, and amount!
statenavigate.org/south-caroli...
Wisconsin, Alaska, and West Virginia lead the pack for the @statenavigate.org priority launch formula contest open.substack.com/pub/statenav...
29.04.2025 21:08 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Wisconsin, Alaska, and West Virginia lead the pack for the @statenavigate.org priority launch formula contest open.substack.com/pub/statenav...
29.04.2025 21:08 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0KY MO RI
25.04.2025 16:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0The following states do not qualify for our team to work at getting them out in 2025 because of a lack of survey votes, but there's still time to vote! β
WA OR ID WY ND SD KS LA VT MA
After being out-fundraised by @katmabu.bsky.social, Jan Schakowsky is retiring. politico.com/news/2025/04...
23.04.2025 18:09 β π 659 π 86 π¬ 39 π 71Take our 1-minute survey to help us determine what states we should launch in this year! docs.google.com/forms/d/1-wM...
22.04.2025 14:49 β π 3 π 3 π¬ 0 π 1Take our survey and vote for what state we should launch in after SC UT VA!
22.04.2025 02:42 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0In a few weeks, we will have finished our first state, which will serve as a framework for building out elsewhere. What state should we launch in next? You decide! Check out the latest issue of our newsletter to see how: open.substack.com/pub/statenav...
21.04.2025 21:57 β π 4 π 1 π¬ 3 π 1EVENT ANNOUNCEMENT
@statenavigate.org will be launching its 2025 VA election forecast launch at its first-ever fundraiser on June 29th. Ticket-goers get to see the forecast 1 month before it becomes public.
Be there, or fall behind the competition!
statenavigate.org/launch-fundr...
If we're in a recession on Election Day 2025 as a result of all this, I think people should start to consider that there is a tangible, but minor chance Democrats create a supermajority in the Virginia House of Delegates this year.
06.04.2025 23:11 β π 39 π 3 π¬ 2 π 2State Navigate: South Carolina (Pre-Alpha) is LIVE.
statenavigate.org
Coming next week on @statenavigate.org
26.03.2025 17:29 β π 10 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Coming soon: @statenavigate.org, South Carolina.
17.03.2025 02:17 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0By the skin of their teeth, Iowa House Republicans have held their supermajority. x.com/ChazNuttycom...
12.03.2025 01:40 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Live thread for results. x.com/ChazNuttycom...
12.03.2025 01:13 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Thread from me on tonight's special in the Iowa House, where the GOP supermajority will be decided. I'm expecting a single-digit race based on all available info, but specials are less predictable than generals given the fluctuation in turnout between each special.
x.com/ChazNuttycom...
and Ukraine. Obviously some of these issues (particularly Ukraine and inflation) weren't age-specific issues but IMO the Zoomer generation was one group that reacted the hardest against them.
19.01.2025 12:49 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Myriad of reasons include the Biden administration's war on nicotine, the Supreme Court gutting Biden's attempts at student loan forgiveness, inflation, the TikTok ban, Biden's age and the cover-up of his mental decline, alternative media being overwhelmingly conservative, Gaza
19.01.2025 12:49 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0When I turned 18 in the "resist era," Democratic politicians constantly uttered "the youth are our future." This is true, of course, and as the Boomer generation (which moved left in 2024) fades away and the Zoomer population grows, Democrats'll backslide if they don't fix it.
19.01.2025 12:49 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0The Zoomer generation took a hard turn right last year for a myriad of reasons, and it's something Democrats have to fix going forward unless they want to go the way of the dodo. A day before Trump takes office, they're off to a terrible start.
19.01.2025 12:49 β π 17 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0