Equity Put/Call Ratio is getting perky for a sideways omve in the S&P 500 (#SPX)
Could this provide the "fuel" for a short squeeze to new highs?
What are your thoughts?
@bravocycles.bsky.social
Editor of Market Twists & Turns newsletter, Free & Pro | Cycles, Elliott Wave, and Technical Analysis of stocks, crypto, ... Free eBook on the Stock Market Outlook: https://bravocycles-newsletter-market-timing.beehiiv.com/c/1-year-us-stock-market-outlook
Equity Put/Call Ratio is getting perky for a sideways omve in the S&P 500 (#SPX)
Could this provide the "fuel" for a short squeeze to new highs?
What are your thoughts?
Where Are We in the Market Cycle?
20.02.2026 12:59 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π¨ What Message is Volatility (VIX) Sending? - Part 2
6-yr & 10-yr cycles dominating VIXβpeaking in 2032? Could signal major stock low.
Adding 2-yr & 3.5-yr from Part 1: Next VIX peak ~Nov 2026, trough 2027, then upside bias. Stocks inverse?
Watch now!
youtu.be/SISW5uScHNE
Record Retail Buying β Yet Robinhood Users Down 25% in 5 Years? π¨
Retail flows just hit ALL-TIME highs (data as of early Feb 2026).
Traders are piling in like never before... But Robinhood users? Down ~25% over the past 5 years.
Classic euphoria trap? What are you seeing on other platforms?
π¨ Blue Owl Freezes Withdrawals in Retail Private Credit Fund β Spillover Risks Rise?
Shares tanked ~6β9% today, dragging peers lower.
Moody's flags rising interconnectivity risks (banks/insurers/retail) for 2026 spillovers.
Echoes of 2007 liquidity crunches?
#PrivateCredit #Markets
Minutes from the Fed later today could provide insight into rates, with whipsaws possible.
18.02.2026 15:03 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π¨Is Volatility Signaling Major Regime Shift? - Part 1
Everyone's ignoring this VIX signal... big mistake?
What is VIX telling us? Find out in this video you cannot afford to miss.
#VIX #Volatility #Trading #Markets #SPX
@cboehm.bsky.social
youtu.be/nxiryAvZtzI
Bitcoin Peaks - Forbes Has a Perfect Record of Nailing BTC's Peaks
Have you heard of Montgomerry's Magazine Indicator?
#Bitcoin #Crypto
Seling of Magnificent 7 dominates
17.02.2026 15:44 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Crypto's Red. Again. Bitcoin is leading
17.02.2026 15:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Great Depression Bear Market in one chart.
#StockMarket #Stocks
π¨ Crypto Fear & Greed Index - Extreme Fear
The Fear & Greed Index hit a multi-year low in February and still can't get off the mat.
Will Bitcoin and Ethereum retest the February low? #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #ETH
Elon Musk says xAI departures were firings, not resignations.
6 of 12 co-founders, plus 11 engineers, have left.
Some plan a new venture.
This happens as xAI faces regulatory heat over Grok deepfakes, a potential IPO, and Musk-Epstein controversy.
π¨ S&P 500 is completing a 100-year-long super-cycle wave (III), wave (IV) should follow.
Could it push slightly higher? Sure, but to put this in perspective, cycle wave IV lasted 9 years. After a 90-year + long wave (III), SPX could correct 15-20 years in wave (IV). #SPX #StockMarket #Investing
China cut its holdings of US Treasuries in half and doubled its gold reserves over the past 15 years. Will China's gold purchases put a floor under gold's correction? #Gold
13.02.2026 15:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π¨ Is Everyone a Day Trader Now?
Reminds me of 1999. That did not end up well for new day traders.
Do you see complacency in the stock market right now?
12.02.2026 14:29 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π¨ S&P 500 dispersion at 99th percentile (stocks moved 10.8% while index flat)
Component correlation at 0.244 (near dot-com lows)
Classic late-cycle combo: rotation, complacency, and brewing volatility.
Rotation can last, but history isnβt kind to these setups. Watching closely. #SPX #StockMarket
π¨ Margin debt reaches a record $1.23 trillion.
It is now higher than at the peak of the 2000 dot-com bubble.
Margin peaks usually precede significant market corrections. Will it be different this time?
π¨ This is huge: Retail is buying the dip in software stocks like never before.
My cycle analysis indicates this may be a good trade for a few months, but more troubles later in the year.
Buy the Rumor, Sell the News
Did someone say on Sunday evening " Sell the Takaichi's super majority news?"
--> Yen strengthens
AI is transforming the workplace fast.
Software engineers may face initial disruptions, but overlooked is the mental fatigue spike.
Productivity gains come with costs, rising burnout and mental health issues.
Are we ready to handle the human side of the AI revolution?
Half of xAI's 12 founding team has left.
Yuhuai (Tony) Wu is the latest to depart, announced Monday night.
These departures come amid xAI's upcoming IPO, Grok issues, deepfake concerns, and pressure to compete with OpenAI and Anthropic.
BofA Bull & Bear Indicator just hit 9.6 β a two-decade high (highest since 2006) and deep in 'hyper-bull' territory as of early 2026.
Extreme bullish sentiment has historically preceded sharp pullbacks β see peaks in Feb'18, Feb'20, Oct'17.
Does this flip your contrarian switch? π
Breaking: NEW Bitcoin & Ethereum Special Reports available for download on Gumroad.
The last two ones were insanely accurate.
Market Twists & Turns subcribers (Free to subscribe, CODE in the newsletters) get 40% OFF on all reports.
bravocycles.gumroad.com
Review of the World's Economies
The Sentix Economic Index for the Eurozone rose surprisingly sharply in February, climbing 6 points to 4.2.
When EU economies were in stagnation and/or downturns, EU stock markets rallied!
Will EU stock markets correct now that the economic upturn is underway?
Chip Memory Prices Have Exploded Since October 25
Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron control 90% of global production,great news for them.
But how will expensive memory chips impact the rest of the tech industry and AI?
CapEx of the Big Four Tech Giants (AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT) Is Exploding
Do you think this trend could continue?
The US Treasury Yield Curve is steepening.
Will this lead to a recession? It did in the past.
The Fed was cutting short-term rates, but long-term market rates gave a thumbs-down. #FED #Bonds #Yields
π¨ Big Tech's CAPEX will surge again this year.
#Google, #Amazon, #META, and #MSFT plan about $622B in capex for 2026 (= $3.1T over 5 years)
Their combined earnings for 2022-24 = $1T, 23.1% CAGR
Need $3.1 trillion in extra earnings in 5 years for a positive return. What if profit margins shrink?